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This Georgia and Texas polling shite should actually make everyone feel a lot better

Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:53 am
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
4447 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:53 am
Why can we expect the WI, MI, PA, NC, and FL polls to be accurately for Biden when these arsehats are saying Texas and GA could turn blue? If anything the fact that those Midwest states are so close should mean that the actual Red states should be in the bag. None of these polls are fricking right. There’s no way GA and Texas go for Biden. The closer the polls look in those states, the more confident I actually am of Trump being up in the swing states. That’s how fricked our media and pollsters are.

ETA: My stats professor at UA basically went over today how polls can be extremely wrong and we should check their methodology every time. It felt like he was basically winking and saying not to believe shite about Biden being up.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 9:56 am
Posted by hottub
Member since Dec 2012
3323 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:55 am to
Trump is leading in the real polls. The only reason I believe that is because COVID Rates are making headlines again.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12504 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:56 am to
If Biden wins all 7 of the states you named then this country is done . They will full control of the country .
Posted by McLemore
Member since Dec 2003
31424 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:57 am to
quote:

The only reason I believe that is because COVID Rates are making headlines again.


If people were remotely rational, the upticks in Europe should actually help Trump. Likewise, the supposed "zero" China numbers.

Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
4447 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 9:59 am to
The problem with this country is that we have a bunch of people who feel “deeply” about something with only surface level knowledge. They don’t know shite about the world but pretend to know how “bad” Trump is for it. Call them out on one thing or ask them a question and they shut down because they assume everyone knows as little as they do. Especially when they’ve been told all Trump supporters are low information voters.
Posted by IslandBuckeye
Boca Chica, Panama
Member since Apr 2018
10067 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:04 am to
I sincerely appreciate the information, but with the suspected cheating going on, the only way I could feel better is a propofol drip x 15 days.

Wake me up before we go-go.
Posted by Angry Bruce Pearl
Florida
Member since Jul 2020
599 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:09 am to
People are so good at filtering calls now. I've seen polling results where they only have a 2% response rate meaning you have to call literally thousands of people to get your sample of 1100 likely voters that you were aiming for. IMO polling does not matter after the last two presidential election cycles. I'm looking for enthusiasm and voter registrations. GOP is doing much better this time than in 2016 in both areas.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18869 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:10 am to
OR, you can be open to the view that the electorate is actually changing from a 30 year trend.

Though NC, GA, abd AZ are "in play" so are MN, WI, MI, and PA. That's a net win for the GOP.

Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
4447 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:13 am to
I understand what you’re saying. But the shift wouldn’t have happened without Trump in 2016. It wasn’t a long term trend that created the map you see today. And Texas and GA are solidly MAGA country. Trump brought those other states into play very suddenly in 2016. The trend of Texas and GA potentially being blue is overplayed currently. Maybe in 2028 or 2032.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:14 am
Posted by KCT
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
38911 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:15 am to
In 2016, Rachel "Chachi" Maddow was even saying that Kansas and South Carolina were in play for the Democrats. They "exaggerate" like this every 4 years.
Posted by _Hurricane_
Somewhere
Member since Feb 2016
4447 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:17 am to
Yeah if Biden is down 5 in a state, they’ll say it’s in play. If Trump is down 3, they’ll pretend like he’s toast. It’s a bunch of projecting BS. And it’s all the more infuriating when you look at how bad the polling in different places is to begin with.
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:19 am
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18080 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:29 am to
Tens of millions of fraudulent ballots prepared to go into the system already
Might be more than 30 Million early voters and ballots …..
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:35 am
Posted by Revelator
Member since Nov 2008
57816 posts
Posted on 10/19/20 at 10:32 am to
I said something similar about Texas. They haven’t elected a Democrat since the 70’s I think, and we are supposed to believe low energy Joe will win the state?!
This post was edited on 10/19/20 at 10:33 am
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