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re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM

Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:36 am to
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111495 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 8:36 am to
The daily data is reflecting where we were 4-6 weeks ago with respect to mortality.

As there are fewer deaths to harvest Covid deaths from, we will continue to see the daily deaths drop.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6821 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 6:50 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted by Hooligan's Ghost
Member since Jul 2013
5181 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 12:38 pm to
why did Louisiana have over 2000 new cases yesterday?
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96003 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 3:10 pm to
They didnt. Louisiana had 1,050 cases yesterday and it was because they did a data dump as far back as June.

East Baton Rouge Parish today, had -3 covid cases. So they clearly did a big data dump yesterday without even bothering to look for duplicates, and subtracted out the duplicates today. Or maybe are still in the process of subtracting out more.

Ridiculous.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 3:11 pm
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6821 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:57 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8140 posts
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:27 pm to
Don’t love the hospitalization trend
Posted by jeffsdad
Member since Mar 2007
21352 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 6:53 am to
True.
Posted by AUMIS01
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
1206 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 7:33 am to
Yup, just as soon as I said it wasn't showing much yet, boom we have a big bump this week.

Wisconsin and the Rockies are up to the plate right now, plus a resurgence in the formerly locked down areas.
Posted by CrownTownHalo
CrownTown, NC
Member since Sep 2011
2948 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 7:46 am to
quote:

Don’t love the hospitalization trend


I’ve noticed it increasing here in NC this week. Back up over 1,000 for first time in a long while. Still not close to stressing the system though which is good.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89472 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 9:22 am to
The only slight concern I have is that when flu season hits, everybody and his uncle are going to surge the hospitals "just in case", and depending on severity of initial symptoms, I can't really blame them.

Combined with the increased load (however the trend line might be declining, overall) that COVID continues to present, that could be a challenge. Hopefully, hospitals are better prepared because of their preparations for COVID spikes back during the peak time.
Posted by baybeefeetz
Member since Sep 2009
31624 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 12:06 pm to
Fewer people will get the flu. Maybe nobody.

Where the duck is the flu hiding before people start to spread it in the fall anyway?
Posted by Bunsbert Montcroff
Phoenix AZ / Boise ID
Member since Jan 2008
5493 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 12:31 pm to
quote:

Fewer people will get the flu.

i hope you are right. i have been reading the concerns about a covid + flu season but if lots of people are still social distancing, wearing masks, and washing their hands religiously (or at least more so than a typical flu season) shouldn't we see a decline in the flu?
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6821 posts
Posted on 10/9/20 at 6:23 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111495 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 8:47 am to
If deaths don’t start dramatically decreasing in the next four weeks, we’re just making up shite.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
17768 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 3:56 pm to
quote:

If deaths don’t start dramatically decreasing in the next four weeks, we’re just making up shite.

We've been doing that for a while (as I know you're aware). Half or more of deaths being reported are from the harvesting process and involve deaths 4-12 weeks old.

What's next is an effort to include "lockdown deaths" in with COVID deaths. To date, there's something just over 300,000 excess deaths so far this year, but only two-thirds are COVID related (and that's counting suicides, etc.) We're now up to nearly 100,000 lockdown deaths and this count is picking up steam.

The COVID industry is moving to begin counting "lockdown" deaths as COVID deaths in order to a) save face, and b) keep the crisis cruising along. It's unfortunate they don't have to worry about legal jeopardy.
Posted by DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
10144 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 5:18 pm to
Just like the deaths blamed on the hurricane because someone ran the generator in the back bedroom and killed themselves...or the guy who had the heart attack clearing the limbs out of his yard.

Yep...the hurricane caused it.

Don't laugh...this crap is true.
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6821 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 7:00 pm to
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
















7 Day Average Growth of New Cases by State


7 Day Average Growth of Deaths by State


7-day average Positivity Rate
Posted by Chromdome35
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
6821 posts
Posted on 10/10/20 at 7:05 pm to
Two things I have my eye on, Hospitalizations and positivity rate.

Both showing worsening trends.

Hospitalizations


Positivity Rate
Posted by TigerDoc
Texas
Member since Apr 2004
9893 posts
Posted on 10/11/20 at 5:43 am to
Gu's model has us in a plateau to slight increasing phase.

Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111495 posts
Posted on 10/11/20 at 9:42 am to
My model has us in a declining phase.
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