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Message
New Trafalgar Polls: Trump +2.1% in FL, -2.4% in NV
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:33 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:33 am
Florida
MOE: 2.89%
Nevada
MOE: 2.98%
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
MOE: 2.89%
Nevada
MOE: 2.98%
https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/
This post was edited on 10/30/20 at 8:37 am
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:34 am to gatorsimz
Nevada will be razor thin.
Sucks that two of the states with the closest margins have the most mail-in bullshite going on (Penn & Nevada).
Sucks that two of the states with the closest margins have the most mail-in bullshite going on (Penn & Nevada).
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:39 am to gatorsimz
Not counting on NV going red. FL is looking good
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to bayoumuscle21
quote:
NV blows my mind...
Why?
Trump didn't win it in 16.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:40 am to gatorsimz
I think FL is wrapped up for Trump. Biden's total EV vote is down to a 0.54% advantage vs. the 2016 EV spread. That gap should be close to 0% by the end of today and favor Trump by the end of EV.
I.e. Trump will be in a better position going into election day than he was in 2016. Also, I think the ED vote will be a wider spread favoring Rs than it was in 2016
I.e. Trump will be in a better position going into election day than he was in 2016. Also, I think the ED vote will be a wider spread favoring Rs than it was in 2016
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:41 am to jcaz
I have been watching Nevada... Rs are chipping away at the D lead but not at a fast enough clip... need a real push or for their to be hidden Latino D's and I's that flip
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:41 am to LuckyTiger
quote:
Disappointing in NV.
Lucky Tiger being very Unlucky.
C'mon man, NV is a potential flip and he's within the MOE, with the majority in the lean Trump category.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:42 am to Eat Your Crow
Nevada will be blue. Its fools gold for Republicans.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:44 am to bayoumuscle21
quote:
NV blows my mind...
Contact high from being too close to California
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:47 am to gatorsimz
Trump wins Florida by 3-5%, Nevada is going to be close, but Trump wins by <5k votes.*
*That is the real vote count on election night. How many mail in ballots pop up 3 days after the election is impossible to guess.
*That is the real vote count on election night. How many mail in ballots pop up 3 days after the election is impossible to guess.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:47 am to igoringa
I see the media keeping AZ and NV in play all night long so to avoid the wait I am counting on FL, NC, and OH going red by 10PM central time. From there all we need is either MI or PA assuming AZ is a lock from early estimates. I fully expect the media to only make a call if Biden appears to be the winner. If Trump is up they will defer to the next day due to mail-in ballots.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:49 am to Eat Your Crow
quote:
Sucks that two of the states with the closest margins have the most mail-in bullshite going on (Penn & Nevada).
It's not a coincidence that the democrats have determined Pennsylvania will be ground zero for the cheating.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 8:49 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
Why?
Trump didn't win it in 16.
Lockdowns kill most of Nevada's businesses and Biden wants more of them.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:15 am to KosmoCramer
quote:
Why?
because W took that state, plus CO and NH and VA!
zero excuse for vegas voting blue. u can thank cali transplant workers for that. people born in nevada vote red.
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to FlyingTiger1955
quote:
Nevada will be blue. Its fools gold for Republicans.
signed
GEORGE W BUSH, daddy bush and reagan!
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:17 am to gatorsimz
So according to election lore if Trump takes both Ohio and Florida I can make book?
Posted on 10/30/20 at 9:24 am to Ancient Astronaut
It'll be so interesting to see if Trump does another midnight rally in a "blue" state heading into Election Day like he did in 2016 when he popped up in Grand Rapids, Michigan and everyone was like "WTF is he doing there?"
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