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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 3/15/20 at 10:58 pm to Chromdome35
Posted on 3/15/20 at 10:58 pm to Chromdome35
Update 3/15/20 11:00PM
2
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:10 pm to Chromdome35
Hmm seems to have leveled a bit?
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:15 pm to LosLobos111
Just looked at the chart on the OT that compares it day by day to Italy. On day 15 for Italy they had 3089 cases. Provided I’m reading that right.
LINK/
Im just wondering how can the serious cases still be at 10? If I’m not Mistaken there was another added in Seattle and Nola ler report on the Ot. If you can trust it.
LINK/
Im just wondering how can the serious cases still be at 10? If I’m not Mistaken there was another added in Seattle and Nola ler report on the Ot. If you can trust it.
This post was edited on 3/15/20 at 11:18 pm
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:19 pm to LosLobos111
This is what I see happening. The daily growth rate of the total number of cases has declined for the last 6 days. That is the only real indication of any type of slowing/leveling I've seen.
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:22 pm to Chromdome35
How legitimate are these stats?
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:24 pm to Malik Agar
In my original post, I posted a link to the source. I am getting all the numbers from this site. LINK
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:26 pm to Chromdome35
I know, but I'm wondering how good theirs are. Someone posted one earlier on the American stats that say only 10 critical cases. There's no way that can be true.
Posted on 3/15/20 at 11:28 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
That is the only real indication of any type of slowing/leveling I've seen
Hopefully that continues the next 6 days
Posted on 3/16/20 at 12:39 am to Chromdome35
Someone go tell WHO their healthcare rankings are bullshite.
Italy #2
Italy #2
Posted on 3/16/20 at 12:43 am to RobbBobb
quote:
Maybe you should have given a frick about whether that data was accurate or not, BEFORE you posted it
Are you for real?
How many tables have you created and posted on here?
Posted on 3/16/20 at 1:49 am to djmicrobe
quote:
Do you have a graph broken down by age or age range? This would be more helpful. Does the CDC provide such graphs? If not, then Trump needs to get on them
In Italy 99% of deaths are people 60+ years old. 83% of deaths are 70+ years old. 48% of deaths are 80+ years old.
In the US 61% of deaths are from WA, with the majority of those being from a nursing home with a bunch of people in hospice.
I imagine that is going to be similar across the globe.
Bottom line is all ages can transmit CV, only the very old and sick will die. Minus a half dozen anecdotal exceptions, which given a global population of 7.7 billion is statistically irrelevant.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 1:54 am to gthog61
quote:
So as the death rate gets minuscule are we still going to hype the total number of cases?
Who the frick cares if it is no more deadly than the flu? Do people die a lot without being “serious” first?
Doesn’t seem like a lot on deck for death
Speaking of death, given the us has 4 million deaths a year how long before this is statistically significant?
Since it is mostly old folks it will never affect life expectancy.
1600 people die every day from cancer in the US.
Most of them are old too.
We are literally shutting down the country and tanking the economy over a flu that will (if the media is lucky) kill as many people this year as cancer does in 2 weeks.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 2:08 am to Jinglebob
Here is another nerd data site someone linked to the other day.
It shows up to date cases/deaths for the world, broken down by country and states. The mobile site is kind of shite but if you tap the expand arrows for each box it is readable.
LINK
As of this post,
US cases:
3,774
US deaths:
69
WA: 42
CA: 6
NY: 6
FL: 5
LA: 2
NJ: 2
CO, GA, KS, OR, SD, VA all 1
It shows up to date cases/deaths for the world, broken down by country and states. The mobile site is kind of shite but if you tap the expand arrows for each box it is readable.
LINK
As of this post,
US cases:
3,774
US deaths:
69
WA: 42
CA: 6
NY: 6
FL: 5
LA: 2
NJ: 2
CO, GA, KS, OR, SD, VA all 1
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:11 am to Chromdome35
Personally, I'd forget about tracking "serious cases". Although it might be valuable as a surrogate for how burdened the health care system may become, it's too vague a definition to be helpful.
What would be good is plugging those numbers into a spreadsheet and calculating a delta for the CFR to see if it exhibits any sort of leveling off as the number of people tested and diagnosed increases.
What would be good is plugging those numbers into a spreadsheet and calculating a delta for the CFR to see if it exhibits any sort of leveling off as the number of people tested and diagnosed increases.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 4:26 am to Chromdome35
Looks deaths are already decreasing and recoveries increasing
Just what you’d want to see
Thanks President Trump
Just what you’d want to see
Thanks President Trump
Posted on 3/16/20 at 5:57 am to Chromdome35
quote:
The % of serious cases to active cases:
Worldwide: 8.84%
Italy: 8.88%
UK: 2.6%
France: 4.31%
Germany: .25%
Spain: 4.73%
Perhaps the medical system in the US is that much better than the socialized systems in the other countries?
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:03 am to LsuFan_1955
Ignore the “serious” case data until they can quantify it or validate it. It looks way, way off.
It’s been stuck on 10 basically they whole time while deaths have continued to rise.
It’s been stuck on 10 basically they whole time while deaths have continued to rise.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:07 am to Chromdome35
This isn’t in you as I know you’d post the data if you had it, but I wish we had #’s on the number of tests performed.
I anticipate that looking awfully similar to the cases reported bar graph.
Edit:
Looking at the death numbers, I suspect a shite ton of people have this virus already and we are just now testing for it. I except that case # to increase rapidly as tests are administered, but I hope the deaths stay the same.
I anticipate that looking awfully similar to the cases reported bar graph.
Edit:
Looking at the death numbers, I suspect a shite ton of people have this virus already and we are just now testing for it. I except that case # to increase rapidly as tests are administered, but I hope the deaths stay the same.
This post was edited on 3/16/20 at 6:12 am
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:08 am to Oilfieldbiology
It’s not. Something like 90% of tests in the US have been negative. Testing capacity is up to 32k a day.
Posted on 3/16/20 at 6:12 am to schexyoung
It’s up to 32k but where was it when these numbers first started?
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