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Trump must HOLD Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania to win. Win 1/3
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:38 am
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:38 am
If everything else stays the same...which I think it most likely will (NC and AZ are others at risk) then Trump just has to win 1 of Wisconsin, Michigan or Pennsylvania to win re-election. It wont be easy bc I think Biden will run better in Pennsylvania than Hillary but that’s why Trump is just letting Biden slide further and further left. I think he retains Michigan and Wisconsin but loses Pennsylvania and wins convincingly.
13
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:40 am to tigereye58
PA should be 2 states. So different from west/central pa to the east coast slums
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:40 am to tigereye58
Will the unrest in the black community actually lead to a surge at the polls? Historically it doesn't, but we will see. Biden has to turn out Detroit to tip Michigan.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:41 am to tigereye58
He's going to win all three.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:43 am to tigereye58
quote:
but loses Pennsylvania
Biden will be like Gore and lose his own state...
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:44 am to tigereye58
2008, 2012 and 2016 model would say PA is the best bet for trump since dems got PA voters out in 2016 which wasn’t the case in MI and Wi. Thus, Obama backed organizations are trying to pump up the black vote via protest machine. Arizona is also a concern. Not to mention trump needs FL, GA, , IO, OH and NC.
This post was edited on 8/3/20 at 8:58 am
Posted on 8/3/20 at 8:47 am to tigereye58
Trump needs 2 of 4 from Wisconsin, Michigan, Penn, and Arizona
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:06 am to tigereye58
Don't forget Minnesota. Definitely in play with the Minneapolis situation
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:08 am to LSURulzSEC
quote:
Biden will be like Gore and lose his own state...
And Romney
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:11 am to tigereye58
Trump is going to win in a blowout. To not see that at this point just means one would have to be a radical left wing extremist.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:18 am to BarnHater
We cannot be complacent though, have to turn out
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:21 am to Supravol22
Indeed. The Loser Libs will try any frickery they can think of too.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:37 am to BarnHater
you fools forget about the MASSIVE mail in voter fraud that is staring us in the face.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:38 am to tigereye58
There is actually a realistic way for him to win without these states: he could flip New Hampshire and Nevada (giving him a total of 270 with Maine's republican district).
Flipping those two states is not the longshot people likely think it is.
The Demographics in Nevada have shifted during the Coronavirus shutdown. A lot of the migratory hospitality and gaming workers have left the state because of the shutdowns. They tend to vote Democrat.
And Trump only lost New Hampshire by 2500 votes and that state has a pretty strong independent/libertarian slant. I don't see them jumping on the current opposition bandwagon of craziness.
The strategy should still focus on Florida and the Rust Belt, but it's nice to know there is a backdoor option.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 9:41 am to saints5021
quote:
you fools forget about the MASSIVE mail in voter fraud that is staring us in the face.
This is the only way libs have a chance with Biden as their nominee.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:08 am to BayouCatFan
quote:
This is the only way libs have a chance with Biden as their nominee.
I wonder how many elections Democrats have actually stolen. I know the non-presidential ones are easier for them, but if they flipped a couple of states in Obama's and Clinton's elections, they might have actually stolen at least the second terms. They almost got the Al Gore one with fraudulent Florida votes. They misjudged how many they needed.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:12 am to tigereye58
So you assume he wins Florida in your OP?
Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:13 am to tigereye58
Most important state (like in most elections) is Florida. In my most conservative 270 to win maps, if Trump loses Florida, he loses the election. If Trump carries Florida, he will in all likelihood win the whole thing.
Posted on 8/3/20 at 10:14 am to BarnHater
quote:
Trump is going to win in a blowout. To not see that at this point just means one would have to be a radical left wing extremist.
While I certainly hope so, you’ve seemed to have forgotten the amount of cheating the dims will do
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