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Should Justin Herbert have entered the Draft last year?

Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:23 pm
Posted by PhillyFan1994
Member since Sep 2012
2032 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:23 pm
I saw a lot of analysts predicting that he could possibly have been the #1 overall pick last year but it looks like now he will be at best the third QB off the board (behind Burrow and Tua). Did he make a mistake staying an extra year?
Posted by Spelt it rong
Louisiana
Member since Oct 2012
10001 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:25 pm to
He said he wasn't ready IIRC, so no.
Posted by Woolfman_8
Old Metairie
Member since Oct 2018
2072 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:27 pm to
If he said he wasn’t mentally ready, can’t argue with it.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71329 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:28 pm to
quote:

I saw a lot of analysts predicting that he could possibly have been the #1 overall pick last year but it looks like now he will be at best the third QB off the board (behind Burrow and Tua). Did he make a mistake staying an extra year?



It could be for the best, as he may end up on a better team.
Posted by Philippines4LSU
Member since May 2018
8789 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:28 pm to
I think he’ll probably go before Tua factoring in injuries unless Tua lights it up at the combine and shows no residual effects from the surgeries.
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60119 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:30 pm to
Too early to say. Don’t know where he’s going to go yet and even if it costs him money on his rookie deal in the short term, if he wasn’t mentally ready like he said it still could benefit him in the long run
Posted by JBeam
Guns,Germs & Steel
Member since Jan 2011
68377 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:31 pm to
I have a feeling that both (Along with Jordan Love) will have very good combines.
Posted by LSUintheNW
At your mom’s house
Member since Aug 2009
35746 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:32 pm to
quote:

but it looks like now he will be at best the third QB off the board (behind Burrow and Tua). Did he make a mistake staying an extra year?


Let's see, he still gonna get paid and he might get lucky and avoid Miami and Cincy.

Win win....and he wanted to be with his brother for a year.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139837 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:36 pm to
No because he will end up still being the 1st QB taken and he stayed because he was UO fan all his life.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139837 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

but it looks like now he will be at best the third QB off the board (behind Burrow and Tua).


You are basing this off a CBS Mock that is just a crap shoot with no combine or guys truly watching film who made it.
Posted by Ghost of Colby
Alberta, overlooking B.C.
Member since Jan 2009
11142 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:46 pm to
He’s getting an extra year of reps and experience. He might lose money at the start of his career by sliding a few spots in the draft, but it will be worth it if he’s better prepared for the NFL.

College starts and passes attempted are still two of the best predictors for QBs to have a successful career.
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
51451 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

but it looks like now he will be at best the third QB off the board (behind Burrow and Tua)


How do you know this?
Posted by arcalades
USA
Member since Feb 2014
19276 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:03 pm to
not going first can be a blessing. do you think Rodgers has regrets?
Posted by H-Town Tiger
Member since Nov 2003
59062 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

I saw a lot of analysts predicting that he could possibly have been the #1 overall pick last year


Projections before the players declare and the the teams evaluate them are meaningless. He’s got his team in position to win their conference and make the playoff or at worst the Rose Bowl and he’ll still probably be a first rounder
Posted by FootballNostradamus
Member since Nov 2009
20509 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:08 pm to
No, and he’s still the best QB of this draft class.
Posted by RightHook
Member since Dec 2013
5560 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:11 pm to
if a player is projected to go in the first two rounds, declare for the draft. herbert was a projected top 5 - 10 pick.

he's a fricking dumbass for coming back. would've gotten more development with an nfl coaching staff than staying at uo.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84609 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

No, and he’s still the best QB of this draft class.


Maybe. I've watched him play. His arm is elite, which is why the NFL loves him, but there is a lot to like in a few of the QBs coming out.
Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:20 pm to
quote:

he's a fricking dumbass for coming back. would've gotten more development with an nfl coaching staff than staying at uo.



He said he wasn't ready mentally to handle that. I'm not sure how you can argue with that decision.

I get the chance of injury and all, but the chances are pretty slim that a somewhat immobile, pocket QB gets an injury that really hurts his potential.

Posted by TheCaterpillar
Member since Jan 2004
76774 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

No, and he’s still the best QB of this draft class.



He's good. He has the best arm strength and is proving to be way more consistent this year and making better decisions.

But Burrow has that dog in him and can make every throw as well.

Both are big and have avoided injuries. Both are accurate and successful. Burrow is a lot more athletic, Herbert a little taller and a little stronger arm.

Surprisingly, they've thrown the ball almost at the same volume clip, so their stats are very apples to apples...

Herbert: 200/288, 69.4%, 24 TDs 2 INTs, 8.1 YPA
Burrow: 236/299, 78.9%, 33 TDs 4 INTs, 10.7 YPA

Herbert: 32 rushes, 4 yards, 1 TD
Burrow: 66 rushes, 189 yards, 3 TDs
Posted by Tigerfan1274
Member since May 2019
3127 posts
Posted on 11/14/19 at 1:42 pm to
He wanted to play with his brother and have a chance at the playoffs. He's got one down and still has a good shot at the other.
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