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Predict the 2020 election at this point in time...
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:19 am
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:19 am
LINK
Based on today, assuming Biden is not the candidate, I have the map above which shows a 269-269 tie with Trump winning PA but losing MI, WI, and AZ from 2016. House votes for Trump which induces maximum liberal melt.
In the Senate, I think GOP picks up MI and AL while losing AZ and CO, so maintains 53 GOP senators.
In the House, probably a razor thin majority (<5 seats) for either party.
Based on today, assuming Biden is not the candidate, I have the map above which shows a 269-269 tie with Trump winning PA but losing MI, WI, and AZ from 2016. House votes for Trump which induces maximum liberal melt.
In the Senate, I think GOP picks up MI and AL while losing AZ and CO, so maintains 53 GOP senators.
In the House, probably a razor thin majority (<5 seats) for either party.
11
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:21 am to GeneralLee
quote:
I have the map above which shows a 269-269 tie with Trump winning PA but losing MI, WI, and AZ from 2016. House votes for Trump which induces maximum liberal melt.
Nope. Not unless there is massive fraud and violent intimidation at the polls is there any chance Trump gets a tie. Don't fall for the bullshite. He's going to run away with it.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:21 am to GeneralLee
With or without Red Flag laws.
This is a make or break deal for Trump and re-election. If he signs a red flag law there will be a D in the Whitehouse in 2020.
This is a make or break deal for Trump and re-election. If he signs a red flag law there will be a D in the Whitehouse in 2020.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:23 am to Mid Iowa Tiger
Hopefully without! Yeah if he signs red-flag laws he's going to lose 50-100K votes from baws in PA easily, which could be the margin needed.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:25 am to Nguyener
quote:
He's going to run away with it.
Yall are as delusional as the Dems who thought Hillary was going to run away with it. I still think Trump wins but he's not going to win in a blow out
This post was edited on 8/8/19 at 10:26 am
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:26 am to GeneralLee
Liz Warren vs Trump.
Trump wins easily.
Trump wins easily.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:28 am to GeneralLee
Trump will not win. The Democrats will do whatever it takes to stop him.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:29 am to GeneralLee
Trump wins by landslide because silent majority is sick of the nonsense they hear day in and day out from MSM and Dems.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:31 am to GeneralLee
Sans an economic meltdown or passage of Red Flag laws, he wins going away.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:31 am to GeneralLee
quote:
Hopefully without! Yeah if he signs red-flag laws he's going to lose 50-100K votes from baws in PA easily, which could be the margin needed.
He will loose not only those in PA but Ohio, Iowa, Minnesota (which he likely won't win anyway), he will loose way more than that in Texas which won't mean a D will carry but the down ticket impact will be huge.
Trump signing Red Flag laws will be disastrous on a level of "read my lips" Bush I.
I would say PA, OH, IA, WI, MI, and WI go blue if Trump signs that damn law. I think FL, and GA are at risk. This one POS legislation will kill his re-election and it is nothing but a feel good answer absolutely zero upside to a red flag law for this president.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:32 am to GeneralLee
Wouldn't it be more entertaining to predict 2024?
As if there were any chance at all Trump would lose...
As if there were any chance at all Trump would lose...
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:37 am to GeneralLee
That’s a good post. Yes, AL will flip to GOP. Dems barely hold House, GOP the Senate by a hair
Trump loses Michigan and Wis. Close election. PA will be interesting. Trump loses that one too and he loses the WH.
Trump loses Michigan and Wis. Close election. PA will be interesting. Trump loses that one too and he loses the WH.
This post was edited on 8/8/19 at 10:38 am
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:54 am to GeneralLee
People strongly underestimate the silent majority. Trump is picking up voters, not losing them.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:55 am to GeneralLee
Trump will win by a similar margin as 2016.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:58 am to greygoose
quote:
People strongly underestimate the silent majority. Trump is picking up voters, not losing them.
while i agree with Trump mostly, i didn't vote for him last time. barring him doing something pretty stupid, i'm going to vote for him this time.
i'd happily vote for a moderate democrat at this time, but they appear to be extinct or in hiding.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 10:58 am to Ted2010
I will permanent ban bet anybody, Trump will definitely win !!
There isn't a winning combination, in the whole group of 20 something democrat clowns !!
There isn't a winning combination, in the whole group of 20 something democrat clowns !!
This post was edited on 8/8/19 at 11:01 am
Posted on 8/8/19 at 11:00 am to Ted2010
It’s amazing to see all the polls that show Trump losing to every single Dem candidate, but if you look most Vegas odd sheets, they show Trump with far better odds than everyone.
Also, the Dem race shows Biden, Sanders and Warren pretty tight together, not Biden leading by such a huge margin like most polls show.
Also, the Dem race shows Biden, Sanders and Warren pretty tight together, not Biden leading by such a huge margin like most polls show.
Posted on 8/8/19 at 11:03 am to GeneralLee
If I had to bet on it right now I would go with:
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