Posted by
Message
Volsfan82169
Tennessee Fan
Spring Hill, TN
Member since Aug 2016
1052 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
One thing to note about Tennessee. Due to a computer problem, the total released today was for TWO days of data.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
10
jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
12356 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
4.6% of those positives die....per your qualifications.


Big Scrub TX
LSU Fan
Austin
Member since Dec 2013
22399 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

well, don't we know total number of positives and a total number of deaths?

Sure, the total number of positives are understated and the total number of deaths is overstated, but isn't there a fatality figure out there for the entire country?
The "dumb" rate is now under 5%. The adjusted rate based on extrapolated infection is 60-80bps.

In some ways, the main unknown before us is if the rate settles in at 80bps or 20bps.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
01
jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
12356 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Didn't mean that to sound bad, I was thinking along those lines also..


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
PhDoogan
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2018
7637 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

would love to know the antibody numbers. Alas, they are combined for some reason. I guess just padding...


Wife and I were just talking about this. Why would +antibody tests be counted on the same scale as new cases? Makes no sense. Start a new chart if necessary, unless it's political.

Is not the big story that the Monday new cases count is below the Friday count? Are we going to see a sharp decline in this spike?

And what could have accounted for such a spike other than events occurring over the past 3-4 weeks?


Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
75268 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

well, don't we know total number of positives and a total number of deaths?


Chicken, in this thread, Chromedome tries to track that statistic in real time, day over day, depending on the best sources out there.

And it does change and shift with data reported, if all you want is that gross ratio of official numbers, this thread is the place.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
30
Teddy Ruxpin
LSU Fan
TX
Member since Oct 2006
34503 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:


Is not the big story that the Monday new cases count is below the Friday count?


The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.


the808bass
Louisville Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
71530 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.


That’s not even consistent.
I’d say look at positivity rates of tests over a rolling 7-day average.


PhDoogan
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2018
7637 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

The way the data is reported, you want to compare this Monday to last Monday, and so on.


Wouldn't you also have to correlate those figures with the testing percentage?


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
00
Teddy Ruxpin
LSU Fan
TX
Member since Oct 2006
34503 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

That’s not even consistent.
I’d say look at positivity rates of tests over a rolling 7-day average.


Ya, that would be better, but I was responding to comparison he set, which was a straight day to day. More variables would of course mean a better comparison.
This post was edited on 6/30 at 8:00 am


TD SponsorTD Fan
USA
Member since 2001
Thank you for supporting our sponsors
Advertisement
Poncho and Lefty
Alabama Fan
Guntersville, AL
Member since Jul 2018
770 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Saw this posted...fwiw:

" we demonstrate that the protests had little effect on the spread of COVID19 for the entire population of the counties with protests during the more than three weeks
following protest onset. In most cases, the estimated longer-run effect (post-21 days) was
negative, though not statistically distinguishable from zero."

LINK
This post was edited on 6/30 at 3:36 pm


HailHailtoMichigan!
LSU Fan
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
60973 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

" we demonstrate that the protests had little effect on the spread of COVID19 for the entire population of the counties with protests during the more than three weeks
following protest onset. In most cases, the estimated longer-run effect (post-21 days) was
negative, though not statistically distinguishable from zero."
Other studies show opposite.


Replies (0)
Replies (0)
42
Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1172 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link New COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable New COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases


deuceiswild
LSU Fan
South La
Member since Nov 2007
3549 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
What is the actual mortality rate currently? Surely there aren't many people who Really believe it's near 5%? I sure as hell don't.


Big Scrub TX
LSU Fan
Austin
Member since Dec 2013
22399 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

What is the actual mortality rate currently?
Dumb rate is just under 5%. Serology-extrapolated-adjusted is like .7%.


HailHailtoMichigan!
LSU Fan
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
60973 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Big scrub

Deaths down 20% from last Tuesday


Eat Your Crow
Member since May 2017
1121 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Deaths down a good chunk from last week again.

Everyone remember when we were two weeks behind Italy? And Spain was having a massive spike in deaths as well?

Italy reported 23 deaths today and 6 deaths yesterday. Spain reported 9 deaths today and 3 deaths yesterday.

The United States is testing more than these two countries by a massive amount. I'm wondering if maybe the "2nd wave" of deaths as a result of our "spike" in new cases since reopening is already happening. We just can't see it in the numbers because deaths are decreasing week over week anyway.

Does what I'm saying make sense?


the808bass
Louisville Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
71530 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Yes. We’re going to be #1 in testing by any metric by the time it’s over. That’s why you’re not hearing anything about testing.

We’re testing around 5M/wk.


Eat Your Crow
Member since May 2017
1121 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Right, agreed.

I'm saying maybe the second "spike" in deaths is already happening and being reflected in the new death number each day, and that is why our deaths haven't fallen off as quickly as they have in places like Italy and Spain.

So the fact that they are still falling is a really good sign. If they fall week over week for one more week, we might be really in the clear.
This post was edited on 6/30 at 9:02 pm


the808bass
Louisville Fan
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
71530 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 4:30 PM 7/5/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

So the fact that they are still falling is a really good sign. If they fall week over week for one more week, we might be really in the clear.


I think you’re on the money.


first pageprev pagePage 243 of 248next pagelast page

Back to top

logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram