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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36701 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 9:59 pm to
So as of this last update at 945 or so were “only” at 10 serious cases? That sounds nktnsk bad to me. Hope those recover quickly.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
69213 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

Today was our worst day so far in total cases and deaths
To be expected.....

as testing massively expands next week, cases will surge bigly.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6820 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:03 pm to
Yea I am wondering what is going on with the low numbers of serious cases we are seeing here. I hop the trend holds.
Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36701 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:07 pm to
Do we by chance know if all deaths had comorbities with it?
Posted by CHiPs25
ATL
Member since Apr 2014
2893 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:23 pm to
The usa has a 6.9% rate of infection per million people. Nice!!!!
Posted by da prophet
hammond, la
Member since Sep 2013
2273 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 10:57 pm to
So, in one week the mortality rate drops 1/2 and the serious case % to 1/3. Beginning to look like the mortality rate will probably end up a lot less than 1%. Liberals love creating panic/doom and gloom. Couldn’t get it with climate change.
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111485 posts
Posted on 3/13/20 at 11:01 pm to
Numbers are going to climb. As of 11 PM, 2466 cases. An increase of almost 200 on a Friday night.
Posted by DByrd2
Fredericksburg, VA
Member since Jun 2008
8962 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 9:25 am to
It was also Friday the 13th. Typical medical facility uptick day when they come around.

The big thing that I think will happen as tests are more readily and widely administered is that we will see there are a ton more cases, but the “serious cases” and “death” stats will plummet in relation, likely staying that low.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:39 am to
What and who defines "serious cases"? I cannot locate this.
Posted by TerryDawg03
The Deep South
Member since Dec 2012
15592 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 10:56 am to
quote:

And to me the most interesting figure:

Total Cases per 1 M Population: 36th (2% vs Italy; 12.2% vs China at 13th place).

My math may be fricked up and statistically misleading, what have you, but it does seem to provide perspective.


You’re spot on. I was hoping they had a per capita column, but the cases per million is good enough for now. Provides perspective on infection rates.

Italy is getting hit hard.
Posted by PaperTiger
Ruston, LA
Member since Feb 2015
22927 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:00 am to
Vatican City 1 case. Can't ever say walls don't work
This post was edited on 3/14/20 at 11:01 am
Posted by djmicrobe
Planet Earth
Member since Jan 2007
4970 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:32 am to
Do you have a graph broken down by age or age range? This would be more helpful. Does the CDC provide such graphs? If not, then Trump needs to get on them.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6820 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:48 am to
DJ, Sorry no. I don't have access to that data. I agree it would be VERY helpful.
Posted by 14&Counting
Eugene, OR
Member since Jul 2012
37553 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:50 am to
quote:

e 4% mortality rate means this virus is way more prevalent than it seems





What?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 1:51 pm to
A couple of important points.

Serious cases / active cases percentage.

Deaths are closed cases.

What constitutes a serious case? As near as I can tell, these are the parameters:

Revised case report form for Confirmed Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (report to WHO within 48 hours of case identification)



Health Status at time of reporting: Admission to hospital: ? No ? Yes ? Unknown
First date of admission to hospital: [_D_][_D_]/[_M_][_M_]/[_Y_][_Y_][_Y_][_Y_]
If yes Did the case receive care in an intensive care unit (ICU)? ? No ? Yes ? Unknown
Did the case receive ventilation? ? No ? Yes ? Unknown
Did the case receive extracorporeal membrane oxygenation? ? No ? Yes ? Unknown
Is case in isolation with Infection Control Practice in place ? No ? Yes ? Unknown
Date of isolation: [_D_][_D_]/[_M_][_M_]/[_Y_][_Y_][_Y_][_Y_]

Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6820 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:17 pm to
I have updated the stats as of 11:15pm cst 3/14/20.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111485 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:24 pm to
I’m not sure how they’re tallying new cases. Is that a rolling 24 hours?

As of 11 last night, it was 2466.

I’d guess false initial positives are probably playing havoc with the minutiae of the data as well.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89450 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:29 pm to
The mortality rate outside Washington State is getting absurdly low already (as it did in China outside Wuhan, for different reasons of course).

Posted by WicKed WayZ
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
31446 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:32 pm to
As someone young but with a compromised immune system, I’m eager to know the age of the serious cases
Posted by ProbyOne
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2004
1911 posts
Posted on 3/14/20 at 11:41 pm to
quote:

Lagging indicator, but I recall being called all sorts of nasty names by telling all of you the 4% mortality rate means this virus is way more prevalent than it seems


Have an upvote.

Math is hard for everyone else apparently.
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