re: Week 3 NFL Betting Thread

Ill chime in with my thoughts on SMS and other cappers.

I love following them. I have over 100 or so sports betting/cappers accounts that I follow on twitter. Many of them hit over 50% or even over 60% on all their plays (spanning many different sports). If you truly wanted to tail one of them on every single play, you would most likely be successful. But that means you need to tail them on every, single play. That's not easy. They will post a number that they grabbed, you go logon to grab it and it's already gone and lost value. So you missed out on one of their plays. That one might be a winner, and you might tail 2 more their plays that day and come out 1-1, while he comes out 2-1. That means he had a winning day, and you didn't. I tailed Stuckey2 and some guys last year in College Basketball and some MLB plays this offseason and had mixed success, because it was so hard to consistently bet everything they bet with the numbers they bet on.

I don't really blindly tail anyone now. If someone I like is on a play, I'll take a look and decide if I like their side. If I don't, I'm out. They might win, they might lose, but in the end I made the decision. If I'm leaning one way and see someone I like is talking that side up, I'll mostly like make that play. I use to supplement to my own picks.

I also appreciate the people on twitter who say why they are on a bet instead of just throwing the number out there. Telling me why you are one side is gonna help a lot more than just telling me to pick this because it's #cashmoney or because they are telling me to #shipit.


ETA: A lot of them make plays on WNBA, Soccer, Tennis, and others -- which is fine, but for me I just don't like betting those, because I won't watch them or keep up with them, I'd just check my account and see if I won. It doesn't give me the same appeal as betting on the NFL or CFB does.

Home teams are something like 19-11-2 ATS so far.... FWIW

where do you find those guys?

I saw the Saints were giving 8 1/2 to Kansas City. I can't see the Saints stopping Tulane right now with their defense, much less an NFL's offense. 8 1/2 is way too much for this team right now until they prove they can stop someone.

I tend to agree but I don't think there's any rush to bet it one way or the other. Public will still bet Saints regardless so best to do a bit more research and see how this Vilma-Goodell meeting plays out. Could affect the Saints psyche as a whole.

quote:

---

I saw the Saints were giving 8 1/2 to Kansas City. I can't see the Saints stopping Tulane right now with their defense, much less an NFL's offense. 8 1/2 is way too much for this team right now until they prove they can stop someone.

---

trust me. the saints will cover easily. I'm a Chiefs fan and have watched their first two games all the way through, as well as numerous other games on Sunday ticket, and the Chiefs are bar none the worst team in the NFL this year. The Saints win this game by 10+ easily. it's my #1 NFL pick of the week (yes I'm betting against my own team ).

Do that, and you can also add them to "lists" on Twitter. Makes it easy to find all your favorite guys and their tweets.

Page 2 bump.

Read my fricking post on this page. Those guys have been money when it comes to baseball. If you want me to start posting their plays I will.