Started By
Message

Mississippi water levels

Posted on 4/8/14 at 5:18 pm
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5503 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 5:18 pm
Can any of yall in the know about water levels tell me what we should expect from snow melt up north this year? Is there any way to even predict that?

Every year the river has reached (or almost reached) flood stage around May/June because of the melt and some of the best fishing I've done on the river has been during the floods. Just trying to get an idea if we should expect water high enough to reach the levee this year.

Baton Rouge fwiw.
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 5:21 pm to
Water will come up just as it does every year
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5503 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 5:23 pm to
I mean yeah I know that but two years ago it didn't come up enough to flood the pits I normally fish. Just wondering if there was a way to predict how high it would rise.
Posted by ToothMaker
Member since Feb 2013
33 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 9:01 pm to
Snow melt is basically all gone from the head waters and doesn't effect the river here nearly as much as rain in the ohio valley..... Mississippi will be within 5ft of flood stage in about 2 weeks
Posted by crankbait
Member since Feb 2008
11623 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 9:03 pm to
It's lower than typical over the five last years or so right now in natchez. That will change soon
Posted by ScottieP
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2004
1933 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 10:08 pm to
The river rising really depends on rain in the Ohio Valley as someone else said. The river could see a large rise if you get what we call a rain on snow event. Basically the snow is starting to melt, then a bunch of rain falls which causes the snow to melt rapidly. The combination of the melting snow and rain runoff will usually cause a rise with a quick fall. If rain continues the high water will remain.

The 1st link is real time conditions for the Miss River at BR

LINK


The 2nd is a forecast site. Does not look like they show a peak in BR yet so they are expecting it to keep rising at least into next week. There is also a 28 day forecast at the bottom but that is only updated every Wednesday.
LINK
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 10:18 pm to
Anything past a 7 day forecast is guessing.

There are a lot of factors such as ones stated above and also the levels of the reservoirs up north (which I heard were low ).

Like the OP, I do my best fishing when the water is up but not sure we'll get the real big prolonged rise that we've seen in recent years.
Posted by Slickback
Deer Stand
Member since Mar 2008
27678 posts
Posted on 4/8/14 at 10:26 pm to
It'll be like 3 years ago when they were worried about it toppling the levees IMO. Record snowfalls up north and further south than normal, plus its staying frozen longer. Mid May it should start rising.

It'll flood the pits this year. Let me know when it does and I'll come fish them with you.

I used to have a badass one at an old lease, but we lost it. Its fun shite fishing them.
Posted by OldSouth
Folsom, LA
Member since Oct 2011
10940 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 8:32 am to
quote:

It'll flood the pits this year. Let me know when it does and I'll come fish them with you.

I used to have a badass one at an old lease, but we lost it. Its fun shite fishing them.
Fishing them for what?
Posted by FelicianaTigerfan
Comanche County
Member since Aug 2009
26059 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 9:01 am to
Found a drainage ditch Saturday that every now and then has some bar fish in it. Wass full of carp, gar, and choupique. Spent 3 hours snagging fish. Had the biggest choupique ive ever seen hit my crankbait and then break 18lb mono.
Posted by ShubutaMS
5682 posts
Member since Aug 2013
1434 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 9:09 am to
quote:

ScottieP



I remember you being semi-famous during the 2011 flood.
Posted by fishfighter
RIP
Member since Apr 2008
40026 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 9:16 am to
Farcast for this years river rise will be a avg one. Nothing real high.
Posted by Jakeyura
Belle Chasse, La / Gulf Shores, Al
Member since Nov 2012
1076 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 9:51 am to
When can we expect the rive to be at its lowest, I have a sand flats in the river, behind fort Jackson, where I like to gig flounder. But the flounder are only there when the river drops and sucks in salt water.
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5503 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 10:47 am to
I'm obviously no pro but in my experience it gets the lowest around October.
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5503 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 10:49 am to
quote:

ScottieP


Thanks man. That's exactly what I was looking for. I follow the first link to watch levels for lots of different bodies of water including the MS, but I didn't know what types of things up north affect it the most.

So if the snow starts melting up north in the next two weeks or so, and they get pounded by rain, we'll have higher water?
Posted by wickowick
Head of Island
Member since Dec 2006
45794 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 11:00 am to
Posted by ScottieP
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2004
1933 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 1:14 pm to
Any rain up north from this point on is going to cause a good rise. But focus on rain in the Ohio Valley.

If you look at the map of the drainage area it looks like most comes from the west. This is not true. The Missouri and the Red have reserviors and dams throughout their entire reach, which holds the water. The Miss. River gets most of its water from the Ohio River.

Also 2011 levels were historic. But it is not our of the relm for see 35 feet here in BR come late April early May.

Low water is usually Aug-Dec. with Aug-Oct being the lowest.

Against what many think, rain in Baton Rouge has no effect on the Miss River.
Posted by dawg23
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Jul 2011
5065 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 1:18 pm to
A. 10" of snow (on average) = 1" of rain. It takes a lot of snow melt to equal rainfall runoff from one major storm front.

B. As Wick pointed out (graphically), water flows downhill.

C. Now you should have everything you need.

D. You're welcome.
Posted by Choirboy
On your property
Member since Aug 2010
10777 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 1:22 pm to
If I knew then what I know now there is no doubt I would have studied hydrology. I have property on the river between the Natchez and Vicksburg bridges and the force, power, and effect of water is nothing short of amazing to me.
Posted by bluemoons
the marsh
Member since Oct 2012
5503 posts
Posted on 4/9/14 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

the force, power, and effect of water is nothing short of amazing to me.



Some friends and I were just talking about it. When it was really up a couple years ago, I remember walking out to the levee and looking across to Plaquemine and thinking "holy shite." It's incredible.
first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram