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re: Potential Winter Weather/Arctic Blast - 1st Week in Feb

Posted on 1/25/18 at 6:10 am to
Posted by CaptainJ47
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
7710 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 6:10 am to
I may be missing something but latest run on GFS and Canadian don’t show snow.
Posted by TigerstuckinMS
Member since Nov 2005
33687 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 7:35 am to
ITT: More pussies complain about having to wear a jacket.
Posted by Geaux23
Member since Sep 2012
5962 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:16 am to
wearing a jacket and the roads being frozen solid aren't the same
Posted by Impotent Waffle
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2007
10105 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:27 am to
quote:

Accuweather shows a high of 73 on Feb 4th


I got rid of that app after this last month, it was awful on extended forecasts...
Posted by TheWiz
Third World, LA
Member since Aug 2007
11865 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:38 am to
Unless I am seeing things wrong, the GFS shows it only getting cold for about a day. It looks like the freezing stuff stays at the tip-top of Louisiana. Tuesday looks to be the coldest for S. Louisiana.





This post was edited on 1/25/18 at 8:40 am
Posted by Armymann50
Playing with my
Member since Sep 2011
21878 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:41 am to
I need to move South of South.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:43 am to
Accuweather typically just goes with averages in the long range. 73 is above average so they are taking something into account but they rarely, if ever, predict big time cold until it is much closer in range.

The models definitely shifted away (haven't looked at the very latest runs, though) but this is the time when models often lose the cold/ice/snow only to pick it back up within a couple of days. If it is still gone in 3-4 days then it is a good bet that they were wrong about this one. They usually are, we are predicted to have winter events a few times every winter and we end up having one every 4 years or so, sometimes much longer.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
28987 posts
Posted on 1/25/18 at 8:44 am to
At this point I believe that Shreveport has received more snowfall this year than Vail has.
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
94775 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 10:17 am to
February 5-6





Feb 12


Posted by CuseTiger
Member since Jul 2013
8948 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 10:30 am to
That is from the midnight run last night, but just looking at the 12z run coming out now it's showing roughly the same thing at hours 180-192. 180 hours isn't that far into GFS fantasy land

Posted by jcaz
Laffy
Member since Aug 2014
18770 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 10:42 am to
Great. More sleet and ice
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
146289 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Feb 12

just cancel Lundi Gras & Mardi Gras right now
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 11:16 am to
The Euro is not showing it so we have another GFS vs. Euro battle. If this was hurricane season then I would go with Euro all day every day but the Euro hasn't been so great in this range for winter weather this year. Let's see who caves, first.
Posted by BigB0882
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2014
5417 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 12:04 pm to
12 GFS coming in even colder. We really bottom out on Monday the 5th, dropping from the 60s to mid 20's and don't make it above freezing on Tuesday. Only a small amount of precip after we go below freezing, showing .02 after temps drop but it may be a little more than that. Would probably be sleet. Hopefully this will not be a bigger event than this is showing because if temps are correct then the interstate would be shut down again for at least all of Tuesday (assuming we have enough precip).

LINK
This post was edited on 1/28/18 at 12:05 pm
Posted by TheFonz
Somewhere in Louisiana
Member since Jul 2016
22747 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 12:11 pm to
frick me dead. This shite again.
Posted by DeafJam73
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
19122 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 12:13 pm to
God fricking dammit. Can it just be summer already?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53468 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

We really bottom out on Monday the 5th, dropping from the 60s to mid 20's and don't make it above freezing on Tuesday.


Posted by tigerjjs
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2006
1364 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 6:48 pm to
So what is the consensus? Snow or no snow around the 5th?
Posted by Ponchy Tiger
Ponchatoula
Member since Aug 2004
48796 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 6:54 pm to
Nothing in the forecast suggest any kind of artic weather soon.
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15252 posts
Posted on 1/28/18 at 7:13 pm to
rip

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