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Supravol22
Tennessee Fan
Member since Jan 2011
13893 posts

Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
This is the guy that helped make the Imperial College model that freaked everyone out with basically a world ending scenario. He's also directly advising the UK government's response. He went from saying they're going to be overwhelmed to "they have enough beds, and this should peak in 2-3 weeks" with around 20,000 dead at the most

Here's the original study

LINK

And his new thoughts

LINK
This post was edited on 3/26 at 8:17 am


The Maj
Alabama Fan
Member since Sep 2016
10248 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

Imperial College model


No one should have given any credibility to that model, especially given this organizations stance on climate change as well...

It is a hack, globalist organization that has steered the fear over this virus into a panic that is not warranted...


PsychTiger
LSU Fan
Charleston
Member since Jul 2004
70272 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
I'm guessing he credits Trump with reducing those numbers. No?


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140
Pepperoni
Auburn Fan
Member since Aug 2013
501 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune


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110
Mid Iowa Tiger
Iowa State Fan
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
7622 posts
 Online 

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
He should be held criminally liable. I know it won't happen, but the people who fanned the flames of fear on the front end of this basically yelled "FIRE" in a crowded movie theater.


MusclesofBrussels
Member since Dec 2015
2606 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
What a shocker. The same guy failed terribly at modeling swine flu. I'm not sure how he's such an expert when he's missed at such an enormous rate both times.
This post was edited on 3/26 at 8:19 am


Lsut81
Chicago Cubs Fan
Member since Jun 2005
70549 posts
 Online 

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune


Of course he is bc his initial claims were nothing more than fear mongering

This won’t be worse than 2009 H1N1


The Maj
Alabama Fan
Member since Sep 2016
10248 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

He should be held criminally liable.


Along with a lot of others that have been complicit in this...


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00
udtiger
LSU Fan
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2006
65279 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
TOLD YA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


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40
FLTech
USA Fan
Cumming, Georgia
Member since Sep 2017
4002 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
I think I am going to sue the frick out of this "expert" because he has wrecked my fricking business


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190
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Number 9 Fan
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
So in the revised prediction the UK will only have 20,000 deaths. What about the US?


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20
TIGER2
LSU Fan
Mandeville.La
Member since Jan 2006
9941 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
This just goes to show how much we really know about the unknown. I'am sure this guy went with the best info available at he time. We listened, sort of, changed the way we lived and the number of possible deaths theoretically will go down.


Number 9 Fan
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2020
681 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:


This just goes to show how much we really know about the unknown. I'am sure this guy went with the best info available at he time. We listened, sort of, changed the way we lived and the number of possible deaths theoretically will go down.

He was all wet, but what would the numbers be if we did nothing? 20,000 deaths in the UK is after they took measures, what would it be if they did nothing. The thing is we will Never know.


The Maj
Alabama Fan
Member since Sep 2016
10248 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

I'am sure this guy went with the best info available at he time.


dude went with an absolute worst case scenario, which was way overblown...

Same way the fricks with climate change discount anything that might make the numbers look better...


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90
EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
40096 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
Is this the study where the initial models were off by more than 50X when they found the math errors?


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60
Sidicous
LSU Fan
Middle of Nowhere
Member since Aug 2015
11038 posts
 Online 

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

What a shocker. The same guy failed terribly at modeling swine flu. I'm not sure how he's such an expert when he's missed at such an enormous rate both times.
Have you not seen what's acceptable limits on quality control across the pond?

Exhibit A, the dentistry




Exhibit B, the barbering




Probably could've just used this one for both A and B:



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ReauxlTide222
Alabama Fan
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
63627 posts
 Online 

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

He's also directly advising the UK government's response.
Haven’t they done a shite job and ignored the situation until a couple days ago?


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50
Jon Ham
Arkansas Fan
Member since Jun 2011
21326 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks.


His model showed that if restrictions were in place then capacity would not be exceeded.



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19
ApexTiger
LSU Fan
cary nc
Member since Oct 2003
42921 posts
 Online 

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
[quote]This won’t be worse than 2009 H1N1[/quote

From an economic point of view, its 1000% worse


Supravol22
Tennessee Fan
Member since Jan 2011
13893 posts

re: Scientist who predicted 2 million deaths in US and 500K in UK changes tune
quote:

He was all wet, but what would the numbers be if we did nothing? 20,000 deaths in the UK is after they took measures, what would it be if they did nothing.


They took measures 2 days ago and he's already saying it's basically solved their issues. Takes two weeks at the most to see any changes from that policy. Just think this dude is full of shite.

Our media ran with this model to freak out everyone and I bet NONE of them say a word when he says "Yeah, I was wrong"


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