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Suburban swing against Trump?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:22 am
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:22 am
Is Trump really going to underperform by 10+ points in the suburbs compared to '16? That's what most of these polls are showing.
Does anyone have any data as to the % of the total vote that was from the suburbs in '16 and expected in '20?
If Trump does better than '16 by 3-4 points amongst blacks, 5-10 points amongst Hispanics, and 5-10 points amongst rural voters, I'm just curious how big of a suburban swing against Trump that that could offset?
Does anyone have any data as to the % of the total vote that was from the suburbs in '16 and expected in '20?
If Trump does better than '16 by 3-4 points amongst blacks, 5-10 points amongst Hispanics, and 5-10 points amongst rural voters, I'm just curious how big of a suburban swing against Trump that that could offset?
15
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:23 am to GeneralLee
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:24 am to GeneralLee
Boogey Man bull shite.
Don't concern yourself with that. I am in quite the suburban area and there ain't a Hiden Biden sign in sight. I bet it holds true on election day.
Don't concern yourself with that. I am in quite the suburban area and there ain't a Hiden Biden sign in sight. I bet it holds true on election day.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:24 am to Eli Goldfinger
Trump has gained in every category from '16
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:24 am to GeneralLee
Yes, I’m sure the suburban voters are seeing what’s going on through their TV and seeing urban areas burn and thinking yeah bring that shite here
This post was edited on 9/29/20 at 11:25 am
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:25 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
Anecdotally I believe this to be largely true, but seniors voted for him in large numbers and lots of them have passed away since '16. You also have new Generation Z voters time this around.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:25 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:26 am to GeneralLee
If anything Trump has gained voters that wouldn’t vote for him in ‘16 who traditionally vote R.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:26 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
I mean seriously. Maybe they're perplexing me like Trump voters were early on in the 2016 primaries, but where are these people? They only found like 2 for the DNC? One of my friends with radical TDS was going to vote for the Democrats but the rioting has changed his mind and is considering reluctantly voting for Trump at this point. I don't know one fricking person who voted for Trump or didn't vote last time and is going to vote for Biden this time around. Know a few dozen the other way around.
This post was edited on 9/29/20 at 11:28 am
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:26 am to GeneralLee
quote:
but seniors voted for him in large numbers and lots of them have passed away since '16.
And new ones took their place
quote:
You also have new Generation Z voters time this around.
Those that saw an increase in their paychecks (due to tax cuts, etc) will vote Trump....they won't advertise it but they'll do it.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:26 am to GeneralLee
Trump losing the suburbs was a big narrative in 2016 too. I watched MSNBC's 2016 election night broadcast the other night and the whole night they were saying how shocked they were at how well Trump was doing in the suburbs.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:27 am to GeneralLee
Are we to believe that the 'burbs can't wait for antifa to visit their neighborhoods?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:27 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
Are you insane?
You think the people that died didn’t switch their votes!?
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:28 am to GeneralLee
quote:
Is Trump really going to underperform by 10+ points in the suburbs compared to '16? That's what most of these polls are showing.
To me, this is the biggest heap of shite the MSM and pollsters are trying to get us to buy about the 2020 election
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:29 am to Eli Goldfinger
Who do you think owns all these boats? It's hard as hell to get 50 boats for a poker run with prizes. These people showed up by the thousands just for Trump.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:29 am to OMLandshark
quote:
I mean seriously. Maybe they're perplexing me like Trump voters were early on in the 2016 primaries, but where are these people? They only found like 2 for the DNC? One of my friends with radical TDS was going to vote for the Democrats but the rioting has changed his minds and is considering reluctantly voting for Trump at this point. I don't know one fricking person who voted for Trump or didn't vote last time and is going to vote for Biden this time around. Know a few dozen the other way around.
Same here in suburban AZ. Only Biden voters I know are deranged leftist who think we are all about to die from covid because of Trump. Every Trump
Voter from last cycle is repeating and every moderate that voted D last cycle is either voting Trump or not voting.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:29 am to GeneralLee
Anecdotal evidence from suburban Ohio here.
My kids and I count the houses with yard signs on the 3.5 mile drive to / from school. No matter which of the routes we take, it's neck and neck with Trump houses vs Biden houses.
Downvote away friends, but this is what we see. My husband and I are Trump all the way and we're a bit nervous, I admit.
Our somewhat RINO US Representative has much more yardsign love than the lefty who's trying to unseat him.
If you have any persuasive power over undecideds now is the time to use it.
My kids and I count the houses with yard signs on the 3.5 mile drive to / from school. No matter which of the routes we take, it's neck and neck with Trump houses vs Biden houses.
Downvote away friends, but this is what we see. My husband and I are Trump all the way and we're a bit nervous, I admit.
Our somewhat RINO US Representative has much more yardsign love than the lefty who's trying to unseat him.
If you have any persuasive power over undecideds now is the time to use it.
This post was edited on 9/29/20 at 11:30 am
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:30 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Trump hasn’t lost any voters who voted for him in ‘16.
I know several Trump voters from the last election who are simply tired of his constant need for chaos. He will lose former supporters.
Of course he may also pick up new supporters. It's probably a wash.
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:31 am to Wtodd
If you have not learned by now, that the polls are as accurate as the Hockey stick in Climate Change, using modeling without a scientific basis ...
Then I invite you to look no further than a few months ago when the so called experts predicted that COVID would have killed over 2 million in the US by this time.
Then go a step further and tell us about the 200 million Biden claims have been killed. Maybe if the Democrats had put Cuomo in charge of every nursing home in the nation would that figure approached reality. .
Then I invite you to look no further than a few months ago when the so called experts predicted that COVID would have killed over 2 million in the US by this time.
Then go a step further and tell us about the 200 million Biden claims have been killed. Maybe if the Democrats had put Cuomo in charge of every nursing home in the nation would that figure approached reality. .
Posted on 9/29/20 at 11:31 am to Mellow Drama
(no message)
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