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Message
Serious question regarding the Election
Posted on 10/12/20 at 5:05 pm
Posted on 10/12/20 at 5:05 pm
Im a moderate that voted for Trump in 16 and plan to again tomorrow.
Everything i see leading up to today has been how Biden has a double digit lead, even in the Fox News and Ras polls. I understand that polls and media have left bias but what gets me is literally everyone on this board things Trump is going to win in a landslide.
Im just curious, why are you guys so confident Trump will win in a blowout and do you honestly think Biden has a 0% chance of winning?
Even my Betus account today has Biden at -220 which is a MASSIVE favorite, and Vegas doesn't tend to hand out money.
I do think the closet Trump fans will be out in full force but im also scared there is a large amount of people who are voting for anyone other than Trump
Everything i see leading up to today has been how Biden has a double digit lead, even in the Fox News and Ras polls. I understand that polls and media have left bias but what gets me is literally everyone on this board things Trump is going to win in a landslide.
Im just curious, why are you guys so confident Trump will win in a blowout and do you honestly think Biden has a 0% chance of winning?
Even my Betus account today has Biden at -220 which is a MASSIVE favorite, and Vegas doesn't tend to hand out money.
I do think the closet Trump fans will be out in full force but im also scared there is a large amount of people who are voting for anyone other than Trump
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 5:08 pm
14
Posted on 10/12/20 at 5:08 pm to dallastiger55
quote:
Even my Betus account today has Biden at -220 which is a MASSIVE favorite, and Vegas doesn't tend to hand out money.
Do you know how betting lines work?
This post was edited on 10/12/20 at 5:08 pm
Posted on 10/12/20 at 5:09 pm to KosmoCramer
Yes i do, but still you get my point
Posted on 10/12/20 at 5:13 pm to dallastiger55
I think Biden will win. The media's 24/7 attack has worked.
Just get ACB confirmed and hunker down for four years.
Just get ACB confirmed and hunker down for four years.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 8:00 pm to aubie101
getting ACB confirmed is the base layer.
Next is fighting off the onslaught of voter fraud. They will get a lot in, but hopefully team Trump has boots on the ground to stop it.
Barrett will help if things get up to the Supreme. Roberts is leftist joke.
Next is fighting off the onslaught of voter fraud. They will get a lot in, but hopefully team Trump has boots on the ground to stop it.
Barrett will help if things get up to the Supreme. Roberts is leftist joke.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 8:01 pm to dallastiger55
Vegas and Trump gonna eat on Election Night.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 8:07 pm to dallastiger55
I’m confused as well. I genuinely wish I could be as confident as most here. I really do.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 8:14 pm to dallastiger55
It's near 50-50 in the popular vote, dt; with the Urban populations counting for 60% of the Left's 50. Trump owns the Suburbs/Rural Counties, which are the basis for Electoral votes.
Bottom line...this election will be trashed minus anything less that a election day landslide by Trump. The Dems will go to their usual ballot fraud MO, and neither side will lend cred/legitimacy to the 'winner'. This is a given.
It then comes down to whether Trump holds the raw power in the DC Bureaucracy to fend off the Deep State challenge...WHEN push comes to shove. Trump has said he won't concede in the event of suspected
mail in ballot fraud...and the Dems have shown (Muh Russia/Impeachment/Flynn/et al) just what they are capable of. Biden will not concede either. But given what MAY come via Declassification...he may be arrested.
Mexican standoff coming. Or worse.
Bottom line...this election will be trashed minus anything less that a election day landslide by Trump. The Dems will go to their usual ballot fraud MO, and neither side will lend cred/legitimacy to the 'winner'. This is a given.
It then comes down to whether Trump holds the raw power in the DC Bureaucracy to fend off the Deep State challenge...WHEN push comes to shove. Trump has said he won't concede in the event of suspected
mail in ballot fraud...and the Dems have shown (Muh Russia/Impeachment/Flynn/et al) just what they are capable of. Biden will not concede either. But given what MAY come via Declassification...he may be arrested. Mexican standoff coming. Or worse.
Posted on 10/12/20 at 8:18 pm to dallastiger55
I traveled through 7 states last week and saw a grand total of 4 Biden signs. No hats, t-shirts, or any other evidence of Biden support. I couldn't count the number of Trump stuff I saw because it was so numerous. Let that sink in... 7 states.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 6:42 am to Landmass
Did you hang out in urban areas? Biden signs and support are in cities.
What shocks me is he can’t get anyone to his events.
What shocks me is he can’t get anyone to his events.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 6:46 am to dallastiger55
Hilldawg was ahead in 2016.
Polls don’t mean jack shite.
The more Joe opens his piehole, the more votes Trump gets.
Polls don’t mean jack shite.
The more Joe opens his piehole, the more votes Trump gets.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 6:50 am to BamaPig
quote:
Hilldawg was ahead in 2016.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 6:59 am to dallastiger55
quote:
Even my Betus account today has Biden at -220 which is a MASSIVE favorite, and Vegas doesn't tend to hand out money.
If really want to win big, wait until the Vegas odds are extremely unfavorable for Trump to win, and then drop a grand on Trump to win.
Profit and Count the winnings on Election night.
Sometimes Vegas follows the money too. They know that if more people put money into a “sure thing” then they adjust the lines to make things more favorable to attract more bets without losing their shirt. It is no different than betting on sports.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:23 am to Tarps99
Again my original question- Gun to your head do you think Trump wins? I bet 9 out of 10 on here say yes and in a landslide
Not buying it. I also get tired of the “we didn’t lose we got cheated” crowd. It reminds me of the “we didn’t lose the refs cost us the game”
I think that’s what’s wrong with our country is nobody wants to accept responsibility. It’s always someone else’s fault or fraud. Whoever wins take your lumps and move on.
Every 4 years all I hear about is fraud and people not allowed to vote, etc. From both sides.
Not buying it. I also get tired of the “we didn’t lose we got cheated” crowd. It reminds me of the “we didn’t lose the refs cost us the game”
I think that’s what’s wrong with our country is nobody wants to accept responsibility. It’s always someone else’s fault or fraud. Whoever wins take your lumps and move on.
Every 4 years all I hear about is fraud and people not allowed to vote, etc. From both sides.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:28 am to Diseasefreeforall
quote:
Wow, I remember Trump being a +200 underdog in 2016 which was still worse odds than he has today but had no idea he was in the +500 +600 realm. I would’ve laid down big on those odds.
Trump is at +170 so his Vegas odds of winning this go round are much better than they were in 2016. If he wins as a big underdog twice that would be unprecedented for sure
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:33 am to dallastiger55
I don't think it'll be a landslide.
You can't underestimate the left's hatred for Trump. They would vote for satan himself if it meant getting Trump out of office. They are going to get out and vote.
We can't be complacent. We have to get out and vote Trump.
You can't underestimate the left's hatred for Trump. They would vote for satan himself if it meant getting Trump out of office. They are going to get out and vote.
We can't be complacent. We have to get out and vote Trump.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:35 am to Chimlim
quote:
You can't underestimate the left's hatred for Trump. They would vote for satan himself if it meant getting Trump out of office. They are going to get out and vote. We can't be complacent. We have to get out and vote Trump.
Agree 100%
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:40 am to RCDfan1950
quote:
Mexican standoff coming. Or worse.
Nope.
Here's what to watch:
1.PA -One of the first signs will be how close the race is in PA. If it's close or Trump is up then the election call won't take too long (I'd even say watch NY, if Trump is doing better in that state than in 2016 then we're good)
2. FLORIDA - If it doesn't take long to call FL for Trump then that is a VERY good sign (I expect Trump to win Florida no less than he did in 2016)
3. OHIO - Same as above.
4. If Trump wins PA and Florida early in the night then it's over. All he needs is 1 of the other 2 (WI or MI. I even think he has a shot at MN because of the riots).
I expect Trump to win OH and FL...if he does then he only needs 1 of 3 (PA, MI or WI).
Posted on 10/13/20 at 7:44 am to dallastiger55
I'm optimistic but not confident Trump will win. In a legitimate election, Trump wins. The variable is the security of the balloting. These people are completely unhinged and have led us to believe they will literally do anything to thwart this election.
Posted on 10/13/20 at 8:27 am to boomtown143
I think we get Florida and Ohio.
NC and Arizona are the next tier
Then it's the rust belt
Penn Mich Wi Minn
Wildcards are Nevada and New Hampshire
Take Florida and NC and New Hampshire early and I will get excited. Add Pennsylvania and that's a win probably.
Lose Florida or NC it's probably over. Pennsylvania loss can be made up because I dont see winning Penn without winning NC.
NC and Arizona are the next tier
Then it's the rust belt
Penn Mich Wi Minn
Wildcards are Nevada and New Hampshire
Take Florida and NC and New Hampshire early and I will get excited. Add Pennsylvania and that's a win probably.
Lose Florida or NC it's probably over. Pennsylvania loss can be made up because I dont see winning Penn without winning NC.
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