Started By
Message

Analytics scoring model says UGA 28, Bama 24

Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:05 pm
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22710 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:05 pm
Admittedly, this same model had UGA as a 6-pount favorite in the SEC title game and we all saw how that turned out.

This model takes the entire year, plus the last 2 games from Bama and Georgia. Model is probided by CFB Matrix Analytics.

Posted by BhamDore
Nashville
Member since Aug 2009
6283 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:07 pm to
If it's close UGA will not win. Bama is clutch and UGA is the antithesis of clutch.

UGA must win by 10+ or they will not win.
Posted by ReauxlTide222
St. Petersburg
Member since Nov 2010
83401 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:07 pm to
Alabama matches up very well with this Georgia team.

I think what we saw from Alabama’s OL last game was fool’s gold, though.

If Bryce doesn’t decide to run to the tune of ~80 yards, I think Georgia takes it.
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
53714 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:07 pm to
Good thing they play the games (and I’ve got $$ on Georgia).
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
120168 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:07 pm to
quote:

Analytics scoring model


NERD!
Posted by oVo
Member since Dec 2013
11795 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:08 pm to
Bama by double digits
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22710 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:27 pm to
quote:

Bama is clutch and UGA is the antithesis of clutch.

UGA must win by 10+ or they will not win.



I honestly can't think of a close game that Kirby has won a UGA. He lost to f-ing South Carolina in the last non-Bama loss I can remember.

Bennett will also never win a close game because he's shite the bed every time.

Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139837 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:30 pm to
I know rematches generally favor the loser previous but I have a question

Has UGA come from the dark side and win a game last 2 years? Dark Side is you’re behind nothing is going right and you somehow some way get the W?

I know Bama has a couple times.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
118901 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:30 pm to
I expect it to be Georgia 28, Bama 17
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22710 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:32 pm to
quote:

know rematches generally favor the loser previous but I have a question


People think that but it's not the case. In CFB, the team that wins the first game wins the rematch at a 60% rate.
Posted by Winston Cup
Dallas Cowboys Fan
Member since May 2016
65489 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

Analytics scoring model says UGA 28, Bama 24

At least bama knows they have to go for two on all of their touchdowns
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
202612 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:33 pm to
Bama rolls 34-17.
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139837 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:35 pm to
The few that were rematches I recall

OU NU Orange Bowl
OU Baylor 2 years ago
1/9
SC Oregon
I know Utah got Oregon twice this year
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
27816 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:40 pm to
UF vs FSU
Posted by PhillyTiger90
Member since Dec 2015
10666 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:41 pm to
Put money on Bama straight up

This way I either win money or I’m just happy
Posted by sms151t
Polos, Porsches, Ponies..PROBATION
Member since Aug 2009
139837 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:42 pm to
FSU won that game in regular season right? The other time it was a tie in the 5th quarter game
Posted by I Bleed Garnet
Cullman, AL
Member since Jul 2011
54846 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 6:44 pm to
quote:

Bama rolls 34-17.

There it is!
Georgia by a million
Posted by Jack Ruby
Member since Apr 2014
22710 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 7:13 pm to
The modeler said he'd still probably recommend UGA moneyline, but he did Saban is the king of blowing up models and trends in CFB. Sounded like he'd stay very far away from this game.

Btw, I believe the Vegas O/U is 52. This model totals 52....
This post was edited on 1/10/22 at 7:14 pm
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
98458 posts
Posted on 1/10/22 at 9:56 pm to
they better get to work
Posted by I Bleed Garnet
Cullman, AL
Member since Jul 2011
54846 posts
Posted on 1/11/22 at 4:35 am to
quote:

Bama rolls 34-17.

Woah


first pageprev pagePage 1 of 2Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram