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Florida Quinnipiac poll seems fishy as hell (Gillum +6) Let's look at the data
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:23 pm
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:23 pm
Check out the early voting stats from the key states below. Remember this is actual HARD DATA verified by each state's SOS website.
Notice how low the Independent voters are in nearly all of them.
With that in mind, let's focus on Florida. Consider that when you see the MSM polls (Quinnipiac here) showing Dems up unbelievable amounts (Gillum +6) you see that their sample is Republicans 35% Dems 32% Ind 29%.
That's a far cry from the actual EV data (Republicans 44% Dems 38% Ind's 18%).
I'll dig into this more, but we also know that in the 2016 election, Republican election day turnout was higher than Dems in Florida.
Notice how low the Independent voters are in nearly all of them.
With that in mind, let's focus on Florida. Consider that when you see the MSM polls (Quinnipiac here) showing Dems up unbelievable amounts (Gillum +6) you see that their sample is Republicans 35% Dems 32% Ind 29%.
That's a far cry from the actual EV data (Republicans 44% Dems 38% Ind's 18%).
I'll dig into this more, but we also know that in the 2016 election, Republican election day turnout was higher than Dems in Florida.
This post was edited on 10/23/18 at 7:24 pm
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:26 pm to SirWinston
Here's some Quinnipiac polls from swing states at this time in the 2016 election cycle.
October 17, 2016
COLORADO: Clinton 45 - Trump 37, Johnson 10
FLORIDA: Clinton 48 - Trump 44, Johnson 4
OHIO: Trump 45 - Clinton 45, Johnson 6
PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 47 - Trump 41, Johnson 6
Notice a trend? Each overstates the Democrat by nearly double digits.
October 17, 2016
COLORADO: Clinton 45 - Trump 37, Johnson 10
FLORIDA: Clinton 48 - Trump 44, Johnson 4
OHIO: Trump 45 - Clinton 45, Johnson 6
PENNSYLVANIA: Clinton 47 - Trump 41, Johnson 6
Notice a trend? Each overstates the Democrat by nearly double digits.
This post was edited on 10/23/18 at 7:28 pm
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:30 pm to SirWinston
Dude I pray you’re right.
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:35 pm to SirWinston
I thought Quinnipiac died after their great sham of 2016. They delivered BS numbers to try and strengthen the actual numbers they were a fan of.
I use a little Quinnipiac to fertilize my garden.
I use a little Quinnipiac to fertilize my garden.
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