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Before The Goal Posts Get Moved, Can The Progs Define What Constitutes The Blue Wave?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:52 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:52 pm
Really want to know this so we don't see a bunch of trolling and crowing over moral victories.
12
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:53 pm to BeeFense5
Taking the house and several governor's mansions would be a success.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:53 pm to BeeFense5
The dems taking the house
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:53 pm to CommoDawg
quote:
The dems taking the house
and if they don't?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:53 pm to BeeFense5
The House
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:54 pm to BeeFense5
They’ll flip a dozen seats and the MSM will be calling it a complete and utter repudiation of Trump and his policies.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:54 pm to BeeFense5
quote:
and if they don't?
then it's not a blue wave
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:55 pm to CommoDawg
Blue wave is 40+ seats and taking the senate
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:55 pm to BeeFense5
quote:
The dems taking the house
and if they don't
I started a thread asking this very question.
My guess is if they make gains but don’t take the house, they will act like it is a huge win, even though it will be exactly the opposite of what they thought and hoped would happen.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:55 pm to BeeFense5
Go back a couple of months, and it was taking the House and Senate. They’ve already moved.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:56 pm to BeeFense5
Here’s the only blue wave that they can expect to see tonight.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 3:56 pm to BeeFense5
Probably anything around the median number seats gained by the non-presidential party in a mid-term (~30 seats in the house), but I reserve the right to claim less due to gerrymandering ( 
). I believe the Dems need about a 6% total vote advantage to get a +1 seat majority.
). I believe the Dems need about a 6% total vote advantage to get a +1 seat majority. Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:00 pm to jbond
quote:
Taking the house and several governor's mansions would be a success.
That is plain vanilla happenstance in a first midterm of a new POTUS - gaining less than 30 seats is woeful underperformance.
With the $$$ they have pumped into this campaign they better get >50 to even have something to brag about.
A 'blue wave" would constitute picking up 60+ seats in the House and 4+ seats in the Senate.
Anything less is just the way things work
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:00 pm to TigerDoc
How is that a wave? Isn't that what is supposed to happen?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:00 pm to BeeFense5
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:01 pm to BeeFense5
quote:
The dems taking the house
and if they don't?
If they don't take the house but still pick up seats, it will be like an LSU 21-20 win over ULM.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:02 pm to Xenophon
quote:
Go back a couple of months, and it was taking the House and Senate. They’ve already moved.
I could be wrong, but the Senate was never really in play for Dems. Even the most aggressive projections kept it Red.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:04 pm to Cypdog
quote:
How is that a wave? Isn't that what is supposed to happen?
Guess that depends on if you think the normal midterm thermostatic flux counts as a wave, I suppose. It certainly doesn't always happen historically. Just two presidents ago GWB, '02), the Republicans avoided a loss in his first midterms. The R's picked up ~60 in 10 which I think is unquestionably a wave.
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 4:08 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:07 pm to BeeFense5
September 2018:
“Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.”
“Conservative news giant Matt Drudge on Friday made a somber prediction about Republicans’ chances in the November midterm elections, predicting President Donald Trump will see his party lose 60 seats in the House of Representatives.”
Posted on 11/6/18 at 4:14 pm to BeeFense5
All they need is the House. Anything less should be considered an abject failure.
They get to have 2 years of hearings and impeachment with the House.
They get to have 2 years of hearings and impeachment with the House.
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