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re: Is North Carolina really in play for Harris?

Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:22 pm to
Posted by Demonbengal
Ruston
Member since May 2015
4850 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 5:22 pm to
I saw someone say they had Kamala getting 99% of the D vote to Trump 94% R vote. More likely to both be around 94%. Trump was +5% with Indy vote also in the poll.
Posted by MorningWood
On the coast of North Mexico
Member since May 2009
2787 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 6:58 pm to
Normalizing the rigging of an election. Can’t rig it if people don’t believe she could actually win
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
23196 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 7:02 pm to
The tighter the race, that will trigger the pallets of late night boxes will arrive in Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee, Pheonix.....you know the drill.

IMO, it has a real good chance to be a 2020 repeat.
Posted by Bonkers119
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2015
11652 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

Trump's historical poll under performing


I mean he’s gotten 46.1% and 46.9% of the popular vote the last two elections so I’d say the polling is pretty accurate.
Posted by RolltidePA
North Carolina
Member since Dec 2010
5084 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:26 pm to
With the number of Bostonians, New Yorkers and Californians that have moved here over the past several years, especially during covid, it wouldn't surprise me if the state starts pulling hard left. Traditionally, it's been a down the middle moderate state but the new residents are significantly hard left leaning.

They move here because their own states have been ruined by left wing policies and bring that failed mindset and voting pattern here. It's really frustrating. That and the suburban white women here are pulling for "girl power".

Hopefully, I'm wrong, but it's pretty much a dead heat. At least we have voter ID laws and paper ballots in place this cycle and severe limits on mail in voting. It should be as clean as an election as you could hope for. If Trump can't carry the state, it'll be from the change in the voter base.
Posted by Hateradedrink
Member since May 2023
3980 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:27 pm to
All of the swing states are “in play” for both candidates. Thats why they’re called swing states.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35686 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:28 pm to
quote:

I mean he’s gotten 46.1% and 46.9% of the popular vote the last two elections so I’d say the polling is pretty accurate.

Luckily popular vote is meaningless. He has been underpolled pretty significantly in WI and NC the last two elections.
Posted by riccoar
Arkansas
Member since Mar 2006
4628 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:30 pm to
No, not even close there
Posted by bayou choupique
the banks of bayou choupique
Member since Oct 2014
1843 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:41 pm to
quote:

With the number of Bostonians, New Yorkers and Californians that have moved here over the past several years, especially during covid, it wouldn't surprise me if the state starts pulling hard left. Traditionally, it's been a down the middle moderate state but the new residents are significantly hard left leaning. They move here because their own states have been ruined by left wing policies and bring that failed mindset and voting pattern here. It's really frustrating. That and the suburban white women here are pulling for "girl power". Hopefully, I'm wrong, but it's pretty much a dead heat. At least we have voter ID laws and paper ballots in place this cycle and severe limits on mail in voting. It should be as clean as an election as you could hope for. If Trump can't carry the state, it'll be from the change in the voter base.


Very true. I live near Raleigh and no one is from here. Raleigh and Charlotte metro areas have a lot of democrats. Leave the big cities and you see trump flags everywhere. We do have the Id law this go around and they are not mailing ballots like they were in 2020.
Posted by FLTech
Member since Sep 2017
24833 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:44 pm to
Yes!! Trump is getting his arse kicked in NC - if you live there tell everybody you know they have to vote!!
Posted by cajuntiger1010
Member since Jan 2015
13815 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 8:57 pm to
quote:

Yes!! Trump is getting his arse kicked in NC


Lol
Posted by Narax
Member since Jan 2023
5911 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

I mean he’s gotten 46.1% and 46.9% of the popular vote the last two elections so I’d say the polling is pretty accurate.

2020 Trump Average 44.0
2020 Trump Final 46.9

2016 Trump Average 43.6
2016 Trump Final 46.1

Gaps of 2.9% and 2.5%

That's a pair of big numbers in a race this close.
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
46235 posts
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:35 pm to
What's the margin of error?
Posted by AUstar
Member since Dec 2012
19217 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 12:09 am to
Yes. There's tons of Blue State transplants in NC. It is becoming the new Virginia.
Posted by MizzouBS
Missouri
Member since Dec 2014
6760 posts
Posted on 9/10/24 at 3:36 am to
Right now it’s probably lean to safe Trump, but all kinds of stuff could change by Election Day.

quote:

Trump's historical poll under performing is probably getting worse as more and more of his supporters have zero trust in the media.


If anything this has flip flopped. I don’t know any Trump supporters that shy away from their loyalty. They are proud to vote for him and will let anyone know

Very few people say out loud they are voting for Harris
This post was edited on 9/10/24 at 3:37 am
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