re: Alberto - Steadily Moving Inland

Hey, potential storm trying to develop:

That's kind of what I figured. I've been following this stuff for over 15 years (wife, coworkers, etc all mock me for not going into meteorology) and it always fascinates me how little we know and yet can still get a decent idea of what to expect.

I love the approach to this model and the science behind it. But, I'll continue to put my faith into Euro and GFS until something trumps their accuracy.

If my home floods again it means that over 100K homes have again flooded in less than 2 years and yes that would mean many including me would leave and not come back. I can only live through and rebuild 1 1000 year flood in my lifetime. Not interested in 2 or more.

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I think PTSD is not too strong a word for what some of these people suffer.

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To witness the place you call home, your actual home, and your neighbor's homes, all the places near and dear to you such as grocery stores, schools, gas stations, and other places you stop and and shop at on a daily/weekly basis become something unrecognizable, THEN to suddenly BECOME part of the tragedy by having to be rescued yourself --- that's an immense amount of stress and shock.

PTSD is real in south Louisiana.

Where exactly are you getting these models? Just curious how you get these model runs. Ive looked at the noaa page and would like to try and pull this myself.

I use Tropicaltidbits.com

A warm core low pressure system that doesn't move can cause havoc even if winds are not even a TD. August (2016) showed that.

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To witness the place you call home, your actual home, and your neighbor's homes, all the places near and dear to you such as grocery stores, schools, gas stations, and other places you stop and and shop at on a daily/weekly basis become something unrecognizable, THEN to suddenly BECOME part of the tragedy by having to be rescued yourself --- that's an immense amount of stress and shock.

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We lived in the Rigolets and lost everything we owned in Katrina. My pride and young age combined with pure stupidity also almost cost me my life. I wouldn't wish a storm like Katrina on my worst enemy! I went through panic/anxiety attacks for many years anytime a thunderstorm happened or another hurricane threatened landfall anywhere close to Louisiana. The anxiety attacks at their peak became absolutely crippling as I wouldn't even leave the house for work if severe weather threatened. With time and Zoloft the attacks became less frequent and less debilitating. I was actually even able to get off the Zoloft eventually but I still occasionally have mild anxiety attacks when severe thunderstorms happen. I just have to use calming techniques such as breathing exercises to work through them nowadays.

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We lived in the Rigolets

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I dont want flooding but could sure use a good saturating