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Curve is clearly flattening - Updated: still looking good

Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:08 pm
Posted by dcw7g
Member since Dec 2003
1957 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:08 pm


This is the most useful data to follow. Too difficult to determine the significance of “new infections“ because testing is still so sporadic. Hospitalizations, however, are as reliable a marker of how many are getting infected as we are liable to get.


UPDATE:


Still flattening out nicely
This post was edited on 4/6/20 at 12:24 pm
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120165 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:10 pm to
Agree.

But CNN keeps running with a pure case based model
Posted by msutiger
Shreveport
Member since Jul 2008
69592 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:10 pm to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/31/23 at 4:08 pm
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
12948 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:10 pm to
or could we be reaching a limit on who we can hospitalize?
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
64073 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:11 pm to
This will not be taken well by the Karen boys.
Posted by TheWiz
Third World, LA
Member since Aug 2007
11665 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:11 pm to
Based on this graph, you would have made that assumption on March 30th too. Need more data.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53714 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:11 pm to
Posted by Tshiz
Idaho
Member since Jul 2013
7538 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:12 pm to
Open the stores!
Posted by t00f
Not where you think I am
Member since Jul 2016
89706 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:14 pm to
quote:

But CNN keeps


Why are you watching the communist news network?
Posted by Tigahs24Seven
Communist USA
Member since Nov 2007
12105 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:15 pm to
How can you idiots downvote data collected by your snowflake liberal government?
Posted by Jim Rockford
Member since May 2011
98128 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

It is clearly working. In a couple weeks, we will be ready to start slowly opening back up.


Without universal testing and the ability to quarantine hotspots, it will flare up again. What concerns me is more months of intermittent lockdowns. That is unsustainable.
Posted by Antonio Moss
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
48294 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

Open the stores!


It would be the absolutely worst thing to do right now.
Posted by PrivatePublic
Member since Nov 2012
17848 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:16 pm to
Curve was flattening at the end of March too.

It's almost like a couple of days is a useless sample size.
Posted by GusMcRae
Deep in the heart...
Member since Oct 2008
3223 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:16 pm to
I am optimistic we are at the peak, as well.
Posted by HailToTheChiz
Back in Auburn
Member since Aug 2010
48888 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:18 pm to
On the weekends the curve seemingly slows. Then starts increasing m-f

COVID enjoys its weekends too
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113890 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:18 pm to
Something becomes a trend after the third time it happens. Not trying to say its not curving, i sure as hell hope it is, but I would wait to after two more days to see how the numbers look before saying it is flattening,
Posted by TheEnglishman
On the road to Wellville
Member since Mar 2010
3106 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:21 pm to
New cases per day is on a steady increase. I dont see how rates of hospitalization indicate anything... Cases increasing means more chance of hospitalization increasing.
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
64946 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

I don’t know how anyone can argue the quarantine isn’t working or that the flattening of the curve would have happened naturally if we hadn’t done anything at all.


I don't think anyone is arguing the quarantine wouldn't have an effect on the curve. The argument is...was such a quarantine necessary? Based on the numbers...I'd say not.

Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164014 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:22 pm to
quote:

or could we be reaching a limit on who we can hospitalize?

Clearly no because we have an empty convention center.
Posted by dLSUm22
Shreveport
Member since Aug 2012
586 posts
Posted on 4/4/20 at 1:23 pm to
it does look promising. but i think Monday and Tuesday's numbers will tell the true tale...
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