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Started By
Message
CFB bet thead week 9
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:56 am
Posted on 10/22/18 at 11:56 am
Kentucky +7 locked. Seems too easy, so it probably is
15
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:02 pm to josh336
FSU +14.5
A&M +3
A&M +3
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:03 pm to josh336
Why is Mich state favored vs purdue?
MSU is decimated by injuries, lewerke is hurt, their best WR now out for year.
Purdue will exploit their secondary.
MSU is decimated by injuries, lewerke is hurt, their best WR now out for year.
Purdue will exploit their secondary.
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:06 pm to HailHailtoMichigan!
Probable big emotional letdown for Purdue after the Ohio St. win.
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:09 pm to Allthatfades
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:11 pm to MidnightVibe
Oh well, several lines look tasty to me at first glance.
WashU-10.5
UNLV-1
Appy-8
Da U-3.5
Just after a quick scan. Will dive in more later on in the week.
What do y'all think about the Tuesday night game. Some Guy Named Troy-11.5 hosting South Bama
WashU-10.5
UNLV-1
Appy-8
Da U-3.5
Just after a quick scan. Will dive in more later on in the week.
What do y'all think about the Tuesday night game. Some Guy Named Troy-11.5 hosting South Bama
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:16 pm to josh336
quote:
Kentucky +7 locked. Seems too easy, so it probably is
in my experience, the ones that seem too easy are the most likely to hit*. I try not to outsmart myself.
*Not saying that I think Kentucky +7 qualifies. Just saying generally.
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:17 pm to josh336
No Bama or LSU 1st halfs so I'm taking the weekend off. Best of luck 
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:27 pm to SDVTiger
mich st
kentucky
tx am
uga
tcu
clemson (prob my fav play on the board)
duke
nc st
kentucky
tx am
uga
tcu
clemson (prob my fav play on the board)
duke
nc st
Posted on 10/22/18 at 12:42 pm to josh336
GaTech +3.5
Utah -10
Florida +7
Florida ML
Like the look of Iowa +5, Cincy -8.5, and Texas -2.5 but not completely sold.
Utah -10
Florida +7
Florida ML
Like the look of Iowa +5, Cincy -8.5, and Texas -2.5 but not completely sold.
Posted on 10/22/18 at 5:35 pm to MidnightVibe
Your thread said “unofficial”. This one is official
Posted on 10/22/18 at 9:23 pm to josh336
quote:
Your thread said “unofficial”. This one is official
Ok
Posted on 10/23/18 at 6:45 pm to MidnightVibe
Troy -11
Posted on 10/23/18 at 6:49 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Troy -11
Tailing because why not
Can you give me the stats on the number 11 compared to if it goes to 12 or drops to 10?
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:00 pm to HailToTheChiz
Thinking about Fresno State. Hawaii with two stinkers in a row have to go on the road to Fresno where they're actually playing solid defense.
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:09 pm to hendersonshands
I put in a play on Appy-8 and Appy ML, and so I decided to stay away from the Tuesday evening Sun Belt game.
This totally proves I'm not a degenerate.
Not that betting it makes one a degenerate. But NOT betting totes makes me NOT a degen. Right?
This totally proves I'm not a degenerate.
Not that betting it makes one a degenerate. But NOT betting totes makes me NOT a degen. Right?
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:11 pm to MidnightVibe
It makes you a coward.
Just kidding.
Just kidding.
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:26 pm to HailToTheChiz
I don’t have them in front of me, but 11 tends to be a key number. Wished I got 10.5
Hoping for a buy low on Troy after the lost to liberty
Hoping for a buy low on Troy after the lost to liberty
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:42 pm to Winston Cup
quote:
Hoping for a buy low on Troy after the lost to liberty
I was a Troy lean, but then I went to 12.5 and I just got a bit squeamish. Didn't see it come back down. Might have still laid off, because I needed to convince myself I wasn't a degen.
GL
Posted on 10/23/18 at 7:52 pm to MidnightVibe
South Carolina -7.5 vs Tennessee
Syracuse -1 vs NC State
Texas A&M +3 @ Mississippi State
Kansas +14 vs TCU
UCLA +10 vs Utah
Cal + 10.5 vs Washington
Florida State +14 vs Clemson
This is based on two trends:
- Top Ten hangover. Teams coming off of a Top Ten opponent are 26-32 ATS so far this season - not great but enough to come out ahead. Also, the overall number is skewed by Week 5, when those teams were 7-1 ATS (excluding two teams who played each other). That week was an extreme outlier. In every other week, those teams had a losing record ATS.
- Fading double-digit road favorites in conference games. This trend is slightly better. However, it also applies only to P5 conferences. In the P5, double digit road favorites are 7-10 ATS (doesn't sound great but it gives you 58%). In the G5, it's 9-11.
Syracuse -1 vs NC State
Texas A&M +3 @ Mississippi State
Kansas +14 vs TCU
UCLA +10 vs Utah
Cal + 10.5 vs Washington
Florida State +14 vs Clemson
This is based on two trends:
- Top Ten hangover. Teams coming off of a Top Ten opponent are 26-32 ATS so far this season - not great but enough to come out ahead. Also, the overall number is skewed by Week 5, when those teams were 7-1 ATS (excluding two teams who played each other). That week was an extreme outlier. In every other week, those teams had a losing record ATS.
- Fading double-digit road favorites in conference games. This trend is slightly better. However, it also applies only to P5 conferences. In the P5, double digit road favorites are 7-10 ATS (doesn't sound great but it gives you 58%). In the G5, it's 9-11.
This post was edited on 10/25/18 at 8:45 pm
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