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AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
327 posts
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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
It'll change 10 more times before we actually hit fall in 10 days too. No doubt he'll be first in line to admit he was wrong if the fall / winter doomsday scenario he seems to be predicting doesn't come to pass. /sarc

Fauci has been a valuable member of the epidemiological community in the US for many years, but it's time for him to enjoy retirement.


AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
327 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Mentioned this a few times in earlier posts over the last few weeks. Testing is declining because nobody is showing up.

Georgia closing 5k a day capacity testing site - Best day was 30% of capacity
This post was edited on 9/11 at 5:24 pm


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate


dreigh
Texas A&M Fan
Member since Mar 2020
60 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Chrome, as a daily visitor to this thread since March, I just want to say what many have already said here: Thank you so much for contributing your time, sweat, gifts, and talents to give us a place to receive and easily digest the virus-related data that makes its way into our world each day.

I'm very grateful for how straightforward you have been with your commentary on trends and have helped make everyone who visits this thread smarter consumers of the information that is being used to make important decisions in our states and the country at large.

The tone around here is often hopeful and positively focused (whenever possible) without denying the gravity of what's going on, which is so refreshing when it comes to the subject of the Coronavirus given how polarizing it has been for our country.

Again, thank you for creating an amazing tool for us to use each day and for helping create this corner of the internet in 2020.
This post was edited on 9/12 at 7:46 pm


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Thank you very much for your kind words. It is comments like these that keep me going when I get frustrated with the crappy data and feel like throwing it all in the trash (Don't worry, I'm not going to).

I spent the day hiking around Eklutna lake with my kids and grandkids. I stopped at one point and just reflected on the majesty of the scenery and the unconditional love of my family. As I sat there, I reminded myself that in spite of everything going on in the world, none of that takes anything at all away from the blessings the good Lord has showered me with.

This post was edited on 9/12 at 8:42 pm


wfallstiger
LSU Fan
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
8535 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
The corona has officially visited our household. The bride is recovering at home while I have been isolated at the local hospital's Leper's floor. Seems I have too many risk factors to do otherwise.

Yes, we played by the Governor's rule but to no avail.


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
I am praying for you and your wife’s full recovery. Keep us updated.


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Jrv2damac
Kansas Fan
America's topsoil
Member since Mar 2004
36055 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
I feel sick watching coastal Carolina beating us again

Sorry to hear, though. Recover quick


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
One thing stands out to me when looking at the case curve. The first spike had a much longer tail than the 2nd spike. In other words, the daily new cases are falling much faster after the 2nd spike than they did the first.

This could be because the testing volume was increasing rapidly as the 1st spike was subsiding. What do you all think the reason would be?


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DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
2509 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
quote:

What do you all think the reason would be?

I have no proof but my hope is that this thing has been much more prevalent than anyone has imagined. That it has actually managed to get through a larger portion of the population as asymptomatic cases and we are closer to herd immunity than we realize.

I can rattle off 15-20 people that I know who have had it and I'm not exactly in a huge city center. Of those, I know of one fatality. He was relatively healthy but in his 80's.


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41
Ace Midnight
LSU Fan
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
76865 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
quote:

What do you all think the reason would be?


Well, I think testing volume/capacity certainly impacts how the two data curves look (all frickery aside).

I think, at first, it was crushing nursing home residents and spreading like wildfire in highly dense population centers. That is why early deaths were so dramatic. That is where the testing focus was - they found it and it was fatal. As it poured through the tri-state area, the infrastructure was just being developed.

Insofar as there has been a "2nd" spike, it is more of a situation, again, IMHO, that different areas of the country were getting it so the nation got a "2nd wave", but it was mostly just different areas getting an initial acute exposure after reaching a critical mass of spreaders. They already knew about the nursing home residents, more mitigation measures were in place when those places got hit, and younger and younger folks were showing up with it (the younger folks generated weaker cases and probably generated a preference for spreading weaker strains, as is normal for pandemics).



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30
TheFonz
LSU Fan
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
14300 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/13 at 10:38 am


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate


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AUin02
Auburn Fan
Member since Jan 2012
4057 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
I think it's the effect of herd immunity. With the 1st spike, you had big, dense urban centers being affected, then a spread out from there. With this 2nd spike, while it's affecting new areas, there has been enough travel between areas plus cases were already occurring at a lower rate in the 2nd spike areas during the 1st spike. So you had in built prior exposures in the 2nd spike geographies which would act like circuit breakers, disrupting the natural spread progression. So in the 2nd spike the virus hits an area, spikes up on the previously uninfected, but instead of continuing to spread out into a long tail, it hits an immunity wall as it encounters 1st spike infections who now possess some level of immunity.


TeLeFaWx
SMU Fan
Dallas, TX
Member since Aug 2011
27322 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
quote:

I think it's the effect of herd immunity. With the 1st spike, you had big, dense urban centers being affected, then a spread out from there. With this 2nd spike, while it's affecting new areas, there has been enough travel between areas plus cases were already occurring at a lower rate in the 2nd spike areas during the 1st spike. So you had in built prior exposures in the 2nd spike geographies which would act like circuit breakers, disrupting the natural spread progression. So in the 2nd spike the virus hits an area, spikes up on the previously uninfected, but instead of continuing to spread out into a long tail, it hits an immunity wall as it encounters 1st spike infections who now possess some level of immunity.


This as well as not moving through the nursing homes because of more knowledge. Although there was an outbreak at my grandmother's home, and she did get infected. Only lost sense of taste and smell, no other symptoms.


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1788 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate


HailHailtoMichigan!
LSU Fan
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
63186 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Why are deaths higher this Mon than 2 weeks ago?


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AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
327 posts
 Online 

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Look at that positivity %. The early returns on not having a Labor Day bump are looking really good. Should know by the end of the week if we avoided one.

WoW comparisons are a bit screwy today thanks to last Monday being a holiday, should be able to do oranges to oranges in a couple of days.
This post was edited on 9/14 at 7:01 pm


dafif
Member since Jan 2019
1219 posts

re: Daily COVID Updated as of 10/25/20 6:30 PM
Still having a difficult time grasping a mortality rate around 3%. Seems way high for me.


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