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Tcu vs Georgia spread, o/u, ML

Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:05 pm
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5399 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:05 pm
ML - TCU has been anywhere from +350 - +410 my book is now showing +365. Apparently TCU ML is getting most of the money

O/u is 63.5. Seems that most of the money is on the over

Spread has been 12.5 - 13.5. TCU getting slightly more of the money and public bet %

What do you think the results will be for spread and o/u? I want to put a ton on the TCU spread personally. Over makes sense to me but seems like a trap…
This post was edited on 1/8/23 at 11:06 pm
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
71254 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:07 pm to
Over 63.5. I’d like to say TCU covers that, but a shootout can lead to some late game, back door frickery.
Posted by LolStarFishlol
Member since Jan 2023
728 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:08 pm to
If TCU wins, it’s definitely going over 63 points. I parlayed TCU moneyline and the over.

+12.5 and under I think is also a good parlay
This post was edited on 1/8/23 at 11:11 pm
Posted by Nonetheless
Luka doncic = goat
Member since Jan 2012
33000 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:09 pm to
Georgia rolls
Posted by thejudge
Westlake, LA
Member since Sep 2009
14036 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:14 pm to
If Duggan is on TCU wins take the over on points...

He struggled at times co.pleting a forward pass against Michigan early. Settled in but still feel like it was touch and go there sometimes. Sailed a few.

That said Georgia's defense is susceptible to the pass and gave up a lot of QB rushing yards to a hesitant Stroud.

Duggan thinks nothing of taking off and running.

I think TCU wins and the over on pts
Posted by OhioLSUfan
Columbus, OH
Member since Oct 2007
1277 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:15 pm to
Georgia dominates, I took an alternate spread of 20
Posted by DBG
vermont
Member since May 2004
71254 posts
Posted on 1/8/23 at 11:18 pm to
I don’t see any way TCU wins, short of a meltdown by UGA. The talent gap is too wide and you’re not going to scheme you way to a win against them. See Tennessee.

It’s why Ohio State was a bad matchup and they almost got them. TCU doesn’t have OSU’s horses.

I’d like to be wrong though
Posted by uptowntiger84
uptown
Member since Jul 2011
3882 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 2:32 am to
Too much public money on the over since last weekend both games went over easily. I'm on the under.
Posted by mizzoubuckeyeiowa
Member since Nov 2015
35429 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 2:53 am to
quote:



O/u is 63.5. Seems that most of the money is on the over

If you've watched the bowl season that's the easy call.

Or if you've watched CFB in general outside of Army-Navy. That line seems way low.

45-31 is 76. That's an average CFB game in today's world.

So it suggests to me, Vegas thinks the public thinks Georgia is going to trounce TCU and then pump the brakes. That's the only rationale for the under. Georgia pulls a 2011 Alabama.
This post was edited on 1/9/23 at 2:57 am
Posted by TheSexecutioner
Member since Mar 2011
5247 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 6:44 am to
quote:


If you've watched the bowl season that's the easy call.

Or if you've watched CFB in general outside of Army-Navy. That line seems way low.

45-31 is 76. That's an average CFB game in today's world.

So it suggests to me, Vegas thinks the public thinks Georgia is going to trounce TCU and then pump the brakes. That's the only rationale for the under. Georgia pulls a 2011 Alabama.


26 out of the 42 bowl games played Thu far have scored under 63.5 points. The rationale for the under is that 63 is a ton of points, 76 is a massive amount, and you are talking nonsense.
Posted by lsu xman
Member since Oct 2006
15522 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 7:22 am to
TCU avg 41ppg, Georgia 39.

I see why everyone is picking over.
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
60246 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 7:53 am to
quote:

Too much public money on the over since last weekend both games went over easily. I'm on the under.




Everyone is forgetting the 2 Pick 6s last week it seems. Just saw the final scores. I think UGA has the ability to really dominate this game. The talent gap is massive.
Posted by Doctor Grind
Las Vegas
Member since Jan 2022
204 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 8:03 am to
Dawgs and the under
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
28523 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 8:06 am to
My head says Georgia has a commanding lead by middle of the 3rd and wins by 14+. My gut says TCU has just enough to keep it a one score game late, and if they can get the ball with over a minute on the clock their QB will do what needs to be done to get the ball in the end zone.
This post was edited on 1/9/23 at 8:09 am
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164014 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 8:09 am to
Posted by VADawg
Wherever
Member since Nov 2011
44681 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 8:09 am to
quote:

That said Georgia's defense is susceptible to the pass and gave up a lot of QB rushing yards to a hesitant Stroud.

Duggan thinks nothing of taking off and running.



This is why it worked so well, IMO. Georgia was not prepared for his scrambling ability or his ability to throw on the run because he hadn't shown it before. That caught Georgia off guard.

Georgia will not be caught off guard by Duggan's scrambling.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
7626 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 9:16 am to
Fanduel has a TCU +14.5/Over 53.5 parlay boosted to +170
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5399 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 9:42 am to
Why didn’t Michigan just, not throw 2 pick 6s?
Posted by JJ27
Member since Sep 2004
60246 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 9:49 am to
Talking about everyone assuming the over is going to hit due to the final score. How many games do you see two pick 6s for one team? That would seem to be an anomaly that you would not want to rely on for a bet to hit.
Posted by justaniceguy
Member since Sep 2020
5399 posts
Posted on 1/9/23 at 9:51 am to
Take away 14 points for the pick 6s and you still have 82 points.

And then you have Georgia vs Ohio state which hit 83 points
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