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re: Hurricane Season - 91L - Flash Flood Warnings for S. LA, Worst Rain Moving out Later Today
Posted on 6/4/19 at 8:56 pm to Duke
Posted on 6/4/19 at 8:56 pm to Duke
All the afternoon runs of short term models are off so far
Rain is more north and east of what they were calling for and the big blob of rain is not falling apart
Rain is more north and east of what they were calling for and the big blob of rain is not falling apart
1
Posted on 6/4/19 at 9:04 pm to Bronsonburner
quote:
Da fuq is this on page 2 for?
No longer a tropical threat.
Just a big rain storm headed to SE Texas and Louisiana.
Do we always need to have the weatherman hold our hands as the rain is falling and a new TD post about every upcoming weather event?
It was like this a few weeks ago when the weather soothsayers were saying heavy rain and thunderstorms right before Easter. It turned out to be a decent day.
Posted on 6/4/19 at 9:07 pm to Tarps99
quote:
Just a big rain storm headed to SE Texas and Louisiana.
And there it is...…………………………….
Posted on 6/4/19 at 10:22 pm to Midtiger farm
quote:
All the afternoon runs of short term models are off so far
00z model runs so far are pretty tame with biggest onshore totals in the 4-6" range with only isolated totals above that.
Posted on 6/4/19 at 10:25 pm to rds dc
Serious question. I’m helping a buddy in Hattiesburg this weekend. He thinks this will ruin the weather there. Is there a reason for concern?
Posted on 6/4/19 at 10:25 pm to rds dc
Hoping for 3-4” in my hood 
Posted on 6/5/19 at 6:37 am to rds dc
Houston/SE Texas:
This post was edited on 6/5/19 at 6:42 am
Posted on 6/5/19 at 7:21 am to Klark Kent
CBS this morning was saying widespread flooding of the Mississippi.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 7:41 am to rds dc
quote:
...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE MIDDLE TO UPPER COAST OF TEXAS INTO SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
quote:
In this region...the latest hi res model consensus is for 6-10"+ amounts with these amounts depicted in WPCs day 1 qpf.
This post was edited on 6/5/19 at 7:43 am
Posted on 6/5/19 at 8:27 am to Cosmo
quote:
Hoping for 3-4” in my hood
Your woman gets that all the time. She's holding out for 6-8".
Posted on 6/5/19 at 9:12 am to rds dc
Houston has had more than their fair share of high risk flood days the last few years.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 9:31 am to TigerstuckinMS
quote:
Your woman gets that all the time. She's holding out for 6-8".
Trust me, she isn't picky.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 9:52 am to X123F45
12z NAM with somewhat milder totals than yesterday afternoon.
16.5"+ near Corpus and 5-6" across the middle of LA through 60 hours.
If 4-5" falls over lower Assumption and St. Martin parish, those areas recently pumped could be in trouble.
16.5"+ near Corpus and 5-6" across the middle of LA through 60 hours.
If 4-5" falls over lower Assumption and St. Martin parish, those areas recently pumped could be in trouble.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 10:18 am to slackster
Bay City/Wharton area has gotten 6+ this morning and still raining
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:04 am to slackster
All the short range stuff has some 8"+ totals somewhere but with no agreement on exactly where. It's like trying to pick out who gets the heavy snow band in a snow storm.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:08 am to Duke
Is it moving faster, slower, or the same as expected?
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:40 am to uway
I know this is far out but the 228 hour gfs has something off the se coast of LA next Saturday
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:46 am to uway
Pretty much to expectations at this point. Weekend looks solid.
Also, the GFS at the ten day+ range has predicted about 13 of the last 3 hurricanes to form.
Also, the GFS at the ten day+ range has predicted about 13 of the last 3 hurricanes to form.
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:52 am to Duke
I was reading the Area Forecast Discussion out of Houston/Galveston and they were mentioning winds offshore around some of the oil rigs were suggesting an area of surface low pressure might be forming near some of the heavier convection out in the Gulf.
Could a depression be forming?
Could a depression be forming?
Posted on 6/5/19 at 11:56 am to Duke
quote:
Also, the GFS at the ten day+ range has predicted about 13 of the last 3 hurricanes to form.
That GFS run isn't totally unbelievable as it drags a trough pretty deep into the Gulf. It then spins the system up in an area that would be favorable for development in that type of setup.
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