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Started By
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1
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:38 pm to 50_Tiger
I’m going to be listening to sirens all night tomorrow, aren’t I?
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:46 pm to Duke
We thinkin’ first high risk of the year this week?
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 8:48 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:49 pm to Roll Tide Ravens
quote:
We thinkin’ first high risk of the year this week?
IDK. It's the first one with the potential but it's going to need support from about every model in breaking the cap.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:51 pm to Duke
quote:
in breaking the cap.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:00 pm to rt3
HRRR doesn't want to fire anything by 7 pm on Tuesday, except in Iowa.
It does continue to fire cells off in Arkansas tomorrow though, which isn't what I wanted to see.
It does continue to fire cells off in Arkansas tomorrow though, which isn't what I wanted to see.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:12 pm to Duke
Is there supposed to be a cap in place for us Wednesday
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:16 pm to Duke
quote:
It does continue to fire cells off in Arkansas tomorrow though, which isn't what I wanted to see.
I'm telling you....
ETA: Of course, I just realized that earlier I said I'd chill in Eastern Arkansas and wait. I'd like to think that if I were actually going out I would recognize the error of that statement.
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 9:23 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:21 pm to LegendInMyMind
Yeah, I'm getting more bullish on Arky tomorrow.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:23 pm to LSUGrrrl
Is possible but I am more focused on Tuesday as the risk area from the SPC is already in play
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:25 pm to Duke
I don't know that if it were the only shot I would make a long drive for it, but I do believe I would stop in NW Arkansas tomorrow just in case. With the stuff out West coming up, I think it'd be a shot worth taking.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:25 pm to Duke
Our local just came on…they continue to downplay and not really discuss much about Tues/Wed. Their future radar model seems to show everything staying well south of here then firing at around Arkansas border on Tuesday stuff. Looks to be around Fort Smith area. If you drew a line from McAlester OK to Fort Smith, that’s the way they’re showing it.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:31 pm to LegendInMyMind
I hear ya. If I was going to Kansas (or Iowa...I know but I think Iowa might be the winner on Tuesday) via Arkansas anyway, probably worth a shot.
Though after another look at the HRRR, it's bringing the sfc low a lot farther north than everything else.
Though after another look at the HRRR, it's bringing the sfc low a lot farther north than everything else.
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 9:34 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:32 pm to Hawgeye
SPC respectfully disagrees with your locals about Tuesday .. don't know about Wednesday
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:34 pm to wfallstiger
quote:
SPC respectfully disagrees with your locals about Tuesday .. don't know about Wednesday
We have some very good locals in Tulsa metro.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 9:56 pm to Duke
The first Allendale, SC tornado last week was an EF3 per survey.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 10:04 pm to LegendInMyMind
Wednesday is supposed to be the day to watch here. 90% Severe Thunderstorms and 80% that night. High is 73 which is what it was December 10th.
We’ll wait and see what happens that day.
We’ll wait and see what happens that day.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 10:09 pm to Pisco
I havent look much past Tuesday yet but it has the most widespread potential (obviously looking at the SPC outlooks).
Posted on 4/10/22 at 10:38 pm to Duke
On the CAMs you can see the remnant boundary that could fire those storms in AR tomorrow. Boom or bust, it will be interesting to watch the boundaries after the early convection.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 11:50 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
HRRR hates Arkansas
Who doesn’t?
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