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Breaking From 538.... Trump gains in Virginia races. Sorry Liberals

Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:54 pm
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:54 pm
Pickup opportunities for Democrats
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
2nd McAuliffe +11 Warner +6 Clinton +17 D+25.3 95.7%
31st McAuliffe +3 Gillespie +2 Clinton +7 D+9.0 96.2%
32nd McAuliffe +7 Warner +2 Clinton +19 D+17.1 100.0%
42nd McAuliffe +6 Warner +2 Clinton +20 D+22.0 94.7%
67th McAuliffe +8 Warner +6 Clinton +22 D+15.9 100.0%
Toss ups
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
12th McAuliffe +6 Warner +8 Clinton +2 D+7.2 97.1%
13th McAuliffe +1 Gillespie +4 Clinton +14 D+9.2 95.0%
21st McAuliffe +4 Warner +3 Clinton +4 D+5.5 95.0%
72nd Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +6 Clinton +4 D+5.6 100.0%
94th McAuliffe +3 Warner +2 Clinton +5 R+0.1 100.0%
Reaches
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
10th Cuccinelli +3 Gillespie +8 Clinton +4 D+3.9 100.0%
40th Cuccinelli +7 Gillespie +11 Clinton +8 D+0.6 95.7%
50th Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +3 Clinton +12 D+9.1 93.8%
51st Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +7 Clinton +6 D+6.0 95.5%
68th Cuccinelli +2 Gillespie +4 Clinton +10 D+1.2 96.6%
73rd Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +5 Clinton +7 D+2.8 100.0%
85th Cuccinelli +2 Gillespie +3 Trump +1 D+2.0 94.4%
100th McAuliffe +2 Warner +1 Clinton +2 R+4.5 100.0%
Wave territory
PAST RESULTS TONIGHT’S RETURNS
DISTRICT 2013 GOVERNOR 2014 SENATE 2016 PRESIDENT MARGIN % REPORTING
26th Cuccinelli +17 Gillespie +20 Trump +9 R+9.2 100.0%
27th Cuccinelli +8 Gillespie +8 Trump +4 R+0.5 95.5%
28th Cuccinelli +5 Gillespie +9 Trump +4 R+0.4 100.0%
33rd Cuccinelli +15 Gillespie +20 Trump +16 R+9.7 100.0%
62nd Cuccinelli +9 Gillespie +7 Trump +6 R+3.6 92.6%
83rd Cuccinelli +4 Gillespie +9 Trump +8 R+12.8 95.5%
84th Cuccinelli +1 Gillespie +5 Trump +5 R+3.3 94.4%


Please look at where Hillary won vs where Trump won..... Then look at who won tonight in those areas.

LINK

This post was edited on 11/7/17 at 10:28 pm
Posted by Pigimus Prime
Arkansas
Member since Feb 2012
4086 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:56 pm to
Why don’t you summarize it? I’m on my phone and that looks like gibberish.

ETA: not trying to be a dick, I really want to know.
This post was edited on 11/7/17 at 9:57 pm
Posted by GEAUXmedic
Premium Member
Member since Nov 2011
41598 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:56 pm to
Just link it.. your copy paste sucks.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:57 pm to
94th HRC won, but the GOP won the seat.

100th, HRC won... Gop won the seat.

85th Trump won by 1%.. with 94% reporting the Dem is up by 2
Posted by Vood
Enjoying a Forty with Lando
Member since Dec 2007
8332 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:58 pm to
Summary.. Almost all of the areas that voted for Clinton in 2016 is going (D) in their House races.

On a side note, water has been reported to be wet. Both sets of information should surprise no one.
This post was edited on 11/7/17 at 9:59 pm
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
25917 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 9:59 pm to
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

ETA: not trying to be a dick, I really want to know.


I was hoping it would be a picture, but it's not.


Basically, what's being touted as a huge win isn't at all.....


Posted by Toddy
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2010
27250 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:00 pm to
Look at the NYT's precinct shift map of Virginia. 3/4 of the state has shifted blue.
Posted by Toddy
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2010
27250 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

Basically, what's being touted as a huge win isn't at all.....
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:02 pm to
Where HRC won, the Dems picked up except for 2 seats.

Where Trump won... the GOP won except 1.

That's not a referendum against Trump. That's a boost to Trump.
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
48092 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:02 pm to
How many districts that went for trump in the election broke democrat tonight? 1. Some referendum.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

Look at the NYT's precinct shift map of Virginia. 3/4 of the state has shifted blue.


Are you saying 538 is lying?
Posted by Toddy
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2010
27250 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:03 pm to
Gillespie tied or lost some of these counties by 2 points two years ago. Tonight he lost some of those by 20 to 30 points. Spin THAT.
Posted by Jjdoc
Cali
Member since Mar 2016
53436 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

How many districts that went for trump in the election broke democrat tonight? 1. Some referendum.



And 2 that went for Hillary went GOP...
Posted by Vood
Enjoying a Forty with Lando
Member since Dec 2007
8332 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:04 pm to
If those areas had gone TRUMP in 2016, you could claim a huge win, but come on Toddy. Just because a graphic is going to blue to red tonight means nothing. Its been blue for a while, just official tonight.

Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27874 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

Gillespie tied or lost some of these counties by 2 points two years ago

quote:

Gillespie tied or lost

quote:

Gillespie

And I must have missed the part where VA was part of the huge Trump wave in '16

link?
Posted by bhtigerfan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
29408 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:07 pm to
quote:

How many districts that went for trump in the election broke democrat tonight? 1. Some referendum.
But Toddy is celebrating like he got a new butt plug or something.
Posted by BBONDS25
Member since Mar 2008
48092 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:07 pm to
No spin necessary. Republicans lost 1 district trump won. Hey won two districts he lost. I think the referendum you got was against Gillespie. Not Trump. Trump picked up a district.
Posted by Toddy
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2010
27250 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:09 pm to
quote:

If those areas had gone TRUMP in 2016, you could claim a huge win, but come on Toddy.


They did. These are red counties that have picked up, in some cases significantly, blue votes tonight.
Posted by RCDfan1950
United States
Member since Feb 2007
34866 posts
Posted on 11/7/17 at 10:10 pm to
It's all about the Senate, doc. We got Dem Gov. JBE down here; does it matter re the Trump wave?

If Tax Reform goes through and the economy takes off...the Dems can throw in the towel. At least those that can stay out of jail after the U-1 and 'Dossier' stuff breaks. That's the whole thing in a nutshell.
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