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re: Severe Weather Thread: 4/17 --Extra Bonus Easter Edition-- North LA and Northshore
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:32 pm to deltaland
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:32 pm to deltaland
quote:
What am I likely looking at here Wednesday on a scale of nothingburger to April 27, 2011
For people who ride the roof ridge during a tornado warning just to get a better view, two blonde ones above a Nothingburger.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:34 pm to Duke
quote:
The cap should be there, but a front from the NW could end up giving enough of a kick to fire storms off.
Yeah, I'm not a 100% believer in tomorrow. If I'm a chaser headed West anyway, I'd chill in Eastern Arkansas and wait, though.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:36 pm to LegendInMyMind
In all seriousness, though, this may be the best Plains setup we've seen in a while. I haven't dove into the Eastern threat yet. Duke may hit on that later, but I'm not the one to really comment on a forecast setup.
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 5:54 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:45 pm to LegendInMyMind
Id just end up in Kansas and wait for Tuesday if Im a chaser.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:52 pm to Duke
Oh joy. I turn 41 tomorrow and get to look forward to this week. Wednesday should be an entertaining day/night.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 5:54 pm to Duke
quote:
Id just end up in Kansas and wait for Tuesday if Im a chaser.
What do you have against Arkansas, baw? What has it ever done to you?
Posted on 4/10/22 at 6:03 pm to LegendInMyMind
Locals anticipate a Tuesday 3PMish start up for us...just ahead of the dry line which will be a tad West of us.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 6:33 pm to wfallstiger
Hey Duke, Legend, Boat… how fricked am I? This is from Reed Timmer.


This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 6:33 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 6:35 pm to WhuckFistle
Writing about it now, but it's a conditional risk. Which means, if storms fire they could produce strong tornadoes but there's uncertainty on storms firing.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 6:48 pm to WhuckFistle
I'm not sold on the threat for tomorrow afternoon/evening. It should stay capped with your your average thunderstorms firing during that time. That said, if you get sun earlier in the day with some storms firing into the afternoon, that cap could break. The conditional threat is there, but it is conditional.
Duke wouldn't make a play on it. He'd head West. I, though, have nothing against the great state of Arkansas and would hang around to see if something fires.
ETA: Either way, it wouldn't be a bad idea to find cover for your vehicles. There's a hail risk with the storms tomorrow.
Duke wouldn't make a play on it. He'd head West. I, though, have nothing against the great state of Arkansas and would hang around to see if something fires.
ETA: Either way, it wouldn't be a bad idea to find cover for your vehicles. There's a hail risk with the storms tomorrow.
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 6:50 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:13 pm to Duke
Curious about Tulsa metro. Lots of national chatter on this early week stuff, but locals aren’t sounding the alarms like some chasers/weather folks on twitter.
Basically telling us hail and wind threat with severe stuff.
Basically telling us hail and wind threat with severe stuff.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:15 pm to Hawgeye
quote:
Basically telling us hail and wind threat with severe stuff.
I mean......yeah.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:17 pm to Hawgeye
Tulsa's tricky. I think they generally avoid the Monday threat due to the timing of the front, since the upper levels are not helpful to storms. Brings the risk more into Arkansas due to front position and timing.
Tuesday is high ceiling but uncertainty if anything fires. Any supercells that fire Tuesday, look the frick out because the atmosphere wants violence.
Tuesday is high ceiling but uncertainty if anything fires. Any supercells that fire Tuesday, look the frick out because the atmosphere wants violence.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:22 pm to Duke
quote:
Tuesday is high ceiling but uncertainty if anything fires. Any supercells that fire Tuesday, look the frick out because the atmosphere wants violence.
sounds like a 1st round NBA prospect
This post was edited on 4/10/22 at 7:23 pm
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:29 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
I mean......yeah
Oklahoma folks are different…hail and wind don’t cause a local stir.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 7:59 pm to Hawgeye
quote:
Oklahoma folks are different…hail and wind don’t cause a local stir.
Meanwhile, down in Dallas they crank the sirens for lightning.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:07 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Meanwhile, down in Dallas they crank the sirens for lightning.
I thought I heard somewhere that a lot of municipalities are starting to turn on tornado sirens for severe thunderstorm warnings with significant hail possibilities or a "tornado possible" tag
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:10 pm to rt3
Anything radar indicated will get the sirens
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:11 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
Anything radar indicated will get the sirens
Seems an overly aggressive standard but then again, sirens really shouldn't be a first line warning system anyway.
Posted on 4/10/22 at 8:21 pm to Duke
quote:I’m contemplating going out tbh.
Id just end up in Kansas and wait for Tuesday if Im a chaser.
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