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Message
The most accurate "polls" are Vegas Odds
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:27 pm
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:27 pm
It is their job to be accurate. Trump is EVEN money and Biden is +350.
When Trump starts slipping in Vegas Odds, then ill worry.
Network Polls have no incentive to be accurate.
When Trump starts slipping in Vegas Odds, then ill worry.
Network Polls have no incentive to be accurate.
17
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:32 pm to MileHighDraw
quote:
Network Polls have no incentive to be accurate
Truth
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:33 pm to MileHighDraw
Vegas lines are made to balance equal money on both sides so the house doesn’t lose its arse.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:34 pm to MileHighDraw
quote:
Network Polls have no incentive to be accurate.
I actually think Fox is doing what it can to say Trump is the underdog just to motivate the base to get out and vote. All the liberal leaning networks shot themselves in the foot with the bullshite poll numbers in 2016. I can't believe they would try and go down that same road again.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:34 pm to MileHighDraw
This is false.
100% false.
Vegas just cares about winning and evening the money on both sides. More money is coming in on Trump, so they set the lines accordingly.
100% false.
Vegas just cares about winning and evening the money on both sides. More money is coming in on Trump, so they set the lines accordingly.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:35 pm to TiptonInSC
Polls are pointless anyways. If the media focused on how our Presidents actually win elections they’d do district polling and try to construct a mock electoral college total.
This post was edited on 6/18/19 at 7:30 am
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:35 pm to MileHighDraw
If democrats really believe in their candidates then they should put a lot of money on them .
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:36 pm to MileHighDraw
Vegas had HRC winning too. They don't know anything either......
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:38 pm to mwade91383
Well they must have learned a lesson because they aren’t going with the media darling this time.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:38 pm to FlexDawg
Maybe. The election is an eternity away, they still very easily could....
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:41 pm to MileHighDraw
quote:
It is their job to be accurate.
Haha what? Their "job" is to bring in the most amount of money while losing the least amount. They odds in way to ensure they don't lose their money.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:48 pm to ToesOnTheNose213
You idiots are missing the point. Vegas is right more time than they are wrong.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:51 pm to MileHighDraw
These "polls" are not designed to measure the mood of the public. They are designed to shape the mood of the public. They are using small sample sizes that are easily manipulated to achieve their desired result. I can't believe there are people out there who don't realize this.
I agree that the Vegas odds are a much better measure.
I agree that the Vegas odds are a much better measure.
Posted on 6/17/19 at 8:52 pm to Triple Bogey
quote:
I can't believe they would try and go down that same road again.
They will!
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:01 pm to MileHighDraw
So are polls. Which is an uncomfortable pill to swallow around here.....
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:03 pm to MileHighDraw
You show a complete lack of knowledge on how both odds and polls work, but yeah everyone else is dumb 
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:04 pm to Ham Malone
which is why "polls" is in quotes. Im not equating the two. You lack the ability to think outside the box
polls in this sense is where the money is....
polls in this sense is where the money is....
This post was edited on 6/17/19 at 9:06 pm
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:05 pm to MileHighDraw
Vegas future odds, unless you can bet the field on the other side, is not their actual belief in the odds. Futures odds are simple for Vegas because they can have such a large middle, if they even let you bet on the other side, they'll still get action.
For example, they might think Clemson is a 20% chance of winning the Natty, but they'll only offer 3:1, and they'll only let you bet 1:20 on the field, if they even let you bet the field at all.
Now translate this to Presidential odds. Pay no attention to Vegas unless you can be the opposite side with equivalent odds.
For example, they might think Clemson is a 20% chance of winning the Natty, but they'll only offer 3:1, and they'll only let you bet 1:20 on the field, if they even let you bet the field at all.
Now translate this to Presidential odds. Pay no attention to Vegas unless you can be the opposite side with equivalent odds.
This post was edited on 6/17/19 at 9:06 pm
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:10 pm to MileHighDraw
Vegas literally had Hillary Clinton -750 on the morning of the Presidential election in 2016
Posted on 6/17/19 at 9:12 pm to MileHighDraw
quote:
The most accurate "polls" are Vegas Odds
It is their job to be accurate. Trump is EVEN money and Biden is +350.
Agreed. Vegas is in business to make money. They can't afford to have a political bias or not-so-hidden agenda, unlike some pollsters and the media
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