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LSUTigersVCURams
LSU Fan
"O" The Rosy Finch Boyz, LLC
Member since Jul 2014
19273 posts

If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
The Right is getting too complacent. We’re starting to let the media frame the narrative again which I haven’t seen since the election. The Democrats are not stupid. They’re going to come at it from all sides this year with the media doing everything it can do bring down morale. Stay strong, keep up the HIGH ENERGY. Devote yourself to positive endeavors and continue each day to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN to help make sure those damn snake Democrats can’t claw back into power. Image: https://cdn.theatlantic.com/assets/media/img/mt/2016/04/RTS9D5J/lead_960.jpg?1459881785
This post was edited on 3/5 at 9:51 pm


AU86
Western Carolina Fan
Member since Aug 2009
14707 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
The radical left is energized. People better not take them for granted. Their hatred for Trump drives them.


LSUTigersVCURams
LSU Fan
"O" The Rosy Finch Boyz, LLC
Member since Jul 2014
19273 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
Exactly. We are getting too complacent. All the winning has made us forget how terrible it really is when the Democrats get in power.


mmmmmbeeer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2014
1790 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
You can't look at Trump's declining approval among Republicans and not think there will be turnout issues this November.

I know this board is predominately MAGA but you're in the minority...like historical levels of negativity kind of minority.

Good luck though!


CaptChandler
New Orleans Saints Fan
Polis
Member since Sep 2016
2427 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

I know this board is predominately MAGA but you're in the minority...like historical levels of negativity kind of minority.


This is patently false, but nice try though!


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224
Bayou_Tiger_225
Member since Mar 2016
2313 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
I'm MAGA, but I see what is coming. It's a big blue prog wave. The kinda of wave that is going to be so bad, you would take Obama back over whatever clown they end up putting up.
This post was edited on 3/5 at 10:25 pm


HailHailtoMichigan!
Michigan Fan
Trabuco Canyon, CA
Member since Mar 2012
46382 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

You can't look at Trump's declining approval among Republicans and not think there will be turnout issues this November.

I know this board is predominately MAGA but you're in the minority...like historical levels of negativity kind of minority.

Good luck though!


This is historically the norm for midterms.

Didn't Obama see like 65 house seats lost in 2010, the most since 1930?


mmmmmbeeer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2014
1790 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

This is historically the norm for midterms.

Didn't Obama see like 65 house seats lost in 2010, the most since 1930?


Trump's approval ratings are not the norm, nor are the general congressional ballot polls. 2 polls in the last week have Dems +15 in the GC, which is INSANE. Rasmussen being the obvious outlier (which it's always been), Trump is more upside down than any president at this point in their first term has been since polling became a thing.

As you say, the president's party losing congressional seats is very much the norm. Losing the seats the GOP could potentially lose (based on GC, popularity, and sagging popularity among GOP voters) would be an unparalleled blood bath.


MoarKilometers
Florida Atlantic Fan
Member since Apr 2015
4844 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

I'm MAGA, but I see what is coming. It's a big blue prog wave. The kinda of wave that is going to be so bad, you would take Obama back over whatever clown they end up putting up.

Elections have consequences, as they say.


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12
HailHailtoMichigan!
Michigan Fan
Trabuco Canyon, CA
Member since Mar 2012
46382 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

Trump's approval ratings are not the norm, nor are the general congressional ballot polls. 2 polls in the last week have Dems +15 in the GC, which is INSANE. Rasmussen being the obvious outlier (which it's always been), Trump is more upside down than any president at this point in their first term has been since polling became a thing.



Trump's approvals, at least when I last looked a few days ago, is actually SLIGHTLY higher than they were in his first year. Nate Silver attributed that to the tax bill, which is becoming more popular, and which a majority of people actually approve of now.

But yes, they are still very crappy....they have always been.

one point of caution though: Because democrats tend to be "densely packed", aka live in high population areas with only a few districts, they have to win the midterm popular vote by "more" than the republican does, since republicans tend to be spread out more.

One question, mmmmmmmbeer...why did your party start losing the PR battle for the tax bill? This thing was deeply unpopular for most of 2017, even more unpopular than tax HIKES of the past....but since the beginning of 2018 it has seen a 30 point net positive swing.


mmmmmbeeer
Georgia Fan
Member since Nov 2014
1790 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:



Trump's approvals, at least when I last looked a few days ago, is actually SLIGHTLY higher than they were in his first year. Nate Silver attributed that to the tax bill, which is becoming more popular, and which a majority of people actually approve of now.

But yes, they are still very crappy....they have always been.


He's improved a few points but I think we'll see those numbers slip riigghhtt back down as Mueller continues to do his work and the inaction on guns starts to impact his approval.


quote:

one point of caution though: Because democrats tend to be "densely packed", aka live in high population areas with only a few districts, they have to win the midterm popular vote by "more" than the republican does, since republicans tend to be spread out more.


If that +15, or anything over +10 GC, holds true, it's enough to easily overcome gerrymandering efforts which, ultimately, is what you're referring to. The sea wall created by gerrymandered districts is thought to be between +6 and +8 to the GOP's favor. Breach that, and it's all over.


quote:

One question, mmmmmmmbeer...why did your party start losing the PR battle for the tax bill? This thing was deeply unpopular for most of 2017, even more unpopular than tax HIKES of the past....but since the beginning of 2018 it has seen a 30 point net positive swing.


The typical American has no understanding of deficits, debt, non-discretionary spending, Keynesian theory, or the holes this tax cut is going to blow in the budget. They see some extra money on their check and are happy without having any idea what the consequences are. Simple as that, really. Republicans since Reagan have absolutely excelled at running up deficits and the debt while in office which creates a good economy and then, poof, like clockwork, the economy corrects itself and the GOP screams about deficits and the debt which leads to austerity measures at the ABSOLUTE wrong time.


stelly1025
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since May 2012
2481 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
Math and demographics say other wise. I see the Republicans netting 1 or 2 senate seats and maybe losing a few house seats ,but nowhere near touching the majority. The DNC has too much to defend and not enough money to do it their voters can be energized all they want ,but they have to face reality. I do not see a "blue wave" coming this midterm election.


HailHailtoMichigan!
Michigan Fan
Trabuco Canyon, CA
Member since Mar 2012
46382 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

He's improved a few points but I think we'll see those numbers slip riigghhtt back down as Mueller continues to do his work and the inaction on guns starts to impact his approval.


I personally think the tariff idiocy is more harmful than either of those 2 you listed, although they could be a factor.

Personally dude, I don't think at this moment that trump's disapprovals are being driven by russia probe. Polls indicate that only like 2% of Americans rate it as their number one issue, and most people are in wait and see approach on it.

His numbers are bad because of his personal conduct. Many of his policies are actually moderately popular with americans or 50/50.

I told a fellow republican friend that if donald trump disabled his twitter account in january 2017 and lost his ability to speak because of vocal chord polyps...his numbers would be a lot better

Have you seen trump speak on issues during the 80s and 90s. It is like listening to a different person. He sounded calm, collected, and even logical.


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CaptChandler
New Orleans Saints Fan
Polis
Member since Sep 2016
2427 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

I see the Republicans netting 1 or 2 senate seats and maybe losing a few house seats ,but nowhere near touching the majority. The DNC has too much to defend and not enough money to do it their voters can be energized all they want ,but they have to face reality.


I tend to agree here. The House is more vulnerable, and I do think that the Dems will pick up a few seats, especially in districts that lean slightly Republican (in states like California, for example). On the other hand, the Senate is likely safe, and I think Reps pick up 3, maybe 4 seats there.

With that being said I don't see a massive "blue wave" happing, despite what our resident bigots have been predicting for months now.


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31
Terry the Tiger
LSU Fan
Cypress, Texas
Member since Jul 2009
3494 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

You can't look at Trump's declining approval among Republicans and not think there will be turnout issues this November.

I know this board is predominately MAGA but you're in the minority...like historical levels of negativity kind of minority.

Good luck though!


Most polls that I have seen have shown Trumps approval has increased among Republicans, Independents, and even Democrats since the Tax bill was passed.

Analytics actually show that Trump’s approval rating is up to 48% among likely voters. That Suffolk college poll that was recently released included 66% of people who identified as moderate to very liberal.


SoulGlo
LSU Fan
Shinin' Through
Member since Dec 2011
12978 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
Trump needs to quit going lib.


HailHailtoMichigan!
Michigan Fan
Trabuco Canyon, CA
Member since Mar 2012
46382 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

Analytics actually show that Trump’s approval rating is up to 48% among likely voters. That Suffolk college poll that was recently released included 66% of people who identified as moderate to very liberal.
link please


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10
DannyB
Auburn Fan
Bagram, Afghanistan
Member since Aug 2010
6049 posts

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
quote:

Trump needs to quit going lib.


How did anyone not see this coming....the man was a raging liberal until he decided to run for president. He contributed millions to Bill Clinton's campaign.


The Boat
Duke Fan
Nazi Germany
Member since Oct 2008
94343 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
Democrats literally can't win the Senate. The map is too bad for them. Republicans will pick up some seats in red states that still had a democrat senator for some reason. Much like Louisiana and Landrieu.

The House will be a battle. But the Republicans have an advantage with the way the districts were drawn out after the 2010 census and the DNC is bankrupt so we'll see what happens.


THDAY
Army Fan
Member since Feb 2014
807 posts
 Online 

re: If THE RIGHT can’t get energy levels higher, I am afraid there really might be a blue wave
As long as gop keeps senate and confirms judges, I dont really care


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