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Message
Trump SHOCK election poll: Black Lives Matter protests will get Trump re-elected
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:32 pm
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:32 pm
LINK
Democracy Institute/ Sunday Express poll
Trump’s National Job Approval
Approve = 47%
Disapprove = 52%
Enthusiasm Gap?
Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 77%
Biden voters = 43%
Q “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 81%; negative vote = 19%
Biden voters: positive vote = 29%; negative vote = 71%
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 4%
Biden voters: Yes = 12%
"Shy" Trump Vote?
Questions to Undecided Voters
Q “Does a relative or a friend plan to vote for Trump?”
Yes = 66%
No = 34%
Q. “Will President Trump be reelected?”
Yes = 52%
No = 48%
Question to All Voters
Q. “Are you comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?”
Trump voters: Yes = 29%
Biden voters: Yes = 82%
National Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 47%
Undecided = 6%
White voters: Trump = 52% Biden = 46%
Black: Trump 16% Biden = 81%
Hispanic: Trump 34% Biden = 51%
Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 48%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 8%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)
270 needed to win
Trump = 309 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 229 [picks-up Wisconsin]
Candidate Characteristics
Biden’s Mental Acuity
Q “Do you think Joe Biden is experiencing some form of cognitive decline, such as the early stages of dementia?”
Yes 55%
No 40%
Don’t know 5%
Vice President Joe Biden
Vice President Joe Biden wants to take over the White House (Image: Getty)
Q “Does your opinion of Joe Biden’s mental acuity make you more or less likely to vote for him?”
More likely 19%
Less likely 44%
No difference 37%
Leadership
Q “Is Trump/Biden a strong leader?”
Trump = 67%
Biden = 27%
Q “Is Trump/Biden a consensus builder?”
Trump = 22%
Biden = 55%
Q “Is Donald Trump a populist?”
Yes = 70%
No = 30%
Q “Is Joe Biden an establishment politician?”
Yes = 61%
No = 39%
Personal Traits
Q “Is Trump/Biden too old to be president?”
Trump = 37%
Biden = 58%
Q “Is Trump/Biden a likeable person?”
Trump = 30%
Biden = 60%
Q “Would you happily invite Trump/Biden to your 4th of July weekend party or barbecue?”
Trump = 33%
Biden = 51%
Neither = 16%
Q “Would you give Trump/Biden $10,000 of your own money to invest on your behalf?”
Trump = 65%
Biden = 31%
Race
Black Lives Matter
Q “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America?”
Black Lives Matter = 29%
All Lives Matter = 71%
Mount Rushmore in South Dakota
Mount Rushmore in South Dakota (Image: Getty)
Biden’s Running Mate
Q “Would Joe Biden’s selection of a black running mate make you more or less likely to vote for him?”
More likely 15%
Less likely 9%
No difference 76%
Monuments / Statues
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the removal of historic monuments and statues because certain individuals or groups find them offensive?”
Approve 15%
Disapprove 74%
Don’t Know 11%
Mount Rushmore
Q “Do you agree with the New York Times that Mount Rushmore is a racist monument?”
Agree 15%
Disagree 77%
Don’t Know 8%
Policing / Law & Order
Q “Has President Trump’s approach to the ongoing protests and riots been too tough, just right under the circumstances, or not tough enough?”
Too tough 27%
Just right 28%
Not tough enough 45%
Q “Do you approve/disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the protests and riots?”
Approve = 59%
Disapprove = 40%
Vice President Biden
Unlike President Trump, Vice President Biden is happy to be seen wearing a mask in public (Image: Getty)
Q “Has Joe Biden been sufficiently critical of the violent rioting?”
Yes = 38%
No = 60%
Q “Should government prioritise law & order on city streets or prioritise improving relations between black Americans and the police?”
Law & order = 67%
Improving relations between black Americans & police = 29%
Q “Do you support de-funding your local police department?”
Yes = 16%
No = 75%
Pandemic
Q “Is the economy rebounding from the COVID-19 pandemic-induced shutdown?”
Yes = 65%
No = 32%
Q “Do you approve/disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic?”
Approve = 40%
Disapprove = 49%
Protests on the streets of Hong Kong
Protests on the streets of Hong Kong (Image: Getty)
Hong Kong/China/UK
Q “Will Trump or Biden do a better job of standing up to China?”
Trump = 61%
Biden = 35%
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the protests in Hong Kong against the new security law imposed upon Hong Kong by China?”
Approve 67%
Disapprove 22%
Don’t Know 11%
Q “UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson plans to offer a path to British citizenship for three million Hong Kong citizens. Do you agree or disagree with his offer?”
Agree 64%
Disagree 29%
Don’t know 7%
Q “On Tuesday, a bipartisan group of politicians in Congress introduced a bill to give refugee status here in America to Hong Kong residents at risk of persecution under the new security law. Do you approve or disapprove of this bill?”
Approve 59%
Disapprove 34%
Don’t Know 7%
Poll Methodology
The fieldwork for this survey of a randomly selected national telephone (landline and cell) sample of 1,500 likely voters was conducted by the Democracy Institute’s polling unit from July 1-3 2020. The survey was conducted via interactive voice response, in which recorded questions were played for randomly dialled respondents and answers were given via their telephone keypads. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. To ensure a representative sample, the results were weighted for key demographic and political variables including, but not limited to, party identification, gender, age, education, income, region, voting history, and mobile phone-only households. The party identification turnout model is: Democrats = 38 percent; Republicans = 38 percent; and Independents = 24 percent.
Democracy Institute/ Sunday Express poll
Trump’s National Job Approval
Approve = 47%
Disapprove = 52%
Enthusiasm Gap?
Q. “Are you strongly or very enthusiastic about your choice of candidate?”
Trump voters = 77%
Biden voters = 43%
Q “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 81%; negative vote = 19%
Biden voters: positive vote = 29%; negative vote = 71%
Q “Could your vote change before Election Day?”
Trump voters: Yes = 4%
Biden voters: Yes = 12%
"Shy" Trump Vote?
Questions to Undecided Voters
Q “Does a relative or a friend plan to vote for Trump?”
Yes = 66%
No = 34%
Q. “Will President Trump be reelected?”
Yes = 52%
No = 48%
Question to All Voters
Q. “Are you comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?”
Trump voters: Yes = 29%
Biden voters: Yes = 82%
National Popular Vote
Trump = 47%
Biden = 47%
Undecided = 6%
White voters: Trump = 52% Biden = 46%
Black: Trump 16% Biden = 81%
Hispanic: Trump 34% Biden = 51%
Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin
Trump = 48%
Biden = 44%
Undecided = 8%
Electoral College Vote Projection (if election voting mirrored these poll results)
270 needed to win
Trump = 309 [picks-up Minnesota & New Hampshire]
Biden = 229 [picks-up Wisconsin]
Candidate Characteristics
Biden’s Mental Acuity
Q “Do you think Joe Biden is experiencing some form of cognitive decline, such as the early stages of dementia?”
Yes 55%
No 40%
Don’t know 5%
Vice President Joe Biden
Vice President Joe Biden wants to take over the White House (Image: Getty)
Q “Does your opinion of Joe Biden’s mental acuity make you more or less likely to vote for him?”
More likely 19%
Less likely 44%
No difference 37%
Leadership
Q “Is Trump/Biden a strong leader?”
Trump = 67%
Biden = 27%
Q “Is Trump/Biden a consensus builder?”
Trump = 22%
Biden = 55%
Q “Is Donald Trump a populist?”
Yes = 70%
No = 30%
Q “Is Joe Biden an establishment politician?”
Yes = 61%
No = 39%
Personal Traits
Q “Is Trump/Biden too old to be president?”
Trump = 37%
Biden = 58%
Q “Is Trump/Biden a likeable person?”
Trump = 30%
Biden = 60%
Q “Would you happily invite Trump/Biden to your 4th of July weekend party or barbecue?”
Trump = 33%
Biden = 51%
Neither = 16%
Q “Would you give Trump/Biden $10,000 of your own money to invest on your behalf?”
Trump = 65%
Biden = 31%
Race
Black Lives Matter
Q “Which phrase better fits your own thinking about race in America?”
Black Lives Matter = 29%
All Lives Matter = 71%
Mount Rushmore in South Dakota
Mount Rushmore in South Dakota (Image: Getty)
Biden’s Running Mate
Q “Would Joe Biden’s selection of a black running mate make you more or less likely to vote for him?”
More likely 15%
Less likely 9%
No difference 76%
Monuments / Statues
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the removal of historic monuments and statues because certain individuals or groups find them offensive?”
Approve 15%
Disapprove 74%
Don’t Know 11%
Mount Rushmore
Q “Do you agree with the New York Times that Mount Rushmore is a racist monument?”
Agree 15%
Disagree 77%
Don’t Know 8%
Policing / Law & Order
Q “Has President Trump’s approach to the ongoing protests and riots been too tough, just right under the circumstances, or not tough enough?”
Too tough 27%
Just right 28%
Not tough enough 45%
Q “Do you approve/disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the protests and riots?”
Approve = 59%
Disapprove = 40%
Vice President Biden
Unlike President Trump, Vice President Biden is happy to be seen wearing a mask in public (Image: Getty)
Q “Has Joe Biden been sufficiently critical of the violent rioting?”
Yes = 38%
No = 60%
Q “Should government prioritise law & order on city streets or prioritise improving relations between black Americans and the police?”
Law & order = 67%
Improving relations between black Americans & police = 29%
Q “Do you support de-funding your local police department?”
Yes = 16%
No = 75%
Pandemic
Q “Is the economy rebounding from the COVID-19 pandemic-induced shutdown?”
Yes = 65%
No = 32%
Q “Do you approve/disapprove of President Trump’s handling of the COVID-19 pandemic?”
Approve = 40%
Disapprove = 49%
Protests on the streets of Hong Kong
Protests on the streets of Hong Kong (Image: Getty)
Hong Kong/China/UK
Q “Will Trump or Biden do a better job of standing up to China?”
Trump = 61%
Biden = 35%
Q “Do you approve or disapprove of the protests in Hong Kong against the new security law imposed upon Hong Kong by China?”
Approve 67%
Disapprove 22%
Don’t Know 11%
Q “UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson plans to offer a path to British citizenship for three million Hong Kong citizens. Do you agree or disagree with his offer?”
Agree 64%
Disagree 29%
Don’t know 7%
Q “On Tuesday, a bipartisan group of politicians in Congress introduced a bill to give refugee status here in America to Hong Kong residents at risk of persecution under the new security law. Do you approve or disapprove of this bill?”
Approve 59%
Disapprove 34%
Don’t Know 7%
Poll Methodology
The fieldwork for this survey of a randomly selected national telephone (landline and cell) sample of 1,500 likely voters was conducted by the Democracy Institute’s polling unit from July 1-3 2020. The survey was conducted via interactive voice response, in which recorded questions were played for randomly dialled respondents and answers were given via their telephone keypads. The poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percent at a 95 percent confidence interval. To ensure a representative sample, the results were weighted for key demographic and political variables including, but not limited to, party identification, gender, age, education, income, region, voting history, and mobile phone-only households. The party identification turnout model is: Democrats = 38 percent; Republicans = 38 percent; and Independents = 24 percent.
36
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:33 pm to FlexDawg
Landslide
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:35 pm to FlexDawg
There’s a reason we’re going back to all Covid all the time.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:36 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Q “Would you happily invite Trump/Biden to your 4th of July weekend party or barbecue?” Trump = 33% Biden = 51% Neither = 16%
Count me in the proud 33%
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:37 pm to the808bass
is there any other country where the head of government and the heads of the departments of health and science are not on the same page with regards to how to deal with this virus? It is really stupefying to see.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:38 pm to the808bass
I think it's interesting that the left's seemed to have all but written off Hispanics. Where did all their outrage on that subject go?
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:39 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Black: Trump 16% Biden = 81%
Wow.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:40 pm to FlexDawg
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:45 pm to FlexDawg
What a glorious poll!
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:49 pm to FlexDawg
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/4/20 at 2:03 am
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:49 pm to FlexDawg
Good lord. If this is true, I’m gonna donkey punch myself for being so critical of GEOTUS.
Split evenly with Dems/GOP too.
Split evenly with Dems/GOP too.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:50 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
Q. “Are you comfortable with your relatives, friends, and coworkers knowing how you vote?”
Trump voters: Yes = 29%
This is why the polls are all useless. If less than 30% of people are comfortable letting friends, family and coworkers know they are voting for Trump, exactly what in the hell are they going to tell pollsters? They are going to keep their vote a secret from those closest to them, but be completely open and honest to a stranger on the other end of a phone??
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:52 pm to idlewatcher
quote:
Good lord. If this is true, I’m gonna donkey punch myself for being so critical of GEOTUS.
Split evenly with Dems/GOP too.
The crazy marxists are in the minority. They just scream the loudest so it looks like there’s more of them. Trump has a lot more supporters than you realize.
This post was edited on 7/9/20 at 10:56 pm
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:52 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
White voters: Trump = 52% Biden = 46%
This is what I'll never understand. Why so many white people are willing to give away their country?
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:54 pm to FlexDawg
Trump will.win in a landslide UNLESS the Dems are able to steal it through fraud
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:55 pm to dcbl
Trump might win all 57 states.
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:58 pm to FlexDawg
If trump gets 16% of the black vote, it’s going to be a landslide
Posted on 7/9/20 at 9:59 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
White voters:
quote:Christ almighty
Biden = 46%
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:00 pm to FlexDawg
Posted on 7/9/20 at 10:01 pm to Poncho and Lefty
quote:
is there any other country where the head of government and the heads of the departments of health and science are not on the same page with regards to how to deal with this virus? It is really stupefying to see.
Considering there is very little agreement among departments of health and science about how to handle the virus the heads of government being independent from them is a good thing.
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