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Lowest unemployment rate in 10 years

Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:29 pm
Posted by SoulGlo
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
17248 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:29 pm
Ok, we all know the 4.4% u3 number is complete bullshite and the books have been cooked. Maybe now liberals will admit it.

I just want to see it stop being touted by the same people who knew it was bullshite 3 years ago.
Posted by mmcgrath
Indianapolis
Member since Feb 2010
35351 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:34 pm to
Because people are dropping out of the workforce!!!
Participation rate is down!!!

Wanted to try it once.

Posted by a want
I love everybody
Member since Oct 2010
19756 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:36 pm to
But the PARTICIPATION RATE!!!!

borrowed from the last 8 years of "the economy is improving" threads

Also: Germans
This post was edited on 5/5/17 at 3:37 pm
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:36 pm to
quote:

But the PARTICIPATION RATE!!!! borrowed from the last 8 years.


You know how I can tell you didn't take the time to look up the participation rate...........
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:39 pm to
quote:

Ok, we all know the 4.4% u3 number is complete bull shite and the books have been cooked. Maybe now liberals will admit it.

I just want to see it stop being touted by the same people who knew it was bull shite 3 years ago.
Meh. The problem is having an "official" rate when they have multiple rates, each with strengths and weaknesses. The books aren't cooked, but elevating a single flawed statistic and making it official, can paint a flawed picture.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75097 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:39 pm to
Why does economic data have to be partisan? If it does well under an administration that I'm not a fan of I'll still give them credit for a good economy and vice versa.
Posted by EKG
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2010
43962 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:41 pm to
Forbes
quote:

The much-discussed U-6 figure -- often referred to as the "real" unemployment rate because it measures the percent of total unemployed plus people who are marginally attached to the labor force or working part time for economic reasons -- dipped to 8.6%, down from 8.9% in March and 9.3% in April 2016.

The labor force participation rate, meanwhile, remained virtually unchanged at 62.9%. Steve Rick, chief economist at CUNA Mutual Group, said that the stagnation in this number isn't too concerning because a demographic shift (retiring Baby Boomers) is offsetting the economic growth, and higher participation in prior years was a largely demographic-driven event.
Posted by SavageOrangeJug
Member since Oct 2005
19758 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:43 pm to
The unemployment rate is simply the number of people drawing benefits.

Literally tens of millions have exhausted benefits and are no longer counted.

That is why liberals HATE participation rate numbers. Those numbers tell the true story.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

Why does economic data have to be partisan? If it does well under an administration that I'm not a fan of I'll still give them credit for a good economy and vice versa.
Not sure why you responded to me.

I was simply taking humor in the first two responses.
Posted by SavageOrangeJug
Member since Oct 2005
19758 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:44 pm to
quote:

But the PARTICIPATION RATE!!!!

The factual number of Americans not working.

I can see where you liberals would hate those numbers.
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75097 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:44 pm to
Excuse me?
Posted by DeafVallyBatnR
Member since Sep 2004
16798 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:45 pm to
Dumb as when the democrats said it.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

You know how I can tell you didn't take the time to look up the participation rate
It ticked down a tenth of a percent in April. So better than expected job gains but fewer looking for jobs, the rate dropped more significantly.

Conversely, for the last couple of years, the participation rate has seemed to tick up with better than expected job totals so the U3 has either stayed constant or increased.

Even then, I think people vastly overrate the participation rate since a lower participation could be indicative of both bad (people giving up) and good (wages high enough to support single incomes in a family) Personally, my wife and I both which I made enough that she could stay at home with our son. In that case, we would go from a family participation rate of 100% to 50%, but that would be a decrease reflects something positive.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:48 pm to
quote:

buckeye_vol


Hey. I get that it requires more complicated analysis any time the numbers come out.

But hey. Given that A Want couldn't even be bothered to figure out what income is taxable in a discussion about.......wait for it...TAXABLE income........it's probably too much to expect him to actually know what the frick he's talking about on this one.

Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

The factual number of Americans not working.
Not exactly. A person counted as participating in the labor force may not have a job, but actively seeking one. Technically, you would have to multiply the employment rate from the U3 statistic (1-U3) and multiply that by the participation rate to get this figure.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35236 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

But hey. Given that A Want couldn't even be bothered to figure out what income is taxable in a discussion about.......wait for it...TAXABLE income........it's probably too much to expect him to actually know what the frick he's talking about on this one.
Fair enough, but unfortunately the ignorance is too prevelant on both sides.

So overall I think the recent unemployment numbers are a net positive month over month, but they aren't as positive as the official rate would indicate since the improvement is somewhat offset by less participation. Yet, one side will use one figure and the other ide will use another figure and greatly overrate their respective argument.
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 4:21 pm to
quote:

enough, but unfortunately the ignorance is too prevelant on both sides
absolutely. I posted on here about that before. Very few people actually try to learn for themselves what information means. They think research is when you read the interpretations of a subject you don't understand from a source that meets your biases. So you don't actually understand the information even your favorite Source gave you. You just know you like the source. Then you cite its opinion as if you understand it
Posted by ShortyRob
Member since Oct 2008
82116 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 4:23 pm to
I always laugh when I see people say that they read a lot of sources and then decide for themselves. That's fricking retarded. That isn't research. Reading 10 different people's opinions of a subject you haven't taken the time to learn yourself isn't research no matter how many times your college professor told you it was.
Posted by LSUTANGERINE
Baton Rouge LA
Member since Sep 2006
36113 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 4:44 pm to
Trump will tout this as his accomplishment. And the Trumpkins will fall in line dismissing their previous claims that low unemployment numbers were fake during Obama's presidency
This post was edited on 5/5/17 at 4:47 pm
Posted by Maxx99
Great state of TX
Member since Oct 2013
582 posts
Posted on 5/5/17 at 4:57 pm to
Q
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