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re: How in the hell is Biden beating Trump while stuck in his basement?
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:49 am to shoelessjoe
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:49 am to shoelessjoe
it's what they want you to believe
0
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:51 am to artisticsavant
Presidential reelection campaigns are about judging the incumbent. A slight majority of US adults have judged Trump lacking for the past 2 years. The only question is whether those folks will show up to vote or not.
Trump is not getting more than 45-46% as he got last time. He is not even trying to get more than that. Anti-Trumpers are highly motivated to get rid of Trump. Biden will get at least 49% of the vote and a 3-4% national advantage will assure he wins the Electoral College.
Trump's margins in PA-MI-WI were very thin in 2016. He won't carry those three this time. And he won't carry Arizona either.
Trump is not getting more than 45-46% as he got last time. He is not even trying to get more than that. Anti-Trumpers are highly motivated to get rid of Trump. Biden will get at least 49% of the vote and a 3-4% national advantage will assure he wins the Electoral College.
Trump's margins in PA-MI-WI were very thin in 2016. He won't carry those three this time. And he won't carry Arizona either.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:52 am to shoelessjoe
He isn't.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:53 am to GeorgeWest
So you think trump will get less votes than he got in 2016?
Posted on 5/21/20 at 11:55 am to GeorgeWest
quote:
Biden will get at least 49% of the vote and a 3-4% national advantage will assure he wins the Electoral College.
you are taking about Joe Biden
Joe
Biden
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:00 pm to GeorgeWest
Trump better win or we are stuck breaking the dementia glass ceiling.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:02 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
How in the hell is Biden beating Trump while stuck in his basement?
He’s not.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:06 pm to Texas Yarddog
quote:
Don't believe this for a second.
The democrats just scream louder and have a voice with the media.
This ^^^ makes for a formidable foe.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:12 pm to GeorgeWest
quote:
A slight majority of US adults have judged Trump lacking for the past 2 years.
No fricking way in hell. If anything, he will get a substantially larger vote from the ones that didn't take him serious in 2016.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:14 pm to GeorgeWest
quote:
Trump's margins in PA-MI-WI were very thin in 2016. He won't carry those three this time. And he won't carry Arizona either.
Hillarys margins in NH- MN- NV were very thin in 2016. Joe won’t carry those three this time.
Trump is going to win AZ and NC.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:17 pm to roadGator
He may not remember how he broke the ceiling but should be able to identify he has a terrible headache. Good times.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:22 pm to The Maj
quote:
He isn't
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:27 pm to VoxDawg
quote:
He's not. Don't believe the hype.
Agree!
Don't let it make us complacent! We still need to cast our votes in November. Big voter turn out or they'll try to steal it. JMO.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:31 pm to upgrayedd
quote:
The whole Wu Flu situation has me a little apprehensive about Trump's approval ratings and polling numbers.
Trump didn't have anything to do with Covid getting here and spreading. This is not his fault. So sick of the Dems and the press trying to pin this on him. This is on China 100%.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:36 pm to shoelessjoe
It all depends on who you are polling
This post was edited on 5/21/20 at 12:37 pm
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:39 pm to GeorgeWest
"Presidential reelection campaigns are about judging the incumbent."
There is a lot of truth to this, but it's not entirely true. Ultimately, the election is going to be a choice and Biden will have to campaign, which is something he has never been good at. Turnout in swing states is going to be huge, and just how much do you think, say, black males are motivated to turn out for Biden? I am thinking not so much. I see another election carried on razor thin margins.
There is a lot of truth to this, but it's not entirely true. Ultimately, the election is going to be a choice and Biden will have to campaign, which is something he has never been good at. Turnout in swing states is going to be huge, and just how much do you think, say, black males are motivated to turn out for Biden? I am thinking not so much. I see another election carried on razor thin margins.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:40 pm to shoelessjoe
He's not. Polls are BS. Although, as long as MSM are propping up pedo Joe on social media and having assistants handle his tweets he has a chance. Almost every single interview he does is fricked up. He will get absolutely choked out at the debates. 
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:45 pm to NPComb
As others have said, he's not. And Biden's numbers will sink if he selects someone like Stacey Abrams for vice president because voters know the vice president has a high likelihood of becoming president because Biden might kick the bucket before his term is over.
Posted on 5/21/20 at 12:48 pm to shoelessjoe
Depends where they are “randomly” polling.
I can go to N.O. and run a similar pol and get those same numbers...now if I go to north La and get the reverse. Hell, I’ll go to south Monroe, la then North Monroe and get completely opposite poll numbers
I can go to N.O. and run a similar pol and get those same numbers...now if I go to north La and get the reverse. Hell, I’ll go to south Monroe, la then North Monroe and get completely opposite poll numbers
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