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re: U.S. considering using force to protect Syrian rebels hit by Russia

Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:38 pm to
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
55850 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:38 pm to
quote:

The Middle East's importance from a strategic standpoint starts and ends with oil. Period. But, having said that, the importance of oil for the entire world cannot be overstated. People can hate oil all they want. That still own't change the fact that without oil, the entire modern world would come to an end.



So its not so much Syria, as its the surrounding countries, correct? I know you guys have probably already said that, but this is all a lot to take in.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464970 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

I hate to say it, but there really are no good options left for the US in the Middle East at this point.

when was the last time there were good options in the ME? WWII?
Posted by Spaceman Spiff
Savannah
Member since Sep 2012
19885 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:40 pm to
quote:

BTW... While the world is paying attention to what Russia is doing in Syria, they just did this in the Ukraine...


But, didn't everyone say that Russia wasn't a power and couldn't field crap?
Posted by BentonTiger7
Benton, LA
Member since Sep 2011
2467 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:42 pm to
With oil being $44/bbl right now the Russian economy is hurting. Do you think they will do anything to drastically increase the price of oil? Surely that's a little bit of what they are working towards.
Posted by lake chuck fan
Vinton
Member since Aug 2011
21112 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:44 pm to
U.S. considering using force to protect Syrian rebels hit by Russia


Neither does Russia. They may be crazy, but they are not stupid. Nobody wins.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

So its not so much Syria, as its the surrounding countries, correct? I know you guys have probably already said that, but this is all a lot to take in.


Syria itself is not a major oil producing country. Looks like they rank 68th worldwide just behind Papua New Guinea and in front of Belarus.

LINK

What's going on in the Middle East is not just about Syria. The Russians & Iranians joining with them is what's such a major concern. That and what this new alliance means for the stability of the region.


ETA: Earlier in this thread I laid out some of the very possible consequences of what could happen as a result of Russia being in Syria. Here it is again...

quote:

I agree that ISIS needs to be taken out. I also agree Assad is not a good ally of the US. But let's be honest. Unless we want to risk direct war with Russia, Assad is not going anywhere. Russia is going to wipe out the rebels we support first, they've started that process already. And once they're done with that, they along with Iran and it's proxy Hezbollah, will turn their attention to wiping out ISIS in both Syria and Iraq.

And if I were a betting man, when it's all said and done, Iraq as we know it will either be totally wiped off the map, or at least will see some sort of partition with both Syria & Iran gaining at it's expense. This then leads to another question;

1. What will the effect of a Middle East dominated by a Russia, Syria, Iran Axis be on the world stage?

2. How will Saudi Arabia react to having on it's northern border a Iraq that's a puppet to a emboldened and very strong Iran backed by Russia and by them probably armed with nuclear weapons?

3. How will Jordan, a pretty good American ally, react to a reinvigorated Syria sitting on it's doorstep?

4. How will a much stronger Hezbollah, puppet of a much stronger Iran, act towards Israel? Already just this week it's been reported that Syria has given them enough tanks to equip it's own armored division so it's obvious Hezbollah is about to go through a massive expansion. Right now that expansion is to fight the enemies of Assad. Once that task is done, Hezbollah (and thus Iran) will once again turn it's attention to Israel. And I'm sure, when the time comes, Syria will be more than happy to repay their allies for the help they're giving them today.

So you see, like I said in my other post, giving Russia and it's allies a dominate role in the Middle East can and will have serious consequences. I'm not saying we need to risk war with Russia to stop it. I'm just pointing out that allowing Russia to have a free hand in the Middle East will probably not end up well for us either.
This post was edited on 10/2/15 at 12:46 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464970 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

With oil being $44/bbl right now the Russian economy is hurting. Do you think they will do anything to drastically increase the price of oil? Surely that's a little bit of what they are working towards.



they have been working with Asaad and Iran for years. they are allies of Russia.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

But, didn't everyone say that Russia wasn't a power and couldn't field crap?


It's like a lot of people seem to think it's still 1994.
Posted by BentonTiger7
Benton, LA
Member since Sep 2011
2467 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:48 pm to
They are slacking then lol. Oil is falling again for the week.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464970 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

The Russians & Iranians joining with them is what's such a major concern. That and what this new alliance

this alliance isn't new.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

I hate to say it, but there really are no good options left for the US in the Middle East at this point.

when was the last time there were good options in the ME? WWII?


Honestly, I'd say WWI really. Actually, when things really started to take a turn for the worse for the US in the middle East was 1979 with fall of the Shah of Iran. LINK

Before then, things over there were manageable. Since then, it's been one long downhill slide.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

The Russians & Iranians joining with them is what's such a major concern. That and what this new alliance

this alliance isn't new.



I'm speaking from a standpoint of it's new active military standpoint. I fully realize that Russia has long been a supporter of Assad just as the Soviets supported his father before him. I also know the Soviets have long helped the Iranians in many areas, namely nuclear areas.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
55850 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

But, didn't everyone say that Russia wasn't a power and couldn't field crap?


It's like a lot of people seem to think it's still 1994.



Don't we spend 100s of billions of dollars more on the military than Russia? Again, I could be way off base here, but if that's the fact, aren't they still ages behind us in military power?
This post was edited on 10/2/15 at 12:56 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464970 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 12:56 pm to
we only installed the Shah to prevent the USSR from spreading in the region during the Cold War

the Shah was not a good option b/c the alternative was Communism taking over the ME
Posted by GeauxxxTigers23
TeamBunt General Manager
Member since Apr 2013
62514 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:00 pm to
We spend exponentially more because we pat our troops a lot more and pat for their health care and retirements. Not to mention that we pat to train every soldier 6 times a year that is bad to rape people and you shouldn't drink too much. We also spend a frick ton on modern barracks and movie theaters on base family benifits and countless other bullshite that doesn't actually increase our warfighting ability
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Don't we spend 100s of billions of dollars more on the military than Russia? Again, I could be way off base here, but if that's the fact, aren't they still ages behind us in military power?


We waste billions and most of it goes to things that do nothing to help combat effectiveness. As for military power, we hold a massive edge over the Russians in naval power, a decent edge over them in air power, and a somewhat decent edge over them in ground forces, although this is waning fast due to our cutbacks and their growth.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:06 pm to
quote:

We spend exponentially more because we pat our troops a lot more and pat for their health care and retirements. Not to mention that we pat to train every soldier 6 times a year that is bad to rape people and you shouldn't drink too much. We also spend a frick ton on modern barracks and movie theaters on base family benifits and countless other bullshite that doesn't actually increase our warfighting ability


All of this.
Posted by Funky Tide 8
Bayou Chico
Member since Feb 2009
55850 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:09 pm to
I see. Makes sense. Thanks for schooling me, guys!
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
71880 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:16 pm to
You're welcome. The bottom line to remember when it comes to Russia is they have aspirations of regaining the old Soviet Union's place in the world. They're rebuilding their military at an astonishing rate. They're hoping to once again exert their control over at least Eastern Europe. Basically, we are probably already in the opening phase of a new Cold War. The question now is how will we react and what will the consequences be of that reaction?
Posted by Spaceman Spiff
Savannah
Member since Sep 2012
19885 posts
Posted on 10/2/15 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

U.S. considering using force to protect Syrian rebels hit by Russia


Neither does Russia. They may be crazy, but they are not stupid. Nobody wins.


That may be. Buts let's take a deeper look at Syria for a minute. Russia isn't fighting ISIS, in fact they are going to keep Assad in power. They have brought in multitudes of anti-ship and anti-aircraft weaponry and pretty much ringed the port with it (think about that one for a minute). Now, our admin is going to send a "strong letter" demanding Russia stop hitting rebels.

Now, let's say their a/c and our a/c come together and one fires on the other. Just some little spark is all it needs...
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