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re: One graph which makes it clear what we must do to reduce gun homicides..

Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:20 pm to
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45791 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Causes of death attributable to firearm mortality include ICD-10 Codes W32-W34, Accidental discharge of firearm; Codes X72-X74, Intentional self-harm by firearm and Y35.0, Legal intervention involving firearm discharge.




So suicides and accidental discharge as well as self-defense...
Posted by IceTiger
Really hot place
Member since Oct 2007
26584 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

So Wyoming, Montana, and Alaska have a much larger gun death issue than Illinois?

Sorry but that is misleading.


It's per capita and includes gun suicides and accidents...which are more common than homicides there...

North Dakota had a murder rate of 2 in '08, but per capita, it slings it into the top 10

Posted by BACONisMEATcandy
Member since Dec 2007
46643 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:22 pm to
2000 Florida Voter?

J/k
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45791 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

I hunt with a guy who has over 90 sxs shotguns

He cussed me every time he sees me with a semi auto that shoots 3.5’s


You are a damn heathen and he is a gentleman...
Posted by boxcarbarney
Above all things, be a man
Member since Jul 2007
22699 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

I was part of the 3%, until I lost most of my firearms in an unfortunate boating accident.


Boating accident... yeah, that's the ticket. I lost mine in a boating accident too. Yeah.
Posted by tiger 56
Severn, MD
Member since Dec 2003
1681 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

I was part of the 3%, until I lost most of my firearms in an unfortunate boating accident.


I’ve shared my experience on here previously but the short version, I was similarly victimized by a boating accident.
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa
Member since Aug 2012
13476 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

I was part of the 3%, until I lost most of my firearms in an unfortunate boating accident.




#metoo
Posted by wmr
North of Dickson, South of Herman's
Member since Mar 2009
32518 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 4:49 pm to
Damn the 90s were brutal.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25541 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:04 pm to
What the graph shows is Bill Clinton putting in work to reduce homicides, actually the correlation is MUCH higher than the increase in guns. In general, the chart shows that gun homicides have been generally flat since 1999 despite gun per person going WAY up. It just doesn't say what people seem to be implying.

In the end, correlation does not equal causation so the graph is absolutely useless to support or make any conclusion only the weak minded would consider it such.
Posted by Terry the Tiger
Cypress, Texas
Member since Jul 2009
3494 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:08 pm to
There are lies, damned lies, and statistics.

I made a graph that says as Amazon’s revenues have increase so have the numbers of mass murders. Is Amazon responsible?

The number of mass murders has gone up along with the number of women CEOs? Are those women to blame?

As the percentage of obese Americans increases, so has the number of mass shootings? Is high-fructose syrup to blame for the increased mass shootings?

Posted by N.O. via West-Cal
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2004
7177 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:17 pm to
I largely agree with you, Terry, but I can't help but wonder if that's how you characterize statistics when they appear to support your position.
Posted by Powerman
Member since Jan 2004
162190 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:22 pm to
quote:

One graph which makes it clear what we must do to reduce gun homicides

If you're really simple minded sure
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89472 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

What the graph shows is Bill Clinton putting in work to reduce homicides




Gun crime plummeted in the late 80s through the aughts because of a variety of factors - the "Richmond" model (btw, endorsed by the NRA) gave law enforcement a tool to target and remove those criminals most likely to be involved in gun crime, mental health drugs were undergoing a Renaissance and just a generalized easing off of a peak in gun crime in the 1970s/1980s with drug turf wars (you see vestiges of it in Chicago, Baltimore, parts of L.A., D.C., etc.) dying down at the end of the cocaine cartel era.

I mean, again, there is a PC stumbling block to a lot of this - yes, these school shootings seem far too common and tend to hit a non-traditional demographic of American gun crime - but even with our hundreds of millions of guns and relatively liberal gun laws compared to Europe and Asia, if you removed a particular type of gun crime from our stats (rhymes with "Hurban, slack-on-slack"), then our gun crime stats look shockingly like France, Switzerland, Austria, etc.

But, we can't say that because of the non-PC implications of saying such a thing.
Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:34 pm to
quote:

So suicides and accidental discharge as well as self-defense...



To get the true number we need to remove those and also domestic violence related deaths. Those are just like suicides because if a man wants to kill his wife he can do it without a gun just as easily as he could commit suicide without a gun.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25541 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:39 pm to
quote:




Gun crime plummeted in the late 80s through the aughts because of a variety of factors


Really... you didn't get the point did you?

This board is so full of ridiculous shite that even the most over the top sarcasm is thought to be an actual opinion.

Extreme simple version:

Correlation does not equal causation, the graph is useless.
Posted by Dawgfanman
Member since Jun 2015
22198 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:42 pm to
quote:

Correlation does not equal causation, the graph is useless.


Makes it fairly clear that an increase in guns didn’t result in an increase in gun homicides, no?
Posted by shrevetigertom
Shreveport
Member since Sep 2005
4011 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:43 pm to
How many of the gun deaths involved legally registered guns?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89472 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Really... you didn't get the point did you?



I wasn't reading an over-the-top sarcasm vibe - my apologies.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25541 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Makes it fairly clear that an increase in guns didn’t result in an increase in gun homicides, no?



It is easy to fall into such logical fallacies if that is what you want to believe. Your conclusion requires that the only variable is the increase in guns. This is not the case. It is a cute graph that fits an agenda, may who want to believe it will.

I am not saying it is not part of the causation, I can't because we just have a simple graph for a highly complex situation. There is just no way to ascribe ANY amount of causation with what you presented if you have more then it might.

Don't get so intellectually lazy that you are easy to lead down the primrose path even if that's where you really want to go.
Posted by Obtuse1
Westside Bodymore Yo
Member since Sep 2016
25541 posts
Posted on 2/19/18 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

I wasn't reading an over-the-top sarcasm vibe - my apologies.


No problem, sarcasm is hard to see here. It is actually easy to think someone believes Bill Clinton alone was the result in the huge drop in homicides, just like so many believe this graph means more guns mean less homicide, nothing is that simple.
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