Morning Consult GOP primary poll: Trump 48%, DeSantis 31%, Pence 8%, and others.

Incredible that DeSantis is north of 30 even before declaring and with nowhere near the name recognition yet

Lots of normal people that don't follow politics closely like us losers

Agree. Trump is unloading everything he can while Ron is sitting back. I’d love to see it get to a debate.

These polls are all over the place. The fact that Trump is not doing well raising money and Desantis hasn't even declared yet is telling. Trump has zero chance in the general whether you want to admit it or not.

8% are not voting for Pence. He would be lucky to get 1%

I mean, that you would actually use “zero” os what’s telling. Tells me that you did have at least some level of credibility, maybe just by default. But then you said zero and in my mind that disqualifies you from any legitimate discussion. Most especially due to the fact that he already did win one, so if by virtue of that only, it’s irrational and illogical to think he would have zero chance.

Hmmm, Liz Cheney has dropped a bit. Hope it doesn't discourage her. I want to see her in the primary debates.

You probably only end up with Pence, Haley, Pompeo and Scott from that list. And of course Desantis.

Like good little kids, Pence , Pompeo, and Haley will all drop out at the same time and say something like this,

"All 3 us of served President Trump proudly very high up in his administration and we all accomplished great things together. However now is the time to look forward to a new generation of leadership and we all enthusiastically endorse Ron Desantis as our best chance to win in November."

Haley and Scott are running for exposure and possible VP picks.

quote:

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it’s irrational and illogical to think he would have zero chance.

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you are seizing on a figure of speech.

tell us what % of happening are these.
we can use your educated guesses as part of the algorithm.

1. from 0 to 100%
fanni willis gets an indictment and holds a trial to conclusion.
ill say 80%
and another 80% she gets a conviction so 64%.
now you. indictment?
guess likelihood of guilty verdict .
2. doj indicts for whatever. 0 to 100.
ill go 90.
and 80% for Guilty verdict.
thats 72%
now you.

you add up his exposure on stormy daniels lie on his campaign funds and the above doj and fulton county;
any of that happens and desantis is frontrunner.