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re: Mardi Gras Weather Thread
Posted on 2/28/19 at 2:49 pm to Clint Torres
Posted on 2/28/19 at 2:49 pm to Clint Torres
quote:
Seems like late Mardi Gras is always wet
March Mardi Gras is always wet, and early Feb is always cold.
1
Posted on 2/28/19 at 3:01 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
OT but do you see us getting out of this EL Nino weather pattern in the next couple of weeks?
Posted on 2/28/19 at 3:35 pm to LSUFanHouston
quote:
March Mardi Gras is always wet, and early Feb is always cold.
Usually these late Mardi Gras are pretty nice weather wise It's the mid February ones that are hit or miss on the weather
Posted on 2/28/19 at 4:58 pm to KiwiHead
Update: NOLA Parades pushed back to 7 pm start due to weather.
Was 5:30, then moved up to 5 pm, now back to 7 pm.
Was 5:30, then moved up to 5 pm, now back to 7 pm.
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:17 pm to LSUFanHouston
The short range has been a struggle this week. Didn't pick up on any of this coming in from the SW. Hopefully it's over once this round is through, at least for the parades.
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:32 pm to Duke
So what’s the latest assessment for Thoth?
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:35 pm to Chilly Bill
I’m going to the Endymion extravaganza sat night and planning to somehow push it into Thoth. Hopefully it stays dry.
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:46 pm to Chilly Bill
Shitty
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:53 pm to oVo
Chaos cancelled. I demand an explanation!!!
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:54 pm to BackInBlackTiger
Utter chaos
Posted on 2/28/19 at 5:58 pm to BackInBlackTiger
I am assuming many of those guys ride in Proteus and some others and have to attend Comus Ball on Monday so no reason to go through this weather and no time to reschedule
Posted on 2/28/19 at 6:01 pm to BackInBlackTiger
Momus, I mean Chaos, cancelled, LOL
Posted on 2/28/19 at 6:17 pm to jlovel7
My wife tried to talk her brother and niece out of coming this Friday and staying until Monday morning before heading back home out of state.
The weather looks like it's going to suck big time and be nasty for a lot of the parades this weekend.
The weather looks like it's going to suck big time and be nasty for a lot of the parades this weekend.
Posted on 2/28/19 at 6:28 pm to Chilly Bill
quote:
So what’s the latest assessment for Thoth?
Not much different now. After noon Sunday still with storm potential. The NWS discussion this afternoon brings some hope though, as they are expecting a squall line instead of some messy storms popping off in front. Which would narrow the window, but the when of it's certain enough for me to say.
They brought up another interesting observation I hadn't noticed that COULD reduce the concern on storm strength as well.
quote:
Models seem to be showing some stabilization influence from cooler lake and near shore waters to lessen threat below the tidal lakes, but this is too close to hang high confidence at this time.
If this is the case, the surface south of the lakes would be just a little bit cooler and a little dryer. In effect, leaving a layer that's slightly warmer above the surface. Meaning air rising off the surface would want to sink.
This limits energy available for updrafts. Which lowers the rainfall potential and storm strength lightning.
Good catch by the LIX office. It's way too subtle to bank on as they noted, but gives some hope for lesser impacts in New Orleans.
GFS Soundings for noon Sunday:
1) Baton Rouge
CAPE 2000 j/kg. Note the dotted line running right of the red line. The rising air would be warmer than the surroundings, and want to keep on rising.
2) Approx Mandeville
Same story. CAPE at 1800ish. Whole profile unstable.
3) New Orleans
MU just at 700.
I'll be keeping an eye on this going forward.
Posted on 2/28/19 at 7:40 pm to Covingtontiger77
Hail Endymion!
Posted on 2/28/19 at 9:22 pm to TG
How is tomorrow shaping up?
Posted on 2/28/19 at 10:10 pm to Dizz
Glad everything worked out tonight for the most part
Posted on 2/28/19 at 11:03 pm to Dizz
quote:
How is tomorrow shaping up?
Pretty good. The system that's leaving tonight is going to drape a stationary front somewhere across SELa tomorrow. Not much of a difference on temps, but it'll be a focus for showers. They shouldn't be long lasting though.
Posted on 3/1/19 at 8:47 am to Duke
Quick update this morning.
Showers to fire along a weak front that'll be near NOLA late morning into early afternoon. Expected to fade later.
Sunday rainfall from WPC:
Convective Outlook SPC:
Showers to fire along a weak front that'll be near NOLA late morning into early afternoon. Expected to fade later.
Sunday rainfall from WPC:
Convective Outlook SPC:
Posted on 3/1/19 at 9:36 am to Duke
quote:
Duke
Any updates on Endymion Saturday? Last night it went from 80% to 20%
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