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re: Daily Betting Thread - Bunch of 2's for the date edition

Posted on 2/22/22 at 2:29 pm to
Posted by Big Floppy TDs
Where the beer flows like wine
Member since Sep 2012
2911 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 2:29 pm to
Lets not get killed again today huh?

NHL Parlay +750
Wild/Senators o5.5
Flyers +2.5
Preds/Panthers o5.5
Panthers o3.5
Blue Jackets o2.5
Blue Jackets +2.5

Ark/Florida u135.5
Kansas St +12
Bama/Vandy u153.5
Oklahoma/Texas Tech u129
Mich St/Iowa u153.4
Mich St 1H ML
Arkansas 1H ML

NCAAB ML Parlay +365
Bama
Texas Tech
Miami
Richmond
St. Bon

Tenn, Villanova, Kansas to win +210
Chelsea + Juventus to win +340

Teaser +374
Bama +.5
Arkansas +3.5
Tenn -6
Texas Tech -5

Posted by LlyodChristmas
The Abandoned Jazzland
Member since Jan 2013
2180 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

Lets not get killed again today huh?


Proceeds to name a list of bets LOL

I like it baw. Lets ride.
This post was edited on 2/22/22 at 2:36 pm
Posted by GeauxColonels
Tottenham Fan | LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2009
25606 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 2:48 pm to
I’m pretty new to betting, what’s the “teaser” you baws keep mentioning?
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7072 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 2:56 pm to
It is a parlay that allows you to add or take away points for all bets in the parlay.

You can either subtract points from all spreads or add points to all spreads.

How many points you buy determines the odds that you are given, along with the number of legs.

If you do a 5 pt teaser, you are making a parlay of spreads and then adding or subtracting five points. They can be fun to play around with. I might even copy his tonight.

They are more common in football, as you can tease to or through the key numbers such as 3 and 7.
This post was edited on 2/22/22 at 3:01 pm
Posted by PillPusher
Gulf Coast
Member since Oct 2009
5920 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:00 pm to
Teasers are not profitable long term btw. Almost always better to just bet the teams straight since you’re getting reduced payout with the teaser. There are only a few instances where teasers are profitable and that involves football.
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14494 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:02 pm to
Feels like a trap game but I’m riding with arky tonight. Used the draft kings 22% profit boost.
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
36889 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

Last time they played Nebraska only managed 63 points, and Northwestern hasn’t scored more than 70 points in their last 4 games. Bad team vs a slow team.


I agree with your analysis, but I have learned that there can be very weird differences between 1st and 2nd meetings between teams during a season and I haven't picked up on a distinct pattern.

I have seen the total points vary by up to 30...sometimes higher and sometimes lower. I've seen teams who lost the first game by 20 win the 2nd game by 5. I focus more on how the teams are playing lately than I do on how their first meeting went.

The REALLY bizarre ones are when teams play each other in back to back games. Rarely is the 2nd game like the first.
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
127573 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:09 pm to
Just took Iowa u79.5 points tonight. Michigan State has held their last 24/25 opponents under 79 points.
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10527 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:10 pm to
Don't feel comfortable touching that Arky/UF game

DK sent me the 2 22% profit boosts for a parlay but I believe I'm just going to let them sit lol
Posted by LSU999
Member since Nov 2012
9218 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:11 pm to
Gonna use that profit boost on a live play and try to hit a good one
Posted by hg
Member since Jun 2009
127573 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:15 pm to
True that. I’m gonna be doing a lot of live betting at the halfs
Posted by tunechi
Member since Jun 2009
10527 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:18 pm to
Apparently the 22% profit boost on DK can be used for anything.. doesn't have to be a parlay

I picked one ML and it gave me the option to use it
Posted by LSU999
Member since Nov 2012
9218 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:27 pm to
can be used on live play also
Posted by hubertcumberdale
Member since Nov 2009
6803 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

Teasers are not profitable long term btw. Almost always better to just bet the teams straight since you’re getting reduced payout with the teaser. There are only a few instances where teasers are profitable and that involves football.



Vegas lines are not as good as people think.

quote:

Since 2003, nearly half (49.9%) of NFL games have finished more than eight points off the closing line.




quote:

It doesn’t take long to realize that oddsmakers don’t know much more than the rest of us when attempting to predict NFL results. Only 21.3% of games in our sample finished within three points of the closing spread.

In fact, only 50.1% finished within eight points, meaning only half of all games played fell within one possession of the closing spread. Forty-one percent also missed by more than 10 points, showing just how far off many NFL games land.

Even if closing lines were more predictive, the NFL market, and not “Vegas”, would be responsible. Oddsmakers simply provide an opening number, and at that point the market takes over.

Sportsbooks don’t have an advantage because they’re smarter, their profits come from an ability to charge bettors -110 to make wagers. Assuming an efficient market moves lines to 50/50 probabilities, charging a tax to bet keeps sportsbooks in business — not an ability to predict the future.


No, Vegas Doesn’t Really Know the Outcome of Future Sporting Events
This post was edited on 2/22/22 at 3:33 pm
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14494 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:28 pm to
Yeah I used it ML on arky which brought it up to a little more than even money. Gonna throw 40 bucks at it bc I love setting money on fire. It’s fun. They give you 2 of them so I may go with something live on the other.

In other news I’m still bitter about yesterdays hockey meltdown and I hope the maple leafs lose by 50 goals tonight and all you bastards took the over.
This post was edited on 2/22/22 at 3:31 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
161924 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:30 pm to
come on Lille get a score
Posted by Tigers0891
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2017
7072 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Vegas lines are not as good as people think.



Yep
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
38154 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:34 pm to
quote:

Just took Iowa u79.5 points tonight. Michigan State has held their last 24/25 opponents under 79 points.



I like it
Posted by NoMercy
Member since Feb 2007
4654 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:35 pm to
I teased arky to +6 and nova to +8 for an even money parlay tonight. I’ll take that to have action to watch on a free bet. I like two team teasers.
This post was edited on 2/22/22 at 3:36 pm
Posted by jkylejohnson
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2016
14494 posts
Posted on 2/22/22 at 3:41 pm to
quote:

Just took Iowa u79.5 points tonight. Michigan State has held their last 24/25 opponents under 79 points


quote:

I like it


Same . there went my other profit boost. Let’s ride!
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