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notslim99
LSU Fan
City of Bossier City
Member since Feb 2005
4343 posts

Official EC prediction thread...
Post your EC prediction!
270 To Win
Image: https://www.270towin.com/map-images/XNmp8


The only ones that I’m iffy on are VA and ME.



Bunyan
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2016
20681 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...


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271
Seldom Seen
USA Fan
Member since Feb 2016
33220 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...


notslim99
LSU Fan
City of Bossier City
Member since Feb 2005
4343 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
Muh polls!


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Bob Sacamano
Tulane Fan
The Whale's Vagina
Member since Oct 2008
4689 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
Just win baby!


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30
LSUSkip
LSU Fan
Walker,LA
Member since Jul 2012
8069 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
I really think if CO goes red, NM does too even though the polls aren't saying so.


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12
PotatoChip
LSU Fan
Member since May 2014
2080 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
What the hell is wrong with Illinois


LordSaintly
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Dec 2005
33156 posts
 Online 

re: Official EC prediction thread...
My map is the same as yours except I don't think Trump wins MN, VA, CO, or NH.


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rds dc
Colorado Fan
Member since Jun 2008
16945 posts
 Online 

re: Official EC prediction thread...
Image: https://i.ibb.co/vjGGhHP/Untitled.png


Based on higher turnout from Trump's base (non-college graduate whites) vs. '16 and slightly better performance with minorities vs. '16. Sad Nate Bronze and other pollsters have talked about how these groups are notoriously hard to poll and most polls simply use historical numbers for these groups.

This post was edited on 10/20 at 8:56 pm


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SCLibertarian
South Carolina Fan
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
23616 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...


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LordSaintly
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Dec 2005
33156 posts
 Online 

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

What the hell is wrong with Illinois



Chicago tips the scales. A lot.


notslim99
LSU Fan
City of Bossier City
Member since Feb 2005
4343 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

Chicago tips the scales. A lot.


Perfect example for the need for the Electoral College.


KCT
USA Fan
Psalm 23:5
Member since Feb 2010
37637 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
Image: https://www.270towin.com/maps/XNmp8.png


I'm thinking that's about right. To be conservative, I'll give Corrupt Joe Minnesota and Virgina, which adjusts the final numbers to:

Trump 325 Corrupt Joe 213





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30
VolInBavaria
Tennessee Fan
Chattanooga, TN
Member since Dec 2015
3832 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

What the hell is wrong with Illinois

Chicago fricks that entire state. The rest of it is pretty conservative


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40
waiting4saturday
LSU Fan
Covington, LA
Member since Sep 2005
6599 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
I think it’ll look exactly like 2016.


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LordSaintly
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Dec 2005
33156 posts
 Online 

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

Perfect example for the need for the Electoral College.



Bingo


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40
deltaland
Mississippi St. Fan
Member since Mar 2011
58920 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
Is that a legit prediction by 538? Holy shite that’s retarded


LSUSkip
LSU Fan
Walker,LA
Member since Jul 2012
8069 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

Chicago tips the scales. A lot.



same problem with NY, there is a very very small miniscule chance that IL could flip with enough non-Chicago turnout. NY has no shot.


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notslim99
LSU Fan
City of Bossier City
Member since Feb 2005
4343 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

Is that a legit prediction by 538?


It’s a prediction, alright! Legit is the questionable part here.


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00
PEEPO
Member since Sep 2020
961 posts

re: Official EC prediction thread...
quote:

What the hell is wrong with Illinois


Chicago is to the state of Illinois what a gigantic malignant tumor is to an otherwise healthy body.

I feel sorry for all the good people of Illinois held hostage by the Chicago trash.
This post was edited on 10/20 at 9:20 pm


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