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New Trafalgar Polls: Trump +2.1% in FL, -2.4% in NV

Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:33 am
Posted by gatorsimz
cafe risque
Member since Feb 2009
8135 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:33 am
Florida

MOE: 2.89%

Nevada

MOE: 2.98%

https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:37 am
Posted by Eat Your Crow
caught beneath the landslide
Member since May 2017
9190 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:34 am to
Nevada will be razor thin.

Sucks that two of the states with the closest margins have the most mail-in bullshite going on (Penn & Nevada).
Posted by bayoumuscle21
St. George
Member since Jan 2012
4633 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:35 am to
NV blows my mind...
Posted by LuckyTiger
Someone's Alter
Member since Dec 2008
45161 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:35 am to
Disappointing in NV.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
15528 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:39 am to
Not counting on NV going red. FL is looking good
Posted by KosmoCramer
Member since Dec 2007
76476 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to
quote:

NV blows my mind...


Why?
Trump didn't win it in 16.
Posted by gatorsimz
cafe risque
Member since Feb 2009
8135 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to
I think FL is wrapped up for Trump. Biden's total EV vote is down to a 0.54% advantage vs. the 2016 EV spread. That gap should be close to 0% by the end of today and favor Trump by the end of EV.

I.e. Trump will be in a better position going into election day than he was in 2016. Also, I think the ED vote will be a wider spread favoring Rs than it was in 2016
Posted by igoringa
South Mississippi
Member since Jun 2007
11875 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:41 am to
I have been watching Nevada... Rs are chipping away at the D lead but not at a fast enough clip... need a real push or for their to be hidden Latino D's and I's that flip
Posted by PhDoogan
Member since Sep 2018
14947 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:41 am to
quote:

Disappointing in NV.


Lucky Tiger being very Unlucky.

C'mon man, NV is a potential flip and he's within the MOE, with the majority in the lean Trump category.

Posted by FlyingTiger1955
Member since Jan 2019
5765 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:42 am to
Nevada will be blue. Its fools gold for Republicans.
Posted by jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
6551 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:44 am to
quote:

NV blows my mind...


Contact high from being too close to California
Posted by BayBengal9
Bay St. Louis, MS
Member since Nov 2019
4171 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:47 am to
Trump wins Florida by 3-5%, Nevada is going to be close, but Trump wins by <5k votes.*

*That is the real vote count on election night. How many mail in ballots pop up 3 days after the election is impossible to guess.
Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
15528 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:47 am to
I see the media keeping AZ and NV in play all night long so to avoid the wait I am counting on FL, NC, and OH going red by 10PM central time. From there all we need is either MI or PA assuming AZ is a lock from early estimates. I fully expect the media to only make a call if Biden appears to be the winner. If Trump is up they will defer to the next day due to mail-in ballots.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
56350 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:49 am to
quote:


Sucks that two of the states with the closest margins have the most mail-in bullshite going on (Penn & Nevada).




It's not a coincidence that the democrats have determined Pennsylvania will be ground zero for the cheating.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47119 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Why?
Trump didn't win it in 16.


Lockdowns kill most of Nevada's businesses and Biden wants more of them.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72460 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:15 am to
quote:

Why?


because W took that state, plus CO and NH and VA!

zero excuse for vegas voting blue. u can thank cali transplant workers for that. people born in nevada vote red.
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72460 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to
quote:

Nevada will be blue. Its fools gold for Republicans.




signed

GEORGE W BUSH, daddy bush and reagan!
Posted by Homesick Tiger
Greenbrier, AR
Member since Nov 2006
54202 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to
So according to election lore if Trump takes both Ohio and Florida I can make book?
Posted by Ancient Astronaut
Member since May 2015
32923 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to
Donny Rotten!
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
141034 posts
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:24 am to
It'll be so interesting to see if Trump does another midnight rally in a "blue" state heading into Election Day like he did in 2016 when he popped up in Grand Rapids, Michigan and everyone was like "WTF is he doing there?"
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