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re: Is Henry Kissinger's reason for Russian invasion of Ukraine wrong?
Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:58 pm to crazy4lsu
Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:58 pm to crazy4lsu
No shite. Why wouldn’t Poland or the Baltic states want to be in Nato? Belarus is a Russian puppet on their border. The reality is Russia has been an aggressor state in this region for centuries as those nations have historically been vassals or allies of Russia, kept so at the point of a sword.
I just think fomenting a coup in Ukraine to replace a Russian puppet with a western one in order to bring them into union with NATO was an obvious act of aggression that should have been seen as a step too far.
I just think fomenting a coup in Ukraine to replace a Russian puppet with a western one in order to bring them into union with NATO was an obvious act of aggression that should have been seen as a step too far.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:59 pm to jp4lsu
quote:
I would think the US orchestrating a 2014 coup in Ukraine to remove the pro-Russian President and put in a pro-US/NATO president would come off as being aggressive.
But we ousted a Russian-backed coup, so even with your assertion being true, Russia was the initial aggressor. We just responded.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:03 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
My thing is that I can’t understand why anyone actually believes that this is Russia’s true motivation. Of course it’s their public justification, that doesn’t mean it’s their actual motivation
Of course not! Does anyone really believe that “Weapons of Mass Destruction” was the reason the U.S. actually wanted to invade Iraq? Of course not! In foreign policy, every nation is made of liars with aspirations and agendas. Every word is simply a justification for carrying out their agenda, even if it has flowery language like “The War on Terror”, or “Making the world safe for democracy”. Countries use any opening they can spin as justification for taking the actions they already want to take.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:03 pm to kingbob
quote:
I just think fomenting a coup in Ukraine to replace a Russian puppet with a western one in order to bring them into union with NATO was an obvious act of aggression that should have been seen as a step too far.
And that's why let Russia steal Crimea.
That was 2014
This is 2022
The government we put in place was ousted by Zelensky
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:03 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
No no. You aren't understanding. Russia has justified unilateral authority to dictate what its neighbors do because it used to govern them and Russians live there.
A major issue that Russia had was that Ukraine was shelling and attacking the pro-Russian Donbas. Ukraine helped instigate this as well.
I'm not pro-Russian at all but the US, NATO, Ukraine have helped create this.
THis is not where Ukraine was just being a good little country and the US was minding their own business, then the big bad Russia just invaded us for no reasons.
You had Russians getting killed by Ukrainians for year in the pro Russian regions.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:03 pm to kingbob
quote:
Okay, let’s imagine, for a moment, that the Balkans nations didn’t all hate each other more than they hate any other nation. Turkey and Greece have been saber rattling for years over maritime borders and claims to Cyprus. Now, imagine if Greece started entering a mutual support agreement with all of the other Balkan nations against Turkey. The Turks might get a little nervous at the prospect of a coalition army massing 120 miles from Istanbul, but the Turkish mainland isn’t threatened. Now, imagine Georgia, Syria, Iraq, Iran, and Armenia join in. The Turks will react…violently. They will have to in order to survive.
Except, in reality, when faced with that type of opposition, such as in 2000, what did the Turks do? We don't have to invent a scenario when we can look at Turkish directly. They pursued what they called the 'Good Neighbors' policy, which sought to address historical grievances and tried to promote economic integration. That situation changed only with the Syrian Civil War.
You guys keep acting like Russia had no choice but to react with violence, but that is just not true. They had plenty of chances to integrate with Europe proper through trade, as Merkel's approach after 2005, called Wandel durch Handel, was directly informed by West German Ostpolitik with East Germany after 1970. But Putin has been explicit on why he started to see the West as a threat, as he was at the Munich Security Conference in 2007. He referenced the US withdrawal from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002 as a direct threat to Russia, all without understanding why the US might want to pursue other defensive arrangements, considering what happened the year prior. That seemed like a fatalistic approach to international relations, but who can question what Putin sees as a threat?
Apparently, in the post-colonial sense, only Russia is justified in using its history to interfere with other countries in a violent fashion, where that logic wouldn't fly with literally anyone else.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:05 pm to crazy4lsu
Russia had a choice. They chose violence because that is what Russia always does. When dealing with a Bear, don’t expect it to cluck like a chicken.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:06 pm to kingbob
quote:
I just think fomenting a coup in Ukraine to replace a Russian puppet with a western one in order to bring them into union with NATO was an obvious act of aggression that should have been seen as a step too far.
Again, do you think that Poroshenko was the first pro-NATO Ukrainian leader? Is it okay for Russia to interfere with Ukrainian politics, but somehow it isn't okay for the US? This line keeps getting repeated and it is so damn stupid on every level.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:06 pm to sta4ever
quote:
Lol. I didn’t realize it was aggressive for countries to determine their own fate, and what alliances they choose…
Ever hear of the Cuban Missle Crisis?
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:06 pm to Bestbank Tiger
quote:Putin invading validates millenia of geopolitics as well as Henry Kissinger. The US/Nato pushing up against Russias doorstep 100% caused it.
Putin invading kind of validates Ukraine's concerns.
quote:
Simplest explanation is Putin wants to restore the Russian Empire.
Nonsense. He is not repeating this in any of their former satelites that do NOT have a coup/stolen election done by the US State Department occurring in them on his doorstep. No defense in them.
Simple explanations are fine when they are truthful. When not it is only evidence of a simpleton
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:07 pm to crazy4lsu
quote:it is so damn stupid when you repeat your nonsense.
but somehow it isn't okay for the US? This line keeps getting repeated and it is so damn stupid on every level.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:09 pm to JJJimmyJimJames
He definitely won’t be NOW that all the other NATO countries see what a paper tiger the Russian military is. If he had obtained a quick takeover of Kiev in the early days of the war, I bet Estonia would be on high alert.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:09 pm to kingbob
quote:
Of course not! Does anyone really believe that “Weapons of Mass Destruction” was the reason the U.S. actually wanted to invade Iraq? Of course not! In foreign policy, every nation is made of liars with aspirations and agendas. Every word is simply a justification for carrying out their agenda, even if it has flowery language like “The War on Terror”, or “Making the world safe for democracy”. Countries use any opening they can spin as justification for taking the actions they already want to tak
I’m in total agreement there.
Which is why I don’t understand why people actually continue to say “well nato aggression in expanding to Ukraine made Russia feel threatened so they invaded”. It’s giving credence to what everyone knows is a false pretext.
NATO expansion isn’t the reason Russia invaded Ukraine. It’s just what excuse they packaged the invasion as to their public.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:09 pm to kingbob
quote:
Russia had a choice. They chose violence because that is what Russia always does. When dealing with a Bear, don’t expect it to cluck like a chicken.
If this is the case, then the offensive realist position that Wolfowitz suggested in the post-Cold War era was the correct approach for the US. The irony is that the West, by the offensive realist viewpoint, acted appropriately with a nearly defeated but still belligerent adversary. That viewpoint would suggest to continue expanding while they are weakened in order to ensure they could not possibly mount an effective response when finally confronted.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:10 pm to JJJimmyJimJames
quote:
it is so damn stupid when you repeat your nonsense.
Lol
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:11 pm to jp4lsu
quote:
You had Russians getting killed by Ukrainians for year in the pro Russian regions.
Supposedly, but Russian channels were awfully quiet about this between 2015-2018.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:11 pm to jp4lsu
quote:
and attacking the pro-Russian Donbas. Ukraine helped instigate this as well. I'm not pro-Russian at all but the US, NATO, Ukraine have helped create this. THis is not where Ukraine was just being a good little country and the US was minding their own business, then the big bad Russia just invaded us for no reasons. You had Russians getting killed by Ukrainians for year in the pro Russian regions.
Got it. So now all Russia has to do is unilaterally annex territory, proclaim it Russian, then invade it to protect Russians. The country whose territory was annexed by Russia has no right to attempt to prevent the annexation.
Which of course is exactly what they’re doing right now.
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 1:12 pm
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:11 pm to JJJimmyJimJames
quote:
He is not repeating this in any of their former satelites that do NOT have a coup/stolen election done by the US State Department occurring in them on his doorstep
Russia had the first coup. Is that just irrelevant?
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:11 pm to Indefatigable
Because there’s an old saying “don’t give your enemy a club to hit you with.”
Even if you know you’re dealing with an antagonistic liar, you still try not to give them easy narratives to spin into the lies they want to tell. It’s like with the republicans during elections. The dems are going to lie about how republicans hate women or want to put black people in chains, but that definitely doesn’t mean that republicans should say things that can easily be spun to that effect.
Even if you know you’re dealing with an antagonistic liar, you still try not to give them easy narratives to spin into the lies they want to tell. It’s like with the republicans during elections. The dems are going to lie about how republicans hate women or want to put black people in chains, but that definitely doesn’t mean that republicans should say things that can easily be spun to that effect.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:13 pm to Indefatigable
quote:
Which is why I don’t understand why people actually continue to say “well nato aggression in expanding to Ukraine made Russia feel threatened so they invaded”. It’s giving credence to what everyone knows is a false pretext.
Because they're TOTALLY not defending or supporting Putin.
They're also TOTALLY above spreading Russian disinformation/talking points.
I'll re-post this map of Ukraine. Should make the actual justification seem obvious:
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