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Arklatex Severe Weather Thread - Mother's Day Edition
Posted on 5/9/21 at 7:43 am
Posted on 5/9/21 at 7:43 am
LINK
Bumped it up to enhanced, will be a nasty afternoon.
Bumped it up to enhanced, will be a nasty afternoon.
quote:
Very steep midlevel lapse rates (noted in 12Z observed soundings) will support a threat of hail (potentially significant) with any semi-discrete supercells that can develop. Cell mergers and linear forcing along the cold front will likely result in some upscale-growing clusters later this afternoon, with a corresponding risk of damaging winds. Low-level flow/shear will tend to weaken with time, especially across the western portion of the threat area, but some tornado threat will be present with any stronger supercell this afternoon, especially over the Ark-La-Miss vicinity.
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 1:25 pm
5
Posted on 5/9/21 at 7:50 am to Strannix
Shot from Salina KS last night. Unsure who snapped the pic as it was posted by CIA Sim.
Posted on 5/9/21 at 8:10 am to Strannix
Looks shopped
Posted on 5/9/21 at 9:12 am to Strannix
Driving to NELA from Baton Rouge, any time what time weather will arrive in NELA?
Posted on 5/9/21 at 9:33 am to Flavius Belisarius
Probably late afternoon early evening but no telling what may pop up out ahead, no if and when on that, as early as 1PM possibly.
But almost guaranteed heavy squall line after 6PM
But almost guaranteed heavy squall line after 6PM
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 9:37 am
Posted on 5/9/21 at 9:51 am to Strannix
Warm and humid in DFW. Was hoping this would miss us completely.
Posted on 5/9/21 at 9:55 am to LSUGrrrl
There's a freight train of moisture pouring up from the gulf, plus side its blocking the sun.
Posted on 5/9/21 at 10:08 am to Strannix
Yeah. Got too much sun playing tennis yesterday but today is too humid to get out there. Is there a timeline for anything forming in DFW?
Posted on 5/9/21 at 10:16 am to theunknownknight
Nah it’s real. I saw it real time on the news here
Posted on 5/9/21 at 10:21 am to Strannix
Looking like another big wind event. Probabilistic outlooks show 5% Tornado, and 30% for both damaging wind and Hail. "Tim McGraw Country" back in play again.
Posted on 5/9/21 at 11:00 am to Bobby OG Johnson
Bobby, there's an interesting conversation regarding the "wedge" from last night.
@AaronRigsbyOSC
Extremely hard to argue with the guy when this was his position:
That would be the storm that produced the pic you posted.
@AaronRigsbyOSC
quote:
To the person who reported a wedge tornado id love to know how I missed whatever you "saw" LINK
Extremely hard to argue with the guy when this was his position:
That would be the storm that produced the pic you posted.
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 11:02 am
Posted on 5/9/21 at 11:03 am to Strannix
quote:
Bumped it up to enhanced
Posted on 5/9/21 at 11:17 am to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Bobby, there's an interesting conversation regarding the "wedge" from last night.
Yeah I saw that earlier and apparently there is a discrepancy
I don't think NWS ever confirmed it either
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:22 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
Big storm rolling south of Monroe
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:25 pm to The Boat
Tornado watch forthcoming
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:36 pm to The Boat
quote:
Big storm rolling south of Monroe
All over it
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:45 pm to The Boat
Wonder why everything from the Shreveport radar is 10 minutes old?
Nevermind, finally updated. Weird.
Nevermind, finally updated. Weird.
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 1:47 pm
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:46 pm to Strannix
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 0157
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 157
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
115 PM CDT Sun May 9 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Much of central and southern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
West central Mississippi
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 115 PM until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail
events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to form this afternoon along and ahead of a cold front central Arkansa southwestward into northeast Texas, as well as from northern Louisiana into west central Mississippi. The storm environment will favor a mix of supercells and organized clusters capable of producing isolated very large hail and damaging winds through this evening. A tornado or two cannot be ruled out with the more intense/persistent supercells.
The severe thunderstorm watch area approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest of Longview TX to 55 miles east northeast of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
ETA: For some reason my IMGUR links aren’t working, sorry for no graphic.
This post was edited on 5/9/21 at 1:47 pm
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:48 pm to lachellie
Looks like a bust in Nola
Posted on 5/9/21 at 1:48 pm to LegendInMyMind
quote:
Wonder why everything from the Shreveport radar is 10 minutes old?
Is that on RadarScope? Mine was updating reflectivity every five minutes a little while ago. And velocity was running 2-3 minutes behind that.
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