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GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
351 posts

Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
quote:

Alaska Republican Kelly Tshibaka leads Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) by double digits in the race for one of the state’s Senate seats, according to a poll released Monday.


Bye bye HAG!

quote:

Across all voters, only 33 percent have a favorable image of the Alaska Republican, and 63 percent have an unfavorable view of Murkowski. Among Republicans, only ten percent have a positive image of Murkowski, and 87 percent have an unfavorable view of her.

In contrast, 61 percent of Donald Trump voters approve of Tshibaka, 61 percent of Republicans approve of her, and 59 percent of conservatives view the Republican challenger in a positive light.



LINK



The Dem is polling within a percent of Hag


teke184
LSU Fan
Zachary, LA
Member since Jan 2007
59092 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
HAG once made it through by leveraging the family name along with Dems willing to cross over and vote for her.

Don’t see that working this time around.


GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
351 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
It won't.


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60
squid_hunt
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2021
2925 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
This is going to be beautiful. I may cry.


Northshoretiger87
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2016
1186 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
Tshibaka is going to finally be the representation Alaska deserves. Send Murkowski to Nome.


Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
57849 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
:hatetoseeit:


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100
Lynxrufus2012
Kentucky Fan
Member since Mar 2020
3753 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
What a shame. Lie with the dogs and you get fleas, Lisa.


tjv305
Florida Fan
Member since May 2015
10206 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
Good news. Hopefully she gets beat . It’s time to send the rhinos home.


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170
gaetti15
Navy Fan
AK
Member since Apr 2013
10859 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
Will be interesting to see how the ranked choice voting and open jungle primaries work this next election.

Have to imagine every Dem out here will have Murkowski 1 or 2 depending on who represents the Dems


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50
Northwestern tiger
Minnesota Fan
Minneapolis
Member since Oct 2005
22151 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
This is an open primary system, Murkowski will win re-election



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SDVTiger
Hawaii Fan
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
52154 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits


GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
351 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
No she won't. She won't reach 50% plus 1.


She will be eliminated



GodnCountry
Member since Jan 2021
351 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
In 2020, Alaska voters approved a ballot initiative establishing a top-four primary for state executive, state legislative, and congressional elections. The initiative also established ranked-choice voting for general elections for the aforementioned offices and the presidency.

Under Alaska's top-four primary system, all candidates for a given office run in a single primary election. The top four vote-getters, regardless of partisan affiliation, then advance to the general election.


Hag and her challenger will make it into the 4.


In general elections, voters rank the four candidates that advanced from the primaries. A candidate needs a simple majority of the vote (50 percent + 1) to be declared the winner of an election. If no candidate wins a simple majority of votes cast, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated from the running. Voters who selected that candidate as their first choice have their votes redistributed to their second choices. The tabulation process continues in rounds until a candidate receives a simple majority.




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80
SCLibertarian
South Carolina Fan
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
25999 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
quote:

The measure will introduce primaries that are open to candidates with any or no political parties. The top four finishers will advance to the general elections, in which voters will be able to rank their choices. Candidates will win if they receive a majority of the first-preference votes. If none receives a majority on the first count, the votes for trailing candidates will be redistributed until a candidate receives a majority, or all ballots are exhausted.

The primary system has been completely overhauled to benefit Murkowski. It's a jungle primary with a ranked voting system. This was specifically adopted because Murkowski cannot win a closed primary. She is going to win again because the idiots up there approved a ballot measure allowing this ludicrous election scheme.


GardenDistrictTiger
US Army Fan
Member since Sep 2020
2089 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
quote:

Tshibaka is going to finally be the representation Alaska deserves.


What do you know about Tshibaka? She might be a rino too?
This post was edited on 4/5 at 2:00 pm


Northshoretiger87
LSU Fan
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2016
1186 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
How can she worse than Murkowski?


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190
Jjdoc
Columbia Fan
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
33593 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
quote:

The primary system has been completely overhauled to benefit Murkowski. It's a jungle primary with a ranked voting system. This was specifically adopted because Murkowski cannot win a closed primary. She is going to win again because the idiots up there approved a ballot measure allowing this ludicrous election scheme.



Walk me through it in any scenario where Murkowski wins.


She will not come close to beating her challenger.


prplhze2000
LSU Fan
Parts Unknown
Member since Jan 2007
45897 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
This has happened before. She lost a primary and won as independent


BuckyCheese
Wisconsin Fan
Member since Jan 2015
17204 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
quote:

What do you know about Tshibaka?


Appears to have nice cans.


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60
Jjdoc
Columbia Fan
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
33593 posts

re: Never Trumper and GOPE Murkowski down by double digits
Again... with the new system voted on and into law in 2020, explain the scenario where she can win.





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