Confidence in 2024 Presidental election?

No confidence. Republicans don’t have the backbone to stand up to the stolen elections. That was made clear a few years ago.

20% if it's Trump, and 75% if it's someone else.

There is a term in law called 'presumption.' It actually came long before law. It comes from logic:
'If you don't know whether acting will result in goodness or badness it is best not to act.'
Therefore, logic says we can have almost no confidence in an election and still vote. Because voting brings the possible benefit in an honest election. Not voting eliminates the possibility of benefit.
So, expect the worst, but act assuming possibility of success.

Even if they were no cheating and they did away with mail in voting, etc. (which won't happen of course), the GOP's days are numbered.

The vast majority of Republican support comes from white people. Non-white groups vote heavily Democrat. As the US becomes majority non-white, Republicans will be unable to win the presidency.

There were simply too many "first" and "coincidences" last election to believe they were legit.
That being said, what other choice do voters have other than to vote?
I understand some will say stay home, but what is that other than giving into those who wish to control us. Whether or not we believe the election was stolen our responsibility is to vote. If someone doesn't vote, that person has no right to criticize other than being a total hypocrite.

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If the Republicans do nothing more than hearings over the fact that the fbi and cia influenced the last election, none.

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Republicans don’t control Congress, largely due to Trump’s poor endorsement decisions.

We have to win the Presidency to clean up the federal agencies.

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20% if it's Trump, and 75% if it's someone else.

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If the cheating is not stopped, what you makes you think ANY republican could win? Why would democrats change their tactics, they've gotten away with cheating TWICE?

If, by this point, you still think there was enough cheating in the 2020 Presidential election to switch the outcome, you shouldn't vote in 2024.

There's no set of facts that can be given to you to make you believe the truth - that the election wasn't rigged - over the Big Lie.

So enjoy being gullible and don't waste your time participating in a process you willfully choose to be ignorant of.

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This is a scandalous and evil country now with little to no value on truth and the Constitution itself.

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Sad, but true.

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If we don’t feel it’s winnable, 

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As things currently stand, it is only winnable for the Establishment.

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let’s all log out and and never talk elections again.

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You first.

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let’s give ourselves the best shot to win by running our strongest candidate (DeSantis, clearly).

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Gotta love when opinions are presented as incontestable fact. That's a tactic of the Establishment Uniparty and the MSM Propaganda Machine Complex.