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GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
quote:

We likely wont make the playoffs


Can we talk about this some more?


GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
By the way, with this win, 538 now gives us a 60% chance of making the playoffs.


CaptainJ47
Hawaii Fan
Gonzales
Member since Nov 2007
5704 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
Updated the title and OP. Will try my best to keep it current. Today was a positive performance and can’t wait to see what Wednesday brings.


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20
GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
The Blazers are going to be without McCollum today against the Warriors, and their teams has apparently been struggling with a bug of some kind -- half the team has been sick in the last week or so.

Again, they are our biggest threat. It would be great if the Dubs could pull an upset tonight.


LosLobos111
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Austere
Member since Feb 2011
42797 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
Well thankfully we kinda own the blazers



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GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
This is a bit random, but WTF is going on with the Rockets? They've lost four in a row now, including the last three at home. I cracked up seeing that Harden shot 1 for 17 from 3 today.


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20
Who_Dat_Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2015
5725 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
Reverse jinx worked

Wednesday in the blender is gonna be lit


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10
GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
quote:

I think 35 is far more likely than 39 or 40



Here's why you're wrong:

* We have 38 games left to play

* Of those 38, 25 of them are against teams that currently have a losing record

* So, if we were a perfectly average team, we'd probably win 25 more games and finish with 42 wins for a final record of 42-40.

* We aren't an average team. With Zion, we are a top-10 team in the league.

* Thus, we will win more than 42 games.

This analysis does not take into consideration the likelihood that Griffin makes a trade to improve the team.


GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5780 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
Here's another fun fact that reinforces why this team is now highly likely to make the playoffs:

* Of our final 38 games, 21 of them are at home and only 17 are on the road.
This post was edited on 1/20 at 9:03 pm


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jmcwhrter
Member since Nov 2012
1939 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
I think we are potentially a top 10 team, but that also assumes

1. Favors suddenly gets healthy
2. Zion meshes seamlessly with the rest of the team
3. Nobody else gets hurt


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touchdownjeebus
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Sep 2010
13354 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
quote:

Zion meshes seamlessly with the rest of the team


We should expect some growing pains. I’m okay with this. Playoffs would be awesome, but building a strong core with good chemistry is the real goal.


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10
Who_Dat_Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2015
5725 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
How long is Favors projected to be out now? Was hoping we’d get to see Favors, Zion, Ingram, Jrue and Lonzo all on the court together Wednesday.


Stiles
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Sep 2017
1516 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
A Portland loss would be gorgeous tonight.


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WicKed WayZ
LSU Fan
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
23483 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
quote:

With Zion, we are a top-10 team in the league.



Only if Zion lives up to his hype from the preseason and plays like that. Only then are we a top 10 team in the NBA. If we have a full year of him playing next year at a high level, and everyone else plays like they are now, we’ll be a 4-5 seed in the West.


touchdownjeebus
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Sep 2010
13354 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
If we get 18pts and 10-12rbds a game next season we are top 4.


WicKed WayZ
LSU Fan
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
23483 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
He will get at least 20 as long as we still have guys making shots on the outside


jprdbulldog20
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2013
7797 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
warriors with some elite tanking tonight..not even attempting to guard the blazers 1 competent player out there


WicKed WayZ
LSU Fan
Louisiana Forever
Member since Sep 2011
23483 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
Damian Knocking then down though.



Really could have used a Portland loss


jprdbulldog20
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2013
7797 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
ive never seen teams intentionally throw games until watching warriors games this year. not even trying to guard lillard


polarbear6
LSU Fan
Member since Mar 2011
147 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Up Bigly - 48% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/11
The warriors are playing their butts off , Dame is just too good man


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