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re: Angels won't improve by adding Hamilton

Posted on 2/18/13 at 11:54 pm to
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 11:54 pm to
quote:

Shhhh. I love when people post shite purely based on name values without looking things up.

Torii was worth 2.1 more games than Hamilton last year according to Baseball Reference War.

Yawn, clearly Hunter is a better defensive player even with his no longer unbelievable defensive abilites that he had back in Minnesota, but Hamilton was clearly better.

Hamilton:
148 games
43 homers
60 walks
.354 OBP
.577 SLG
.930 OPS

Hunter:
140 games
16 homers
38 walks
.365 OBP
.451 SLG
.817 OPS

Do not just blindly recite WAR. Anyone with half a brain can see Hamilton was a superior player. FWIW, Hamilton had a higher oWAR last year by the way. Your entire argument is based on defensive metrics, which are fairly skeptical to believe in nature.
This post was edited on 2/18/13 at 11:56 pm
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71329 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 11:56 pm to
quote:

Do not just blindly recite WAR. Anyone with half a brain can see Hamilton was a superior was better player. FWIW, Hamilton had a higher oWAR last year by the way. Your entire argument is based on defensive metrics, which are fairly skeptical to believe in nature.



Josh Hamilton had an OPS+ of 139
Hunter was at 132.

I never said Hamilton wasn't better, but it's not a slam dunk like some were acting.

This post was edited on 2/18/13 at 11:58 pm
Posted by Ysebaert
Member since Oct 2011
1527 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 11:58 pm to
Hunter is not a better defensive player than Hamilton right now at all. And Torii Hunter was my favorite Angel the last few years. He gave my daughter a big smile and waived to her when she said heyyy Torii last year. He's just getting old.
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 2/18/13 at 11:59 pm to
What is the standard deviation for OPS+? 9 points could be a fairly decent sized difference.

Is the mean 100 on a year-by-year basis, since this is not adjusted by eras?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278154 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 12:04 am to
keep in mind Hunter played RF all last year.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
71329 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 12:04 am to
Average is always set at 100. Trout this year got 179.

Posted by Ysebaert
Member since Oct 2011
1527 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 12:25 am to
True. And Hamilton is not going to play CF for the Angels. Neither is Mike Trout.
Posted by Brian Wilson
Member since Mar 2012
2016 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 5:57 am to
quote:

And Hamilton is not going to play CF for the Angels. Neither is Mike Trout.



Trout will be in center. Book it.
Posted by hehateme2285
Katy, TX
Member since Dec 2007
5109 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 7:12 am to
Hamilton is actually going to try this year is my guess.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 8:29 am to
quote:

Is the mean 100 on a year-by-year basis, since this is not adjusted by eras?

It's not only adjusted by league average each year, but by park factor.

I also think WAR is perhaps the worst idea in the history of sports analysis. It just leads to lazy and wrong-headed analysis. The kind of analysis of simply regurgitating received wisdom without thinking about it that the early sabermetricians hated so much.

Oh, and Hunter had a great year that he had about zero chance of duplicating. I do think people are ignoring the great year Hunter had, so its not like Hamilton adds a lot of production relative to last season, but he's still clearly an upgrade.
Posted by bbap
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2006
96003 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 8:31 am to
quote:

I never said Hamilton wasn't better, but it's not a slam dunk like some were acting.


nope. the angels did get younger so that helps although josh's body is that of an 80 year old.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50337 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:17 am to
quote:

I also think WAR is perhaps the worst idea in the history of sports analysis.


Wrong.

Its a great idea.

Its not their fault people want to use it as an end all be all. But people always do that. Frankly if people are gonna do it, Id rather them do it with WAR then BA or RBI's. I assume you were being hyperbolic.
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:23 am to
No, I actually mean it. I think the One True Number method of analysis is inherently wrong. And it's turned thoughtful analysis into largely lazy and stupid analysis. No single development in sports has lead to more terrible analysis than the invention of WAR.

The world would be better off had it never been invented. It's not just wrong in execution, it's wrong in theory.
Posted by ProjectP2294
South St. Louis city
Member since May 2007
70079 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:27 am to
I have no thoughts on advanced statistics, as this thread has turned in that direction. I just wanted to state that Angels have seemed to put together the greatest slow pitch softball team ever assembled and will score runs comparable to that.
Posted by Dro
Barrett's Barleycorn
Member since Feb 2010
12617 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Angels won't improve by adding Hamilton

Posted by lsu480
Downtown Scottsdale
Member since Oct 2007
92876 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:36 am to
quote:

. I just wanted to state that Angels have seemed to put together the greatest slow pitch softball team ever



No shite!
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50337 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 9:39 am to
quote:

No, I actually mean it. I think the One True Number method of analysis is inherently wrong. And it's turned thoughtful analysis into largely lazy and stupid analysis. No single development in sports has lead to more terrible analysis than the invention of WAR.


Well I disagree and I'm not gonna argue why, lazy people will always do lazy analysis, this is nothing new. WAR hasn't made it worse, it just changed the numbers they are using.

quote:

. It's not just wrong in execution, it's wrong in theory.


How's that?
Posted by DEANintheYAY
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31975 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

And Hamilton is not going to play CF for the Angels. Neither is Mike Trout.



Trout will be in center. Book it.


Unless something happens to Bourjos, Trout will not be in CF. He will be in LF with Hamilton in RF.


And to the OP...as a fan of the Angels who REALLY wanted Santana to be a solid pitcher, you are dead wrong about Ervin.
Posted by DEANintheYAY
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31975 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 1:51 pm to
Thought I would leave this here considering our discussion of WAR.

Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 2/19/13 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

It's not only adjusted by league average each year, but by park factor.

I knew that part, but I was curious to know the standard deviations of OPS+ every year.
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