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Private Payrolls Estimated To Rise by 2.37 Million in June, May Revised Up By 5.2 Million

Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:28 am
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16822 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:28 am
quote:

Private Payrolls Estimated To Rise by 2.37 Million in June, May Revised Up By 5.2 Million

LINK

U.S. private payrolls increased by 2.369 million in June, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Wednesday.

Data for May was revised up to show a 3.065 million rise in payrolls, instead of the previous estimate of a 2.76 decline.

Economists polled by Econoday had forecast private payrolls increasing by 3.5 million in June.

The ADP report, which is produced with Moody’s Analytics, is published in advance of the government’s more comprehensive monthly report on the employment situation. Last month, ADP showed payrolls shrinking by millions while the government’s report said the economy added 2.5 million jobs.


Small businesses are recovering from the Pandemic. Let's keep it that way.
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
52730 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:30 am to
quote:

May Revised Up By 5.2 Million


7.5 million jobs in 2 months.
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94645 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:30 am to
Funny this comes right as states are starting to shut everything down again.

“Goddammit, economic numbers are too good! Use Covid as an excuse!”
Posted by notsince98
KC, MO
Member since Oct 2012
17930 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:37 am to
i thought that may adjustment was a typo......nope. They were off by 5.2 million. WOW.
Posted by Roberteaux
mandeville
Member since Sep 2009
5808 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:39 am to
What does this put the unemployment rate at?
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37383 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:44 am to
quote:

thought that may adjustment was a typo......nope. They were off by 5.2 million. WOW.


How? How were economist off by this much
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94645 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:45 am to
Not sure but it seems to be a common theme that every set of Trump economic indicators actually gets better when adjustments are made.

Obama, OTOH, got middling numbers that were always adjusted downward when no one was paying attention anymore.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37383 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:46 am to
Has to be down close to 10, maybe even less right? I mean with April, May, June, and July that’s close to 10 million jobs added right?
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126843 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Data for May was revised up to show a 3.065 million rise in payrolls, instead of the previous estimate of a 2.76 decline.
So the initial report showed a DECLINE in payrolls of -2,760,000 and the revised report showed an INCREASE of +3,065,000 for a net error of almost +6,000,000?!?

Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89452 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:46 am to
There's your answer on "muh second wave"- not damaging enough.
Posted by Oilfieldbiology
Member since Nov 2016
37383 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:46 am to
quote:

Not sure but it seems to be a common theme that every set of Trump economic indicators actually gets better when adjustments are made. Obama, OTOH, got middling numbers that were always adjusted downward when no one was paying attention anymore.


Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain
Posted by tigersbb
Member since Oct 2012
10232 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 10:53 am to
quote:

Not sure but it seems to be a common theme that every set of Trump economic indicators actually gets better when adjustments are made.

Obama, OTOH, got middling numbers that were always adjusted downward when no one was paying attention anymore.


Guess there actually is a magic wand- its called TRUMP.
Posted by meeple
Carcassonne
Member since May 2011
9310 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 11:59 am to
Good news
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16822 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

So the initial report showed a DECLINE in payrolls of -2,760,000 and the revised report showed an INCREASE of +3,065,000 for a net error of almost +6,000,000?!?



With the pandemic, I guess they don't really have a way to accurately do this. The impact of the pandemic on the economy was very lopsided with a heavy hit to restaurants, bars, hotels, and airlines. Other aspects of the economy were not impacted as badly and seem to be recovering very quickly.
This post was edited on 7/1/20 at 2:00 pm
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98282 posts
Posted on 7/1/20 at 2:15 pm to
Hence...the screams for shutdowns and retrenchment
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