re: Severe weather threat continues today for parts of the southeast - Threat is Over.

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We did have that Easter severe weather outbreak, though. That was a moderate risk day, as well.

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Yeah, I was talking more no High risk days and an overall low number of tornadoes across the country.

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I refuse to believe the BR area gets any actual severe weather from this.

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BR isn’t even in the “Enhanced Risk”

This sounding appears to be from east of Hackleburg, AL.





And that hodograph....

Hodographs

Skew-T

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2020 gave everyone a break. Suprising, considering everything else about the year was shite.

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April 12–13, 2020
Throughout the two-day outbreak, a total of 140 tornadoes touched down across 10 states, inflicting widespread and locally catastrophic damage. The strongest tornado was rated high-end EF4 and occurred in Southern Mississippi, producing estimated winds of 190 mph (310 km/h), reaching a width of 2.25 mi (3.62 km), and causing eight deaths. With a total of 32 tornado-related fatalities, it was the deadliest tornado outbreak since April 27–30, 2014.

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April 12–13, 2020
Throughout the two-day outbreak, a total of 140 tornadoes touched down across 10 states, inflicting widespread and locally catastrophic damage. The strongest tornado was rated high-end EF4 and occurred in Southern Mississippi, producing estimated winds of 190 mph (310 km/h), reaching a width of 2.25 mi (3.62 km), and causing eight deaths. With a total of 32 tornado-related fatalities, it was the deadliest tornado outbreak since April 27–30, 2014.

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I'm aware. I was talking about overall, concerning the entire season, and specifically "High Risk" days.

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Note the "Pos. Hazard Type: TOR" in the bottom right corner. That means if that sounding verified, that cell/part of the storm would have a tornado with it.

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Ignore this box and learn to read it yourself.

Edit: I don't mean to sound mean, I literally mean, learn to read it for yourself rather than relying on that box.

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Again, I was referring to no "High Risk" days in 2020.

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Just takes one A-ARON

This is from Meteorologist Jim Stefkovich, with the Alabama Emergency Management Agency:

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A dangerous and life-threatening event is unfolding on Wednesday with three rounds of storms. There is a Moderate Risk for much of the state, but don’t get hung up on the specific threat area/color. This will be a statewide event. Having said that, will every person be affected. NO! But, does every inch of the state have the potential for severe weather? YES!

The first two rounds of storms will have limited severe weather coverage. The third is the most certain with widespread and significant severe storms, including strong to violent long-tracked tornadoes.


Round 1 – A few severe storms are possible Wednesday in north Alabama from 7 am – 12 pm north of a Hamilton – Cullman – Centre line. Severe weather, if any, will be limited in coverage.

Round 2 – Models continue to indicate scattered thunderstorm development after 11 am in southwest Alabama, spreading northeast into the northern sections of the state by 6 pm. The atmosphere will be primed for tornadic storms, and any of these thunderstorms could become severe. Wind gusts up to 80 mph (mimicking tornado damage), golf ball hail, and tornadoes are all possible.


Round 3 – A broken line of severe thunderstorms will reach western Alabama between 6-8 pm Wednesday, the I-65 corridor between 11 pm – 2 am and exit the southeast sections of the state between 6 am and 10 am Thursday. This will be the most widespread and dangerous part of the event. Tornadic supercells will likely occur the entire period, including long-tracked EF-2 or stronger tornadoes.

In addition, straight-line winds up to 80 mph and golf ball or larger hail is possible. Thus, the message on Wednesday/Thursday morning is to take NWS Severe Thunderstorm Warnings just as serious as Tornado Warnings.

NOW, is the time to either review or develop your severe weather plan, as additional severe weather events will occur through the spring.

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broken line of severe thunderstorms will reach western Alabama between 6-8 pm Wednesday, the I-65 corridor between 11 pm – 2 am and exit the southeast sections of the state between 6 am and 10 am Thursday

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Ahhh, sonofabitch. I'm over on the eastern side and this thing is gonna greet me when I wake up.

Although it does seem like most of the really severe weather gets weakened as it gets to us (maybe has something to do with the bottom portion of the Appalachian mountains breaking that stuff up) but there have been many big tornadoes in my time in a 30 mile radius. This sucks. Hope everyone comes through alright.