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The Saints are going to continue our run.......

Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:23 am
Posted by Tiger Voodoo
Champs 03 07 09 11(fack) 19!!!
Member since Mar 2007
21782 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:23 am
It's going to happen. And despite all of the talk, it isn't about our defense improving.

Don't get me wrong, I think the D can, and will, improve. We've held opponents to 25 PPG since week 2 after giving up 40 and 35 the first two games. We've only given up over 28 ONCE since then, and that is including 5 games against top 10 scoring offenses. I think that number will continue to go down as Spags continues to understand how to use our personnel, Vitt's presence is felt, and our young contributors gain experience.

That said, the key to our run is the the offense getting back to last year's numbers, not the D. The O averaged over 34 points per game last year. We are only putting up 27.7 this year. If the O can get closer to last year's numbers, I really think we'll get to 10-6.

Interestingly, last year, through the first 10 games the O was averaging 31 PPG, had scored 31 points three times, only hitting 40 in one of those games.

In the last six games, however, the O averaged 39 PPG, scored 31 FIVE times and got over 40 FOUR times.

In 2010, the progress on O was even more drastic. The Saints O averaged less than 21 PPG through 8 games and shockingly only scored over 25 points ONCE.

The Saints then reeled off FIVE straight wins, hitting at least 30 in every one of those games, averaging over 32 PPG in that stretch.

This O is going to improve down the stretch again, especially now that Vitt gives us real stability at HC.

After being completely and painfully one dimensional for the first part of the season, the running game is finally coming alive. This is the key to getting our offense back to the truly elite level we've been used to seeing the past several years.

Once our O fully hits it's stride, if the D can improve AT ALL, I truly think we will go 6-1 down the stretch and may very well not lose another game.

So sit back and enjoy what is going to be a wild finish to a crazy year.





ETA: Changed hanging subject line admins
This post was edited on 11/15/12 at 8:30 am
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72460 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:28 am to
next 3 games are the season IMO as far as momentum. We have seen this team go on long runs before. 2009, 2011, etc.

Beating oakland, then Frisco and then Atlanta AGAIN are just HUGE. I am not really worried about the G men or cowgirls. Or the bucs or scam newton and the panthers.
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:39 am to
yeah, the next 3 games will be a huge mo boost, but we'll still be 7-5. more importantly we'll be 5-3 in conference play to aid the tie-breaker. I also think the bucs game will be crucial. They're playing really well right now. Seattle will choke, and the cowboys won't win more than 8 games. There's been nothing to say otherwise.
Posted by rantfan
new iberia la
Member since Nov 2012
14110 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:48 am to
All very good info. You got me confident dont let me down
Posted by Tiger Voodoo
Champs 03 07 09 11(fack) 19!!!
Member since Mar 2007
21782 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 7:49 am to
I honestly think the key is the SF game.

I we win that one, I don't think the ATL game matters as much. If we beat SF, we'll be 6-5, over .500 for the first time all year. Then we have a short week until at ATL on Thursday.

Even if we lose that one, we'll have 10 days to get ready for the final 4 stretch against teams that are all less dangerous than either ATL or SF imo.

I think that 10 day break is being overlooked, and is going to be a huge advantage for us down the stretch.

But SF is a common opponent with Seattle, which could be very important in tiebreakers.

Posted by Brettesaurus Rex
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
38259 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 8:05 am to
Ain't reading all that, but you're right. The biggest difference is our run game. It allows us to get into more of a rhythm instead of stalling out when we can't. The offense was pretty damn frustrating to watch the first 4 games because while the defense was horrid, the offense was just as bad at times. But no one noticed Bc the defense was so utterly terrible
Posted by Tiger Voodoo
Champs 03 07 09 11(fack) 19!!!
Member since Mar 2007
21782 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 8:11 am to
quote:

Ain't reading all that,





Basically, our PPG are down a TD from last year mainly because the running game was nonexistent until the last two games.

But our PPG have gone WAY up over the second half of the season in 2010 (10 PPG) and 2011 (10 PPG), so we're probably poised to make a lot of improvement on the O over the rest of the season.
This post was edited on 11/15/12 at 8:20 am
Posted by Fat Bastard
coach, investor, gambler
Member since Mar 2009
72460 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Even if we lose that one, we'll have 10 days to get ready for the final 4 stretch against teams that are all less dangerous than either ATL or SF imo.


agreed
Posted by misterdavamoto
Lakeview Proper
Member since Sep 2007
603 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 4:52 pm to
all i can say is, very nice post, and thoughtful.

i can dig it
Posted by THRILLHO
Metry, LA
Member since Apr 2006
49488 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 4:56 pm to
quote:

I honestly think the key is the SF game.



TB is by far the most important. I think we can lose one game and have a good shot at the playoffs, but that one loss being to TB puts us in a bad spot.
Posted by misterdavamoto
Lakeview Proper
Member since Sep 2007
603 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

But SF is a common opponent with Seattle, which could be very important in tiebreakers.



Word

GB is most likely in. we need to beat out seatle


Posted by misterdavamoto
Lakeview Proper
Member since Sep 2007
603 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

TB is by far the most important. I think we can lose one game and have a good shot at the playoffs, but that one loss being to TB puts us in a bad spot.


If we lose to tampa at home, then all other points are moot.
Posted by Hoodoo Man
Sunshine Pumping most days.
Member since Oct 2011
31637 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Basically, our PPG are down a TD from last year mainly because the running game was nonexistent until the last two games.


Gee, I wonder where you got these stats...
Posted by BayouFann
CenLa
Member since Jun 2012
6868 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 5:26 pm to
quote:

Seattle seems to be the only threat.
Who Dat 10-6 next loss to The Boys or Niners
Skittlez 9-7
Dallas 8-8
Vickings 7-9 maybe 8-8
Bucs 8-8
Skins 7-9
*GB has Minny/Lions twice, Giants, Bears & Titans. 3 losses changes errrthang!!! 10-6 is more realistic for us but I don't think we lose again.

copied my post from another thread!
Posted by Tiger_n_ATL
Atlanta
Member since Jul 2005
32453 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 6:58 pm to
Run the ball....keep the other O off the field. D never has to make too many stops, problem solved,
Posted by ATLienTiger
NOLA
Member since Oct 2006
26858 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 8:39 pm to
Except we are still losing the time of possession battle, while still giving up huge plays. Us running well is certainly helping, but you can't say we are eating up clock with long drives or anything and giving our defense time off the field. It's not working out that way, but the run is helping.
Posted by Tiger Voodoo
Champs 03 07 09 11(fack) 19!!!
Member since Mar 2007
21782 posts
Posted on 11/15/12 at 9:07 pm to
quote:

Gee, I wonder where you got these stats...


Not sure wtf this means??? I went to ESPN and looked at our results from the past two years.

Why, did you post these in another thread? Kudos to you if so. It's not like either of us invented the stats. They're right there for anyone to look them up.


quote:

we lose to tampa at home, then all other points are moot.



Agree 100%. TB is the must. I meant SF was more important than ATL in the next three games, which is what I was responding to.

But yeah, any Saints playoff talk is pretty much dependent on a win over TB.
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