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Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:07 am to Cajunese
You seem to have explained it pretty well, like you were 5
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:09 am to Cajunese
You were successfully gaslit if this is surprising.
Polls have always underestimated Trump but would miraculously get tighter in the final month. This was to drive narrative for majority of the cycle that his opponent was stronger than actual.
In this case, polls and media had to try and make her campaign viable. Now that the election is a few weeks away, polls have to reflect closer to actuals to save face for next cycle.
Trump will still outperform polls, but the difference now is that his support is too broad to show Kamala still winning.
Hillary lost under much better circumstances.
Polls have always underestimated Trump but would miraculously get tighter in the final month. This was to drive narrative for majority of the cycle that his opponent was stronger than actual.
In this case, polls and media had to try and make her campaign viable. Now that the election is a few weeks away, polls have to reflect closer to actuals to save face for next cycle.
Trump will still outperform polls, but the difference now is that his support is too broad to show Kamala still winning.
Hillary lost under much better circumstances.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:09 am to Cajunese
It's made up so they can point to how worried they were that they'd lose after they steal it.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:15 am to TDsngumbo
quote:
It's made up so they can point to how worried they were that they'd lose after they steal it.
Obama and Bill Clinton coming out to campaign tell me they are scared as hell. This is 2016 again except Trump is a much stronger candidate now and Kamala is weaker than hilldawg
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:16 am to Cajunese
Not everyone likes Trump, but people vote with their wallets, and the only people that favor Kamala on the economy are promised free stuff.
It also doesn't hurt that Trump is going against the worst run campaign of the last 100 years.
It also doesn't hurt that Trump is going against the worst run campaign of the last 100 years.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:19 am to Cajunese
quote:
Explain the sudden Trumpmentum like I'm five

Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:22 am to Cajunese
Her momentum at any point has largely been a Pravda-MSM creation.
She’s every bit the horrible candidate she was in ‘20 when Tulsi helped send her to calling it a day very early on.
She’s every bit the horrible candidate she was in ‘20 when Tulsi helped send her to calling it a day very early on.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:27 am to Cajunese
Polls can be manipulated by how many people from specific groups are included in the sample.
This goes for political affiliation, age, race, education levels, etc.
It's all an educated guess, but some are more accurate than others due to the size of each group within the cross tabs.
This goes for political affiliation, age, race, education levels, etc.
It's all an educated guess, but some are more accurate than others due to the size of each group within the cross tabs.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:29 am to Cajunese
quote:
Explain the sudden Trumpmentum like I'm five
There is no sudden Trumpmentum. Trump has been way ahead since 2016. Since then there has been a steady trickle of dems waking up and joining sanity land.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:30 am to Cajunese
The Kamala support was never there. Media fabrication.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:32 am to Cajunese
Because people who aren't stupid see how fake Kamala is and that she can't answer a single question.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:33 am to Cajunese
Race was too close for them to do the basement strategy. So she has to go out and try to get votes. The problem is she lacks that ability. She has zero political skills. The weaknesses that were evident in 2019 are still there.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:34 am to Gator5220
quote:
are promised free stuff.
And really wealthy white people who don't have to worry about the price of eggs and gas going up.
Who don't have to worry about crime and the private schools they send their kids being overrun by migrants.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:34 am to Cajunese
The initial idea of Kamala was exciting as a theory
But the reality is, she's an awful awful politician and now people remember that
I say this quite honestly, but I'm sure I could find someone at Walmart with a better grasp of the English language and understanding of the issues.
But the reality is, she's an awful awful politician and now people remember that
I say this quite honestly, but I'm sure I could find someone at Walmart with a better grasp of the English language and understanding of the issues.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 10:37 am to SportTiger1
quote:
I say this quite honestly, but I'm sure I could find someone at Walmart with a better grasp of the English language and understanding of the issues.
And they'd be from a middle class family.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:09 am to Cajunese
quote:
Personally, I thought this would happen much sooner and was thrown off by all of the perceived "momentum" that Kamala had. Now all of a sudden, we are hearing about panic in her campaign as well as the polymarkets showing Trump as the clear favorite.
It looks like the "joy" is turning into sadness and depression for the left.
It's multiple things.
1. The momentum of Kamala has been largely media-generated "joy" propaganda (whether created by or just carried by the media), the rest is just hatred of Trump. The prayed-for "grass roots" they tried to wish into existence never happened.
2. Both Kamala and Tim are bad candidates. Kamala is so bad that even when lobbed hanging curves she whiffs (see: interviews on The View and Colbert when asked what would be different between a Harris presidency and a Biden presidency). Tim basically admitted during the debate with Vance that he lies from time to time (what he refers to as being "a knucklehead").
3. Trump survived getting shot by an assassin attempting to kill him, a 2nd assassin was found posted up at another location waiting to take a shot at him and a 3rd (a Pakastani with Iranian ties) has recently been caught.
4. Vance is a great debater and a solid interview while Trump has brought some big names (Tulsi, RFK & Elon) to the team through personal meetings and conversations.
5. The media's bias was mind-boggling blatant during 2 of the 3 debates and now through the 60 Minutes edits with Kamala.
6. Many see the court cases against Trump for the political hit jobs they are.
Any potential organic movement point 1 may have gotten has been quickly and routinely self-aborted by point 2. Points 3, 4, 5 and 6 generated more interest and/or sympathy views (which turned into interest) towards Trump. Along with that, point 5 builds on the distrust much of the public already has towards the media and as Kamala is the beneficiary of the bias, she earns that distrust as well.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:11 am to Bard
1. They can only hide her from view for so long.
2. She can't blow everybody.
2. She can't blow everybody.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:16 am to Cajunese
Kamala is the worst candidate in my lifetime.
Posted on 10/11/24 at 11:17 am to Cajunese
stop reacting to every tweet,, from the left or the right,
Understand a poll even the good ones is a snapshot of a mood
Whether they're likely voters or registered voters
interactive,
1 day ,3 day 5 days sample
Total National votes
swing states
There's a lot of tension and apprehension getting all caught up in it you're causing information overload it's not good for y'all it's not
Trump is gonna win this ,, I don't think it will be close ultimately
the Dark Forces that control everything,, They will figure out how to make their money under a Trump Administration may not be as much but its more money than they will make if there is an open hostile revolution
deep breath,,R E L A X
Call your local party and ask them if you can help make phone calls to drive out voters depending upon where you are they can just email/Sed it to your phone you a list and you can sit there on your computer and make phone calls technology works like that
take that anxiety and put it to use
we are going to be ok
Understand a poll even the good ones is a snapshot of a mood
Whether they're likely voters or registered voters
interactive,
1 day ,3 day 5 days sample
Total National votes
swing states
There's a lot of tension and apprehension getting all caught up in it you're causing information overload it's not good for y'all it's not
Trump is gonna win this ,, I don't think it will be close ultimately
the Dark Forces that control everything,, They will figure out how to make their money under a Trump Administration may not be as much but its more money than they will make if there is an open hostile revolution
deep breath,,R E L A X
Call your local party and ask them if you can help make phone calls to drive out voters depending upon where you are they can just email/Sed it to your phone you a list and you can sit there on your computer and make phone calls technology works like that
take that anxiety and put it to use
we are going to be ok
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