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First Republic Bank shares crash on liquidity concerns, cash infusion in the works

Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:23 pm
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16855 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:23 pm
Looks like we have another one….

quote:

A group of financial institutions are in talks to deposit roughly $20 billion in First Republic, sources told CNBC's David Faber. The group includes Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and others, the sources said.

The deal is not done yet, the sources said. The plan does not call for an of acquisition of First Republic. The sources noted the amount was a moving target. Other reports said the deposit boost could be as much as $30 billion.

LINK



quote:

In the great financial crisis, several struggling banks were bought for cheap by the larger firms in an effort to help calm the banking system. However, the unrealized losses on First Republic's bond portfolio due to last year's rapid rise in interest rates have made an acquisition unappealing, the sources said.

First Republic typically caters to high end clients and firms, and its business includes wealth management and residential real estate loans.



“High end clients and firms” is in the OT’s wheelhouse. May want to look into this if you do business there.
This post was edited on 3/16/23 at 12:25 pm
Posted by Gaggle
Member since Oct 2021
5617 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:30 pm to
They crashed on Monday.
This was one of several banks that on Tuesday had their stock artificially pumped for 30 minutes, trade halted, and then a recovery reported. There was never a real recovery of any of the regional banks that crashed Monday. They ALL got a 30 minutes stock pump, trade halted, bullshite recovery reported. We the customers are being pump-and-dumped by the mainstream bank-media structure




Posted by Scruffy
Kansas City
Member since Jul 2011
72020 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:31 pm to
I have the sinking feeling that these bandaids are not the best long term options.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:37 pm to
It seems liquidity injections run contrary to the tighter fiscal environment the Fed wants to operate in right now. I don’t know what to make of all of this.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71329 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:42 pm to
FedGov didn't see this coming when they kept raising rates. We have been spending like drunken sailors since 2001 and it was always going to bite us in the arse. The scary part is, treasury bills are supposed to be safe.
Posted by tigerpimpbot
Chairman of the Pool Board
Member since Nov 2011
66890 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 12:57 pm to
Democrats calling on social media censorship on these bank problems makes total sense now.

quote:

Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly calls for censorship of social media companies to prevent bank run: report
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16855 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:08 pm to
They aren’t but there isn’t anything we can do to stop it.
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16855 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:09 pm to
quote:

Democrats calling on social media censorship on these bank problems makes total sense now.


Spell out a clear message and the noise that can lead to a run will stop at just being noise. The real problem is depositors at these banks saying words like “contagion” to try to provoke a bail out.
Posted by goofball
Member since Mar 2015
16855 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:11 pm to
quote:

FedGov didn't see this coming when they kept raising rates.


And hiking rates rapidly because they were late in addressing it in the first place. Because they were about 6 months late in acknowledging inflation. Then spent another 6 months saying that it was transitory.
Posted by Giantkiller
the internet.
Member since Sep 2007
20257 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:13 pm to
quote:

I have the sinking feeling that these bandaids are not the best long term options.



Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64390 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

However, the unrealized losses on First Republic's bond portfolio due to last year's rapid rise in interest rates have made an acquisition unappealing, the sources said.


Wait, Biden said all this was Trump’s fault because “Orange Man Bad”.

It can’t be because of the rapid rise in interest rates which made the government bonds these banks are heavily invested in all but worthless until they mature in 5-10 years, thus leaving banks unable to sell their bonds in the short term if they have to raise money quickly to cover deposits when their customers come wanting to withdraw their money?

And remind me again why interest rates have been rising so sharply now for the better part of a year…

Inflation you say?

Huh.

What’s causing all this inflation, which leads to skyrocketing interest rates, which leads to older government bonds from being all but impossible to sell, which means smaller banks are left unable to cover customer deposits?

Government spending?

Really?

So what is the government doing about this spending, that leads to inflation, that leads to higher interest rates, that makes older bonds impossible to sell, that leads to smaller banks collapsing?

Biden’s $6.8 Trillion Budget Proposes New Social Programs and Higher Taxes


Elections have consequences.

(Down vote it all you want. But what you can’t do is refute it. I know you can’t. You know you can’t. And I know it pisses you off.)
This post was edited on 3/16/23 at 1:28 pm
Posted by Volvagia
Fort Worth
Member since Mar 2006
51893 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:47 pm to

quote:

It seems liquidity injections run contrary to the tighter fiscal environment the Fed wants to operate in right now. I don’t know what to make of all of this.


As long as the injection isn’t from the fed, there isn’t any contrarianism.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71329 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 1:49 pm to
I mean Trump could have started raising rates slowly too, as could 2nd term Obama.

Every single president Bush on has been an executive while the US spent like a crazy person.
This post was edited on 3/16/23 at 1:50 pm
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64390 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

I mean Trump could have started raising rates slowly too, as could 2nd term Obama.

Every single president Bush on has been an executive while the US spent like a crazy person.


Inflation was at 1.4% when Trump left office…

LINK

… what would be the point of raising interest rates when inflation is less than 2%?
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37023 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 2:48 pm to
quote:

Inflation was at 1.4% when Trump left office…


And everyone knew it was going to rocket up soon because of all the money dumped in the economy.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64390 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

And everyone knew it was going to rocket up soon because of all the money dumped in the economy.


And everyone also knows you pull back the government spending and dumping trillions into the economy before you go raising interest rates. But after Jan 21 Trump was gone. It was Biden’s show at that point. Did he turn down the government firehose of money? No. in fact he turned it up to unprecedented levels. Now we get to live with the consequences of millions of idiots electing a senile puppet of far-left interests all because Trump was “mean”.
Posted by tgrgrd00
Kenner, LA
Member since Jun 2004
8466 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 3:57 pm to
quote:

And everyone knew it was going to rocket up soon because of all the money dumped in the economy.


That's not how this works, not how any of this works.

You don't raise rates based on "everyone knew" and "soon".

Typical democrat economic illiteracy though. That and TDS combined are very very dangerous.



Posted by A Smoke Break
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2018
2060 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 4:04 pm to
quote:

(Down vote it all you want. But what you can’t do is refute it. I know you can’t. You know you can’t. And I know it pisses you off.)


I mean to be fair, this can has been kicked down the road since the clinton administration.

Every subsequent president in 3 decades has added to the budget, not lowered it. If it was an NFL team, it'd be the vikings in cap hell.
This post was edited on 3/16/23 at 4:06 pm
Posted by BlueRunner
Member since Nov 2022
754 posts
Posted on 3/16/23 at 6:33 pm to
the stock market has become the equivalent to the lotto tickets but for the middle class. A way for the rich to siphon more money away to their pockets.

PFOF, FTDs, HFT, etc are just a few ways that they manipulate more money into their pockets. These wealthy pay off the politicians that write the laws that benefit them, or get money to bail them out. For all the scandals on wall street, and you hardly see any big players go to prison, should tell you all you need to know about the system.
Posted by Ross
Member since Oct 2007
47824 posts
Posted on 3/17/23 at 3:10 pm to
quote:

As long as the injection isn’t from the fed, there isn’t any contrarianism.



I'm not trying to be obtuse here, but if you look at the Fed's balance sheet:

LINK

QT reduced the balance sheet by ~$600 billion over the course of the last year, and over the course of the last week we just added ~$300 billion right back to it. Can you (or anyone) explain how this isn't contrarianism to me.
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