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Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits

Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:18 pm
Posted by GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
695 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:18 pm
quote:

Alaska Republican Kelly Tshibaka leads Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) by double digits in the race for one of the state’s Senate seats, according to a poll released Monday.


Bye bye HAG!

quote:

Across all voters, only 33 percent have a favorable image of the Alaska Republican, and 63 percent have an unfavorable view of Murkowski. Among Republicans, only ten percent have a positive image of Murkowski, and 87 percent have an unfavorable view of her.

In contrast, 61 percent of Donald Trump voters approve of Tshibaka, 61 percent of Republicans approve of her, and 59 percent of conservatives view the Republican challenger in a positive light.



LINK



The Dem is polling within a percent of Hag
Posted by teke184
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
94746 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:19 pm to
HAG once made it through by leveraging the family name along with Dems willing to cross over and vote for her.

Don’t see that working this time around.
Posted by GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
695 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:20 pm to
It won't.
Posted by squid_hunt
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2021
11272 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:20 pm to
This is going to be beautiful. I may cry.
Posted by Northshoretiger87
Member since Apr 2016
3662 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:21 pm to
Tshibaka is going to finally be the representation Alaska deserves. Send Murkowski to Nome.
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
70778 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:23 pm to
:hatetoseeit:
Posted by Lynxrufus2012
Central Kentucky
Member since Mar 2020
12048 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:23 pm to
What a shame. Lie with the dogs and you get fleas, Lisa.
Posted by tjv305
Member since May 2015
12504 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:34 pm to
Good news. Hopefully she gets beat . It’s time to send the rhinos home.
Posted by gaetti15
AK
Member since Apr 2013
13354 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:35 pm to
Will be interesting to see how the ranked choice voting and open jungle primaries work this next election.

Have to imagine every Dem out here will have Murkowski 1 or 2 depending on who represents the Dems
Posted by Northwestern tiger
Long Island NY
Member since Oct 2005
23482 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:42 pm to
This is an open primary system, Murkowski will win re-election

Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
73094 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:46 pm to
Posted by GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
695 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:48 pm to
No she won't. She won't reach 50% plus 1.


She will be eliminated

Posted by GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
695 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:51 pm to
In 2020, Alaska voters approved a ballot initiative establishing a top-four primary for state executive, state legislative, and congressional elections. The initiative also established ranked-choice voting for general elections for the aforementioned offices and the presidency.

Under Alaska's top-four primary system, all candidates for a given office run in a single primary election. The top four vote-getters, regardless of partisan affiliation, then advance to the general election.


Hag and her challenger will make it into the 4.


In general elections, voters rank the four candidates that advanced from the primaries. A candidate needs a simple majority of the vote (50 percent + 1) to be declared the winner of an election. If no candidate wins a simple majority of votes cast, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated from the running. Voters who selected that candidate as their first choice have their votes redistributed to their second choices. The tabulation process continues in rounds until a candidate receives a simple majority.


Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
35934 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

The measure will introduce primaries that are open to candidates with any or no political parties. The top four finishers will advance to the general elections, in which voters will be able to rank their choices. Candidates will win if they receive a majority of the first-preference votes. If none receives a majority on the first count, the votes for trailing candidates will be redistributed until a candidate receives a majority, or all ballots are exhausted.

The primary system has been completely overhauled to benefit Murkowski. It's a jungle primary with a ranked voting system. This was specifically adopted because Murkowski cannot win a closed primary. She is going to win again because the idiots up there approved a ballot measure allowing this ludicrous election scheme.
Posted by GardenDistrictTiger
Fort Worth
Member since Sep 2020
2480 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Tshibaka is going to finally be the representation Alaska deserves.


What do you know about Tshibaka? She might be a rino too?
This post was edited on 4/5/21 at 2:00 pm
Posted by Northshoretiger87
Member since Apr 2016
3662 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:00 pm to
How can she worse than Murkowski?
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53435 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:05 pm to
quote:

The primary system has been completely overhauled to benefit Murkowski. It's a jungle primary with a ranked voting system. This was specifically adopted because Murkowski cannot win a closed primary. She is going to win again because the idiots up there approved a ballot measure allowing this ludicrous election scheme.



Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


She will not come close to beating her challenger.
Posted by prplhze2000
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
51341 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:07 pm to
This has happened before. She lost a primary and won as independent
Posted by BuckyCheese
Member since Jan 2015
48733 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

What do you know about Tshibaka?


Appears to have nice cans.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53435 posts
Posted on 4/5/21 at 2:08 pm to
Again... with the new system voted on and into law in 2020, explain the scenario where she can win.



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